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Deterrence In The Nordic-Baltic Region: The Role Of The Nordic Countries Together With The U.S. Army, Juha Pyykönen Brigadier General, Stefan Forss Dr. Jun 2019

Deterrence In The Nordic-Baltic Region: The Role Of The Nordic Countries Together With The U.S. Army, Juha Pyykönen Brigadier General, Stefan Forss Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies


With enhanced cooperation from the U.S. Army, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization’s Nordic partner nations could combine efforts with each other and with the Alliance to deliver effective and visible regional deterrence against a resurgent Russia in the Nordic-Baltic region. This monograph by two leading Finnish defense academics explores the regional defense environment and optimum roles for the United States.


Extremist Migration: A Foreign Jihadist Fighter Threat Assessment, Shima D. Keene Dr. May 2019

Extremist Migration: A Foreign Jihadist Fighter Threat Assessment, Shima D. Keene Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies


This monograph provides an assessment of the emerging threat posed by foreign jihadist fighters following the reduction in territory controlled by the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) and recommends ways that the U.S. Army should address the issues highlighted.


An Unnatural Partnership? The Future Of U.S.-India Strategic Cooperation, Samit Ganguly, M. Chris Mason May 2019

An Unnatural Partnership? The Future Of U.S.-India Strategic Cooperation, Samit Ganguly, M. Chris Mason

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

As global competition with an increasingly assertive Chinese Government expands, the strategic relationship between India and the United States is assuming ever-greater importance. From a superficial perspective, a strategic partnership seems to make a great deal of sense for both countries. Yet, enormous political, cultural, and structural obstacles remain between them, which continue to slow the progress in security cooperation to a crawl, relative to China’s economic and military advances. The authors explore these impediments frankly and suggest practical ways to build trust and establish confidence.


Maneuver And Manipulation: On The Military Strategy Of Online Information Warfare, Tim Hwang Mr. May 2019

Maneuver And Manipulation: On The Military Strategy Of Online Information Warfare, Tim Hwang Mr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies


How should the defense community best organize to combat modern campaigns of propaganda and disinformation? Without a broader strategic concept of the nature of the challenge posed by these techniques, current efforts and investments run the risk of simply chasing the latest tactics without establishing enduring security. This monograph offers a way forward, proposing a cohesive strategic framework for thinking about modern information warfare and its effective conduct.


A Whole-Of-Government Approach To Gray Zone Warfare, Elzabeth G. Troeder May 2019

A Whole-Of-Government Approach To Gray Zone Warfare, Elzabeth G. Troeder

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

Gray zone warfare has increasingly been the strategy selected by states that are determined to influence change without the risk of major escalation to outright military war. It is a significant concern today, threatening U.S. national security as well as the security of U.S. allies and partners. Although warfare is traditionally led by the Department of Defense (DoD), as the use of gray zone warfare increases and evolves, a whole-of-government approach that incorporates the unique capabilities of Federal departments and agencies for this fight is needed.


Grand Strategy Is Attrition: The Logic Of Integrating Various Forms Of Power In Conflict, Lukas Milevski Dr. Apr 2019

Grand Strategy Is Attrition: The Logic Of Integrating Various Forms Of Power In Conflict, Lukas Milevski Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies


In this monograph, Dr. Lukas Milevski examines the logic of grand strategy in practice, defined by its most basic building block—combining military and non-military power in war. He lays out competing visions of how to define grand strategy and why the aforementioned building block is the most fundamental. The monograph establishes the essential logic of military power through annihilation and exhaustion or attrition as well as through control of the opponent’s freedom of action. This baseline understanding of strategic action and effect in war allows an exploration of how the utility and meaning of non-military instruments change between peacetime and …


Command Decision: Ethical Leadership In The Information Environment, Keir Giles Mr. Apr 2019

Command Decision: Ethical Leadership In The Information Environment, Keir Giles Mr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

This monograph considers how a classical challenge that commanders face in war—namely, making critical decisions on the basis of limited and often unreliable information—has been exacerbated in the era of big data. Data overload complicates the intelligence community’s efforts to identify and exclude disinformation, misinformation, and deception, and thus hampers its ability to deliver reliable intelligence to inform decision-makers in a timely manner. The military commander remains responsible for making a final decision, yet the great wealth of data now available through the intelligence cycle amplifies the risk of decision paralysis. With this in mind, technological solutions tend to be …


Air Power And Warfare: A Century Of Theory And History, Tami Davis Biddle Dr. Mar 2019

Air Power And Warfare: A Century Of Theory And History, Tami Davis Biddle Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies


In this monograph, Tami Davis Biddle analyzes the historical record of air power over the past 100 years. Her monograph, designed for the student of strategy, is intended to provide both a concise introduction to the topic and a framework for thinking intelligently about air power, particularly aerial bombing. Her primary aim is to discern the distinction between what has been expected of air power by theorists and military institutions, and what it has produced in the crucible of war. Aerial bombing, Biddle argues, is a coercive activity in which an attacker seeks to structure the enemy’s incentives—using threats and …


Deterring Russia In The Gray Zone, Michael C. Mccarthy Lieutenant Colonel, Matthew A. Moyer Commander, Brett H. Venable Colonel Mar 2019

Deterring Russia In The Gray Zone, Michael C. Mccarthy Lieutenant Colonel, Matthew A. Moyer Commander, Brett H. Venable Colonel

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies


The United States lacks a cohesive strategy to deter Russian aggression. Despite being militarily and economically inferior, Russia has undermined the United States and its allies by exploiting the “gray zone,” or the conceptual space between war and peace where nations compete to advance their national interests. In dealing with Russia, the United States must shift its strategic framework from a predominantly military-centric model to one that comprises a whole-of-government approach. The holistic approach must leverage a combination of diplomacy, information, military, and economic (DIME) measures. In this timely and prescient monograph, three active duty military officers and national security …


The Army Role In Achieving Deterrence In Cyberspace, Jeffrey L. Caton Mar 2019

The Army Role In Achieving Deterrence In Cyberspace, Jeffrey L. Caton

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies


In 2015, the Department of Defense (DoD) released the DoD Cyber Strategy which explicitly calls for a comprehensive strategy to provide credible deterrence in cyberspace against threats from key state and nonstate actors. To be effective, such activities must be coordinated with ongoing deterrence efforts in the physical realm, especially those of near-peers impacting critical global regions such as China in the Asia-Pacific region and Russia in Europe. It is important for the U.S. Army to identify and plan for any unique roles that they may provide to these endeavors. This study explores the evolving concept of deterrence in cyberspace …


Conventional Deterrence And Landpower In Northeastern Europe, Alexander Lanoszka Dr., Michael A. Hunzeker Dr. Mar 2019

Conventional Deterrence And Landpower In Northeastern Europe, Alexander Lanoszka Dr., Michael A. Hunzeker Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies


The United States and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) face daunting challenges in the Baltic region. Russia is behaving aggressively. Its military is more capable than it has been at any point since the end of the Cold War. More importantly, Russia is finding creative ways to subvert the status quo and to sow discord without triggering Article 5 of NATO, which declares that an attack against one member is an attack against all.

These problems are formidable, but we have reason to be optimistic. Far from shattering NATO’s cohesion and undermining its resolve, Russian aggression has reinvigorated the …


What Next For Russia’S Front-Line States?, Keir Giles Mr. Feb 2019

What Next For Russia’S Front-Line States?, Keir Giles Mr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies


Russia’s annexation of Crimea and intervention in Eastern Ukraine in 2014, alarmed not only Western-leaning states in Central Europe and the Baltic but also Moscow’s traditional allies. These events signaled that Moscow is now willing and capable of using direct military force against perceived strategic threats in its self-proclaimed region of vested interests. With the exception of Ukraine and the Baltic States, this Letort Paper examines how Russia’s front-line states have adjusted their foreign policy posture since 2014. Belarus, Moldova, the states of Central Asia and the South Caucasus calculate the benefits and risks in their relationship with Moscow and …


Implications Of Service Cyberspace Component Commands For Army Cyberspace Operations, Jeffrey L. Caton Feb 2019

Implications Of Service Cyberspace Component Commands For Army Cyberspace Operations, Jeffrey L. Caton

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies


The first 7 years of U.S. Cyber Command operations are paved with milestones that mark the steady operationalization of modern cyberspace as the newest domain of military conflict as well as a realm of international power. The creation of the Cyber Mission Force and Joint Force Headquarters-Cyber are significant steps toward improving the timeliness and effectiveness of cyberspace operations that directly support combatant commands and the whole-of-government responses to cyberspace threats. It focuses on the central question: “What is the context in which different military services approach cyberspace component operations internally as well as with the Department of Defense?”


Contemporary Chemical Weapons Use In Syria And Iraq By The Assad Regime And The Islamic State, Robert J. Bunker Dr. Feb 2019

Contemporary Chemical Weapons Use In Syria And Iraq By The Assad Regime And The Islamic State, Robert J. Bunker Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

This monograph focuses on an understudied, but yet a critically important and timely component of land warfare, related to the battlefield use of chemical weapons by contemporary threat forces. It will do so by focusing on two case studies related to chemical weapons use in Syria and Iraq by the Assad regime and the Islamic State. Initially, the monograph provides an overview of the chemical warfare capabilities of these two entities; discusses selected incidents of chemical weapons use each has perpetrated; provides analysis and lessons learned concerning these chemical weapons incidents, their programs, and the capabilities of the Assad regime …


Examining The Roles Of Army Reserve Component Forces In Military Cyberspace Operations, Jeffrey L. Caton Jan 2019

Examining The Roles Of Army Reserve Component Forces In Military Cyberspace Operations, Jeffrey L. Caton

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies


Cyberspace operations have become pervasive in the United States, and they enable many aspects of modern life for the average citizen, such as entertainment, communication, education, transportation, banking, and voting. The continuing development of the U.S. Army and Department of Defense (DoD) Reserve component cyberspace units can leverage the capabilities and experience of industry and academia to help protect critical information infrastructure and enhance national security. What opportunities and challenges surround the integration of these forces into a still-evolving joint cyberspace force?


Scenario Planning And Strategy In The Pentagon, Michael Fitzsimmons Dr. Jan 2019

Scenario Planning And Strategy In The Pentagon, Michael Fitzsimmons Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

Scenario planning should be one of the Pentagon’s most important tools for developing strategy for an uncertain future. However, the formalized joint scenario planning process to support strategy and force development—Support for Strategic Analysis—has faced many challenges over the past 2 decades, and has ultimately proven less influential than intended on strategic decision-making. Explaining why is the main purpose of this monograph. It argues that scenario analysis has been most effective in supporting capability and program development, while it has fallen short in shaping strategy and force structure. The reasons for this are numerous and are rooted in intrinsic, structural …


The U.S. Army In The Iraq War – Volume 1: Invasion – Insurgency – Civil War, 2003-2006, Joel D. Rayburn Col, Frank K. Sobchak Col Jan 2019

The U.S. Army In The Iraq War – Volume 1: Invasion – Insurgency – Civil War, 2003-2006, Joel D. Rayburn Col, Frank K. Sobchak Col

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

The Iraq War has been the costliest U.S. conflict since the Vietnam War. To date, few official studies have been conducted to review what happened, why it happened, and what lessons should be drawn. The U.S. Army in the Iraq War is the Army’s initial operational level analysis of this conflict, written in narrative format, with assessments and lessons embedded throughout the work. This study reviews the conflict from a Landpower perspective and includes the contributions of coalition allies, the U.S. Marine Corps, and special operations forces. Presented principally from the point of view of the commanders in Baghdad, the …


Us Army In The Iraq War Volume 2 Surge And Withdrawal, Jeanne F. Godfroy, James S. Powell, Matthew D. Morton, Matthew M. Zais Jan 2019

Us Army In The Iraq War Volume 2 Surge And Withdrawal, Jeanne F. Godfroy, James S. Powell, Matthew D. Morton, Matthew M. Zais

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

No abstract provided.


Maneuvering The Saudi-Iranian Rivalry In The Middle East: How The United States Can Preserve And Protect Its Long-Term Interests In The Region, Gregory Aftandilian Mr. Nov 2018

Maneuvering The Saudi-Iranian Rivalry In The Middle East: How The United States Can Preserve And Protect Its Long-Term Interests In The Region, Gregory Aftandilian Mr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

This monograph examines the conflicts in the Middle East region between Saudi Arabia and Iran and the so-called proxy wars that are being fought between them, and discusses ways that the United States needs to maneuver carefully in this struggle to preserve its long-term interests in the area. Although Washington has political, economic, and strategic equities with Riyadh, it needs to think carefully about being perceived as engaging in sectarian strife that would alienate Shia allies in Iraq, show bias in its human rights policy, and anger millions of Iranian young people who want better relations with the United States.


Creating Great Expectations: Strategic Communications And American Airpower, Conrad C. Crane Dr. Nov 2018

Creating Great Expectations: Strategic Communications And American Airpower, Conrad C. Crane Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

Americans have always been uniquely attracted to airpower, a fact that has been successfully exploited by generations of U.S. Air Force leaders in information campaigns. But as a result, the nation has often entered conflicts with exorbitant expectations about what airpower could actually accomplish, creating unique challenges in strategic communications when promises did not match reality, especially in recent conflicts. Adaptive enemies have also become very adept at using their own carefully crafted information campaigns to counter what is America’s greatest asymmetric advantage on the battlefield.


Silent Partners: Organized Crime, Irregular Groups, And Nation-States, Shima D. Keene Dr. Oct 2018

Silent Partners: Organized Crime, Irregular Groups, And Nation-States, Shima D. Keene Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

The U.S. Army increasingly faces adversaries that are difficult to define. The threat landscape is further complicated by the silent partnership between criminal organizations, irregular groups, and nation-states. This collaboration, whatever its exact nature, is problematic, because it confounds understanding of the adversary, making existing countermeasures less effective, and thus directly challenging U.S. national security interests. Military action taken without full appreciation of the dynamics of the nature of these relationships is likely to be ineffective at best or suffer unintended consequences. This monograph provides a comprehensive assessment of the threat to U.S. national security interests posed by the silent …


Assessing The Collective Security Treaty Organization: Capabilities And Vulnerabilities, Richard Weitz Dr. Oct 2018

Assessing The Collective Security Treaty Organization: Capabilities And Vulnerabilities, Richard Weitz Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies


Russia has strengthened its military position in Central Asia and the South Caucasus through a combination of bilateral and multilateral initiatives. The Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) has become the most important multilateral defense structure in the former Soviet Union and is an essential instrument in Russia’s resurgence. The CSTO has expanded its missions, authorities, and capabilities. However, it faces both internal and external challenges, especially debilitating divisions among its members.


Maintaining Information Dominance In Complex Environments, John A. S. Ardis Dr., Shima D. Keene Dr. Oct 2018

Maintaining Information Dominance In Complex Environments, John A. S. Ardis Dr., Shima D. Keene Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

There are many risks to the U.S. Army’s command and control (C2) operations and to its intelligence and information warfare (IW) capabilities. The challenges include: significant uncertainty; sudden unexpected events; high noise and clutter levels in intelligence pictures; basic and complex deceptions exercised through a variety of channels; the actions of hidden malign actors; and novel forms of attack on U.S. and allied command, control, communications, computers, information/intelligence, surveillance, targeting acquisition, and reconnaissance (C4ISTAR) systems. If the U.S. Army is to secure and maintain information dominance in all environments, it must exploit complexity and uncertainty in the battlespace and not …


The Relevance Of The European Union And The North Atlantic Treaty Organization For The United States In The 21st Century, Joel R. Hillison Dr. Sep 2018

The Relevance Of The European Union And The North Atlantic Treaty Organization For The United States In The 21st Century, Joel R. Hillison Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

The “America First” approach to foreign policy seems to call into question the value of institutions like the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) and the European Union (EU). However, in a more competitive and uncertain strategic environment, NATO and the EU remain vital to promoting U.S. interests.


Exit Strategy: Rule Of Law And The U.S. Army, Shima D. Keene Dr. Sep 2018

Exit Strategy: Rule Of Law And The U.S. Army, Shima D. Keene Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

Establishing the rule of law is a key goal and end state in counterinsurgency (COIN) operations and is a critical aspect of securing peace and preventing future conflict. However, recent experience in theaters such as Afghanistan has shown that establishing effective rule of law institutions and practices is not a straightforward task. Consequently, considerations as to how and when rule of law institutions can start to be developed and integrated into the stability transition process must not only be planned in advance, but also form part of the U.S. Army’s strategy from the start of any military intervention. The analysis …


The Dual-System Problem In Complex Conflicts, Robert D. Lamb Dr., Melissa R. Gregg Ms. Sep 2018

The Dual-System Problem In Complex Conflicts, Robert D. Lamb Dr., Melissa R. Gregg Ms.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

Conflict and fragile environments are increasingly complex and unpredictable, but the U.S. policy system itself is much more complex and unpredictable than most leaders appreciate. In this monograph, the authors argue that until we get a grasp on this “dual-system problem,” the United States will fall further and further behind in its strategic ambitions.


Impacts Of Anti-Access/Area Denial Measures On Space Systems: Issues And Implications For Army And Joint Forces, Jeffrey L. Caton Sep 2018

Impacts Of Anti-Access/Area Denial Measures On Space Systems: Issues And Implications For Army And Joint Forces, Jeffrey L. Caton

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

The 2018 National Defense Strategy and National Space Strategy both reaffirm the vital interests that the United States has in the domain of space. However, space remains an inherently hostile environment that has become congested, contested, and competitive among the nations. What are ways for the U.S. Army to assure the success of its space-dependent warfighting functions in an anti-access/area denial (A2/AD) environment where space systems are degraded for significant periods of time?


Radical Islamist English-Language Online Magazines: Research Guide, Strategic Insights, And Policy Response, Robert J. Bunker Dr., Pamela L. Bunnker Aug 2018

Radical Islamist English-Language Online Magazines: Research Guide, Strategic Insights, And Policy Response, Robert J. Bunker Dr., Pamela L. Bunnker

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

Radical Islamist online magazines first appeared in November 2003 with the publication of Sawt al-Jihad (Voice of Jihad) in Arabic. This magazine discontinued publication in April 2005 after 29 issues, having been shut down by the Saudi security services. The magazine was produced by the Saudi branch of al-Qaeda that later evolved into al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP). It called upon other al-Qaeda groups to develop and franchise their own magazines. Besides the plethora of radical Islamist online magazines in Arabic that has been produced since 2003—along with those in many other languages including Urdu, Russian, German, French, and …


Underestimated: Our Not So Peaceful Nuclear Future (Second Edition), Henry D. Sokolski Aug 2018

Underestimated: Our Not So Peaceful Nuclear Future (Second Edition), Henry D. Sokolski

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

No abstract provided.


New Directions In Just-War Theory, J. Toby Reiner Dr. Jul 2018

New Directions In Just-War Theory, J. Toby Reiner Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

One of the major developments in international law since World War II is the growth of human rights law dedicated to ensuring the protection of individuals from violence wherever they are, including from their own state. Tracking such changes, in recent decades, just-war theory has evolved from its traditional focus on state sovereignty in the direction of a rights-based approach that treats just wars as a form of global law enforcement. This monograph provides a survey of these developments, focusing on the increased scope for humanitarian intervention, principles of justice after war, and on the question of the responsibility of …