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Long-Term Analysis Of A Savings Program In Elementary School, Jennifer Davidson, William Walstad
Long-Term Analysis Of A Savings Program In Elementary School, Jennifer Davidson, William Walstad
Department of Economics: Faculty Publications
The prevalence of in-school savings programs (ISSPs) for children and youth is widespread, but research on their effectiveness is limited. This study investigates the long-term effects of an ISSP conducted in one U.S. elementary school. Survey data were collected on the financial behaviors of high school students, who participated in or did not participate in an ISSP while attending the same elementary school at the same time. The results from a probit analysis of data controlling for demographic variables showed that ISSP participants compared with non-participants were more likely to have a bank account in high school. They also were …
Using Monte Carlo Simulations To Establish A New House Price Stress Test, James R. Follain, Seth H. Giertz
Using Monte Carlo Simulations To Establish A New House Price Stress Test, James R. Follain, Seth H. Giertz
Department of Economics: Faculty Publications
The focus of this paper is on the house price stress test (termed ALMO) that was designed to assess the fiscal strength of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and, if necessary, to trigger remedial action in order to avert a crisis. We assess whether the ALMO stress test was an adequate representation of an extremely weak housing market, given the best available information leading up to the Great Recession. A Monte Carlo simulation model is developed to estimate the severity of low probability events (i.e., severe house price declines). We illustrate the complexity and subjective nature of the process used …