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The Indonesian Capital Market Review

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Full-Text Articles in Corporate Finance

Who Pays Dividend? Statistical Explanation And Machine Learning Prediction: Evidence From Pakistan, Zohaib Aziz, Javed Iqbal Jul 2026

Who Pays Dividend? Statistical Explanation And Machine Learning Prediction: Evidence From Pakistan, Zohaib Aziz, Javed Iqbal

The Indonesian Capital Market Review

This study explains and predicts the firm’s dividend payment decision using an unbalanced panel dataset of non-financial firms listed on the Pakistan Stock Exchange covering the period 2009-2020. Several traditional statistical models and modern machine learning algorithms are applied to examine the firm-specific and macroeconomic determinants of dividend decision. Logistic regression and dynamic panel probit models indicate that lagged dividend, firm efficiency and firm size positively influence the firm’s dividend decision whereas leverage and sales growth show negative effects. Lagged dividend is found to be the most influential variable in explaining and predicting the dividend decision while the role of …


Ceo Gender, Trade Credit, Covid-19 Pandemic, And Corporate Dividend Policies In Vietnam, Trang Ngoc Doan Tran Ms., Linh Ngoc Thi Nguyen Ms., Dung Phuong Ngoc Tran Ms., Khoa Dang Duong Dr. Jul 2026

Ceo Gender, Trade Credit, Covid-19 Pandemic, And Corporate Dividend Policies In Vietnam, Trang Ngoc Doan Tran Ms., Linh Ngoc Thi Nguyen Ms., Dung Phuong Ngoc Tran Ms., Khoa Dang Duong Dr.

The Indonesian Capital Market Review

This comprehensive study examines the dynamic interplay among CEO gender, trade credit, and dividend policies across 563 listed companies in Vietnam from 2006 to 2024. Employing the Generalized Method of Moments to address the endogeneity issue. The findings show that firms led by female CEOs distribute significantly lower dividends than those led by male CEOs. Moreover, a positive nexus exists between trade credit and the dividend payout ratio of listed firms in Vietnam. Furthermore, the study reveals that CEO gender moderates the relationship between trade credit and dividend payouts in Vietnam. Finally, our robustness tests confirm that the results remain …


Can Esg Reduce Credit Risk? An Empirical Investigation Across Asean-5 Markets, Arrafif Pratama Zaini, Maria Ulpah Jul 2025

Can Esg Reduce Credit Risk? An Empirical Investigation Across Asean-5 Markets, Arrafif Pratama Zaini, Maria Ulpah

The Indonesian Capital Market Review

Based on stakeholder theory and signaling theory, companies with strong ESG performance send signals to various stakeholders, thus building trust and influencing better credit risk evaluation. This study empirically examines the effect of Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) performance on the credit risk of non-financial public companies in ASEAN-5 countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand) over the period 2019-2023. Corporate credit risk is measured using 2 main approaches: the accounting-based and market-based models. Merton's KMV model calculates the probability of default (PD) using a market-based approach. In contrast, the Altman Z-Score predicts bankruptcy risk based on financial ratios in …


The Impact Of Effective Tax Rate And Cash Effective Tax Rate On The Capital Structure, Nguyen Vinh Khuong Dr., Tran Thao Vy, Nguyen Phuong Anh, Pham Thi Anh Hong, Bui Thi Ngoc Trinh, Cao Phuong Uyen Jul 2025

The Impact Of Effective Tax Rate And Cash Effective Tax Rate On The Capital Structure, Nguyen Vinh Khuong Dr., Tran Thao Vy, Nguyen Phuong Anh, Pham Thi Anh Hong, Bui Thi Ngoc Trinh, Cao Phuong Uyen

The Indonesian Capital Market Review

The study examines the impact of tax avoidance on the capital structure of listed companies on the Vietnam’s stock market. Conducting GLS regression testing and analysis through data of 657 enterprises listed on the two stock exchanges of Hanoi and Ho Chi Minh City in the period from 2015 to 2022. Research results have shown that initially, when businesses carry out tax avoidance, it will reduce the capital structure of the business because the marginal benefits received from tax avoidance are lower than the marginal costs from tax avoidance. However, after businesses carry out tax avoidance and the benefits from …


Underpricing Of The Malaysian Initial Public Offerings (Ipos), Wahidah Shari Jul 2025

Underpricing Of The Malaysian Initial Public Offerings (Ipos), Wahidah Shari

The Indonesian Capital Market Review

This study evaluates the short-term performance of 469 Malaysian IPOs between 2002 and 2020. Previous studies have found that IPOs are underpriced in the short-term yet underperform in the long term. The short-term underpricing describes the phenomenon characterized by a significant increase from the offer price to the first day of closing price. The finding shows that Malaysian IPOs are significantly underpriced by 24.6% using offer-to-close return (OTC), which confirms the findings reported in previous literature. Separating OTC to offer-to-ask (OTA) and ask-to-close (ATC) indicates that a significant positive return is observed only in the OTA period but not in …


Winner’S Curse On Malaysian Ipos: Does The Phenomenon Still Exist?, Norliza Che Yahya, Rasidah Mohd Rashida, An Le Thuy Ngoc, Ayesha Anwar Apr 2025

Winner’S Curse On Malaysian Ipos: Does The Phenomenon Still Exist?, Norliza Che Yahya, Rasidah Mohd Rashida, An Le Thuy Ngoc, Ayesha Anwar

The Indonesian Capital Market Review

This study examines the winner’s curse phenomenon through Amihud and Yong’s winner’s curse measurements. Amihud’s allocation rate (ALLOCTJ) is the natural log of the reciprocal of investor demand or oversubscription ratio while Yong’s institutional investor participation is gauged based on a type of IPOs which is issued via private placement (DPRIVATE). Using data set from 560 initial public offerings (IPOs) issued from January 2000 until December 2022 for listing on Bursa Malaysia, the results of the cross-sectional multiple regression analyses show that ALLOCTJ and DPRIVATE are consistently significantly negative in influencing initial returns of the IPOs. The former relationship indicates …


Do Environmental Risks Explain The Sovereign Sukuk Yields In Malaysia?, Roslina Mohamad Shafi, Norhasimah Shaharuddin, Norsaliza Abu Bakar, Amirul Afif Muhamat, Mosab I. Tabash Jan 2025

Do Environmental Risks Explain The Sovereign Sukuk Yields In Malaysia?, Roslina Mohamad Shafi, Norhasimah Shaharuddin, Norsaliza Abu Bakar, Amirul Afif Muhamat, Mosab I. Tabash

The Indonesian Capital Market Review

Given the increasing risks posed by environmental degradation, severe climate change, and recent pandemics, the establishment of a sustainable economy has become a priority for numerous nations. From this perspective, it is crucial to emphasize sustainable finance since it has the potential to serve as a vehicle for accomplishing a green economic agenda. Sovereign sukuk held a prominent position in the sukuk market, both domestically and internationally, but its influence was particularly significant inside the domestic sphere. The study seeks to examine the link between environmental risks and the yield performance of sovereign sukuk. Sukuk performed less favourably compared to …


Impact Of Firms’ Innovation And Environmental, Social, And Governance (Esg) Score On Financial Performance: A Study Of Telecommunications And Information Technology Companies Listed On Apec Member Countries’ Stock Exchanges In The Period Of 2018-2022, Navira Putri Apriliani, Rahmat Aryo Baskoro Jan 2025

Impact Of Firms’ Innovation And Environmental, Social, And Governance (Esg) Score On Financial Performance: A Study Of Telecommunications And Information Technology Companies Listed On Apec Member Countries’ Stock Exchanges In The Period Of 2018-2022, Navira Putri Apriliani, Rahmat Aryo Baskoro

The Indonesian Capital Market Review

The telecommunications and information technology sectors significantly drive economic growth through continuous innovation. This study investigates how Innovation and Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) metrics affect the financial performance of 80 telecommunications firms listed on stock exchanges in APEC member nations from 2018 to 2022. Innovation is evaluated based on research and development expenditures, whereas financial performance is determined by examining revenue and Tobin’s Q. Employing Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) and Two-Stage Least Squares (2SLS) regression methods, the findings reveal that innovation positively influences ESG scores, notably improving governance aspects. ESG scores positively impact revenue but negatively affect Tobin’s Q. …


The Impact Of The Covid-19 Pandemic On Corporate Performance And Cash Dividend Distribution In China's Manufacturing Industry, Wang Danni, Lim Thien Sang, Lei Guangmei Jan 2025

The Impact Of The Covid-19 Pandemic On Corporate Performance And Cash Dividend Distribution In China's Manufacturing Industry, Wang Danni, Lim Thien Sang, Lei Guangmei

The Indonesian Capital Market Review

As an unprecedented global public health emergency with rapid spread and challenging prevention and control measures, the COVID-19 pandemic has profoundly impacted corporate performance worldwide. Notably, the manufacturing industry in China has been severely impacted. To comprehensively understand the influence of significant public health incidents on enterprises and mitigate the epidemic's repercussions, the unbalanced panel data of China's A-share listed manufacturing enterprises from 2018 to 2023 was analyzed by regression analysis. The findings demonstrate that the COVID-19 outbreak has diminished these enterprises' financial and market performance. Moreover, companies with higher cash dividends and more excellent stability exhibit superior future performance …


Empirical Tests Of The Existence Of Industry Momentum On The Indonesian Stock Exchange, Irene Natalia Verda Jul 2024

Empirical Tests Of The Existence Of Industry Momentum On The Indonesian Stock Exchange, Irene Natalia Verda

The Indonesian Capital Market Review

Momentum is one of strategy to generate return for profit seeker. This research was conducted to see the existence of momentum strategy at the industry level with the object of all stocks on the Indonesia Stock Exchange consists of 880 stocks grouped into 11 industries based on ICB (Industry Classifi- cation Benchmark). Research period start in July 2014 until December 2023. There are 6 industry momentum strategies, 3 strategies to form portfolio quarterly and 3 strategies to form portfolio in each semester. Tests are conducted on mean returns and risk-adjusted returns using the Fama-French Three Factor model. The method of …


The Impact Of Celebrity News On Entertainment Industry Stock Prices, Alexandra Widuri Ariani, Zaäfri Ananto Husodo Mar 2024

The Impact Of Celebrity News On Entertainment Industry Stock Prices, Alexandra Widuri Ariani, Zaäfri Ananto Husodo

The Indonesian Capital Market Review

South Korea's entertainment industry has garnered global popularity. However, the competition between entertainment companies is fierce, necessitating strategies to ensure their survival, such as imposing restrictions on their artists to maintain their public image and trust. This study examined the impacts of celebrity news and activities on the stock returns of six major entertainment companies listed on the Korea Exchange (KRX) from 2018-2021. Employing the Fama-French 3 Factors Model regression, the study investigated the presence of abnormal returns. The findings indicate that comebacks and debuts elicit positive reactions and generate significant abnormal returns. Award acceptances and military service also elicit …


Financial Innovation And Restriction Hypothesis In The Banking Industry: Evidence From Asean- 5, Yosman Bustaman, Viverita Viverita, Margaretha Tp Lingga, Antonius P. Siahaan Jan 2023

Financial Innovation And Restriction Hypothesis In The Banking Industry: Evidence From Asean- 5, Yosman Bustaman, Viverita Viverita, Margaretha Tp Lingga, Antonius P. Siahaan

The Indonesian Capital Market Review

This study investigates the financial innovation impact on bank market power in ASEAN banking from 2008 to 2018. It uses income diversification as a representative of financial innovation. The im- pact of countries’ development of financial innovation on market power is measured by the number of ATM, internet, and cellular phone users. The data panel regression model reveals that diversified banks may enjoy higher market power. This result rejects the banking restriction activity hypothesis, which states that a bank that diversifies its income stream results in increased competition. A higher number of available ATMs and more internet users lowers the …


Bank Ownership And Decline In Loan Growth Due To The Pandemic, Ruthana Bitia, Zuliani Dalimunthe Jul 2022

Bank Ownership And Decline In Loan Growth Due To The Pandemic, Ruthana Bitia, Zuliani Dalimunthe

The Indonesian Capital Market Review

This study aims to analyze the effect of bank ownership structure on loan growth before and during the pandemic. Specifically, we developed four models to capture different loan types provided in the Indonesian banking system; working capital, investment, consumer, and total loan growth. This study used 150 observations of commercial banks for 2019 (before the pandemic) and 2020 (during the pandemic). We conducted the regression method to test hypotheses. The main finding of this study was that foreign banks’ consumer credit growth significantly lower than domestic banks. Similar findings occurred for other types of loans, and this conclusion has controlled …


Uncertainty And Banks’ Security Holdings, Van Dan Dang, Hoang Chung Nguyen Jan 2022

Uncertainty And Banks’ Security Holdings, Van Dan Dang, Hoang Chung Nguyen

The Indonesian Capital Market Review

The paper enriches the existing literature on financial intermediaries’ operations in the face of uncertainty by empirically examining the impact of banking uncertainty on banks’ security holdings. Using bank-level data in Vietnam during 2007–2019 to compute a micro uncertainty proxy based on the dispersion of bank shocks, we document that banking uncertainty tends to enhance total security holdings at banks. Decomposing aggregate securities into disaggregate components, we find that safer investments (including government bonds and financial institution bonds) dominate the overall impact of banking uncertainty on security holdings, which completely offset a drop in the volume of riskier investments (including …


The Impact Of Geopolitical Risk On Corporate Investment: Evidence From Turkish Firms, Omer Faruk Tan, Hakan Cavlak, Yasin Cebeci, Necati Güneş Jan 2022

The Impact Of Geopolitical Risk On Corporate Investment: Evidence From Turkish Firms, Omer Faruk Tan, Hakan Cavlak, Yasin Cebeci, Necati Güneş

The Indonesian Capital Market Review

This study analyzes the effects of geopolitical risk on the corporate investment of 164 Turkish manufacturing firms listed in Borsa Istanbul (BIST). The time covers the period from 2005 to 2019, applying the system Generalized Methods of Moments (GMM) estimator. The results indicate that geopolitical risk hurts corporate investment in Turkey. Under uncertainty induced by geographical risk, firms prefer to decline their investment. Additionally, financially constrained (non-dividend, small, young) firms are more negatively affected than financially unconstrained firms. Our findings are robust under alternative measures of geopolitical risk. Overall, this study reveals that geopolitical risk is a significant uncertainty affecting …


Cash Flow And Accrual Anomalies: Evidence From Borsa Istanbul, Emine Kaya Jan 2022

Cash Flow And Accrual Anomalies: Evidence From Borsa Istanbul, Emine Kaya

The Indonesian Capital Market Review

This study aims to determine the persistence of earning and its components and whether investors accurately evaluate the information related to the earning and its components. The study covers the firms operating in Borsa Istanbul between 2005-2017 time period. We sort the accruals and cash flows into five portfolios. Then, we employ linear regression and Mishkin test estimations. Moreover, we compare the asset pricing models with nine metrics in explaining the cash flow and accrual anomalies. Linear regression and Mishkin test estimations show that the persistence of earning is high. The other finding is that cash flow and accrual do …