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The Hangman's Paradox And Newcomb's Paradox As Psychological Games, John Geanakoplos Jul 1996

The Hangman's Paradox And Newcomb's Paradox As Psychological Games, John Geanakoplos

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

We present a (hopefully) fresh interpretation of the Hangman’s Paradox and Newcomb’s Paradox by casting the puzzles in the language of modern game theory, instead of in the realm of epistemology. Game theory moves the analysis away from the formal logic of the puzzles toward more practical problems, such as: On what day would the executioner hang the prisoner if he wanted to surprise him as much as possible? How should a surprise test be administered? We argue that both the Hangman’s Paradox and Newcomb’s Paradox are analogous to a well-known phenomenon in game theory, that giving a player an …

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Financial Audit – Resolution Trust Corporation's 1995 And 1994 Financial Statements, United States: Government Accountability Office (Gao) Jul 1996

Financial Audit – Resolution Trust Corporation's 1995 And 1994 Financial Statements, United States: Government Accountability Office (Gao)

Documents

No abstract provided.

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Press Release A2444, Argentina: Banco De La Repºblica Jun 1996

Press Release A2444, Argentina: Banco De La Repºblica

Documents

No abstract provided.

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Wage And Price Control Policies In Socialist Transitional Economies, Mohsen Fardmanesh, Li Tan Jun 1996

Wage And Price Control Policies In Socialist Transitional Economies, Mohsen Fardmanesh, Li Tan

Discussion Papers

No abstract provided.

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Mexico: Financial Fragility Or Structural Crisis?, James M. Cypher Jun 1996

Mexico: Financial Fragility Or Structural Crisis?, James M. Cypher

Documents

No abstract provided.

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Banking Privatisation In Israel, 1983-1994: A Case Study In Political Economy, Jonas Prager Jun 1996

Banking Privatisation In Israel, 1983-1994: A Case Study In Political Economy, Jonas Prager

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No abstract provided.

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Depositor Protection Act, National Assembly Of The Republic Of Korea Jun 1996

Depositor Protection Act, National Assembly Of The Republic Of Korea

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No abstract provided.

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Restructuring Senegal's Ailing Banks, Farah Ebrahimi Jun 1996

Restructuring Senegal's Ailing Banks, Farah Ebrahimi

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No abstract provided.

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Treasury And Federal Reserve Foreign Exchange Operations (January-March 1996), Federal Reserve System: Federal Reserve Bank Of New York Jun 1996

Treasury And Federal Reserve Foreign Exchange Operations (January-March 1996), Federal Reserve System: Federal Reserve Bank Of New York

Documents

No abstract provided.

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Yale Scientific Magazine: Volume 70, Number 4 Jun 1996

Yale Scientific Magazine: Volume 70, Number 4

Yale Scientific Magazine

No abstract provided.

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Report And Recommendation Of The President Of The International Development Association To The Executive Directors On A Proposed Financial Sector Adjustment Credit In An Amount Equivalent To Sdr 31.2 Million To The Kyrgyz Republic, World Bank/World Bank Group May 1996

Report And Recommendation Of The President Of The International Development Association To The Executive Directors On A Proposed Financial Sector Adjustment Credit In An Amount Equivalent To Sdr 31.2 Million To The Kyrgyz Republic, World Bank/World Bank Group

Documents

http://documents1.worldbank.org/curated/en/539551468263716506/pdf/multi-page.pdf

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Enforcement Decree Of The Depositor Protection Act, National Assembly Of The Republic Of Korea May 1996

Enforcement Decree Of The Depositor Protection Act, National Assembly Of The Republic Of Korea

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No abstract provided.

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Sr 96-13 (Sup) - Supervisory Letter To The Officer In Charge Of Supervision At Each Federal Reserve Bank Subject: Joint Policy Statement On Interest Rate Risk, Federal Reserve System: Board Of Governors May 1996

Sr 96-13 (Sup) - Supervisory Letter To The Officer In Charge Of Supervision At Each Federal Reserve Bank Subject: Joint Policy Statement On Interest Rate Risk, Federal Reserve System: Board Of Governors

Documents

No abstract provided.

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The Economic Consequences Of A Declining Hegemon, Koichi Hamada May 1996

The Economic Consequences Of A Declining Hegemon, Koichi Hamada

Discussion Papers

No abstract provided.

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The Trade-Growth Nexus In Taiwan’S Development, Gustav Ranis May 1996

The Trade-Growth Nexus In Taiwan’S Development, Gustav Ranis

Discussion Papers

No abstract provided.

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The Cloning And Characterization Of Toad-64: A Gene Expressed Transiently During Neuronal Differentiation In The Mammalian Nervous System, Jane Elizabeth Minturn May 1996

The Cloning And Characterization Of Toad-64: A Gene Expressed Transiently During Neuronal Differentiation In The Mammalian Nervous System, Jane Elizabeth Minturn

Yale Medicine Thesis Digital Library

During the development of the mammalian central nervous system, a pool of morphologically homogeneous, mitotically active progenitor cells in the neural tube gives rise to the enormously diverse population of postmitotic cells that assume the properties of neurons or glia. Postmitotic neurons elaborate processes that are involved in the migration of neurons to their adult positions as well as the elaboration of axonal and dendritic arbors that will ultimately form specific synaptic contacts. The generation of postmitotic neurons from precursor cells is a central differentiative event in development, but molecular markers of this event are few.Using 2D gel electrophoresis, proteins …

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Matrices With Identical Sets Of Neighbors, Imre Bárány, Herbert E. Scarf May 1996

Matrices With Identical Sets Of Neighbors, Imre Bárány, Herbert E. Scarf

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

Given a generic m by n matrix A , a lattice point h in Z is a neighbor of the origin if the body { x : Ax < b }, with b i = max{0, a i h }, i = 1, …, m , contains no lattice point other than 0 and h . The set of neighbors, N ( A ), is finite and Asymmetric. We show that if A’ is another matrix of the same size with the property that sign a i h = sign a i ’ h for every i and every h in N ( A ), then A’ has precisely the same set of neighbors as A . The collection of such matrices is a polyhedral cone, described by a finite set of linear inequalities, each such inequality corresponding to a generator of one of the cones C i = pos( h in N ( A ): a i h < 0}. Computational experience shows that C i has “few” generators. We demonstrate this in the first nontrivial case n = 3, m = 4.

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Tests Of Seasonal And Non-Seasonal Serial Correlation, Donald W.K. Andrews, Xuemei Liu, Werner Ploberger May 1996

Tests Of Seasonal And Non-Seasonal Serial Correlation, Donald W.K. Andrews, Xuemei Liu, Werner Ploberger

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

This paper considers tests for seasonal and non-seasonal serial correlation in time series and in the errors of regression models. The problem of testing for white noise against multiplicative seasonal ARMA(l,l)-ARMA(l,l) alternatives is investigated. This testing problem is non-standard due to nuisance parameters that appear under the alternative but not under the null hypothesis. The likelihood ratio (LR), sup Lagrange multiplier (LM), and exponential average LM and LR tests are considered and are shown to be asymptotically admissible for multiplicative seasonal ARMA(l,l)-ARMA(l,l) alternatives. In addition, they are shown to be consistent against all (weakly stationary strong mixing) non-white noise alternatives. …

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A Scorecard For Indexed Government Debt, John Y. Campbell, Robert J. Shiller May 1996

A Scorecard For Indexed Government Debt, John Y. Campbell, Robert J. Shiller

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

Within the last five years, Canada, Sweden and New Zealand have joined the ranks of the United Kingdom and other countries in issuing government bonds that are indexed to inflation. Some observers of the experience in these countries have argued that the United States should follow suit. This paper provides an overview of the issues surrounding debt indexation, and it tries to answer three empirical questions about indexed debt. First, how different would the returns on indexed bonds be from the returns on existing US debt instruments? Second, how would indexed bonds affect the government’s average financing costs? Third, how …

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Hedging With Derivatives In Incomplete Markets, Charalambos D. Aliprantis, Donald J. Brown, J. Werner May 1996

Hedging With Derivatives In Incomplete Markets, Charalambos D. Aliprantis, Donald J. Brown, J. Werner

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

We present necessary and sufficient conditions on the asset span of incomplete derivative markets for insuring marketed portfolios. If the asset span is finite dimensional there exists a polynomial-time algorithm for deciding if every marketed portfolio is insurable, moreover this algorithm computes the minimum cost insurance portfolio. In addition, we extend the Cox-Leland characterization of optimal portfolio insurance in complete derivative markets to asset spans of incomplete derivative markets where every marketed portfolio is insurable.

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Housing Enterprises: Potential Impacts Of Severing Government Sponsorship, United States: Government Accountability Office (Gao) May 1996

Housing Enterprises: Potential Impacts Of Severing Government Sponsorship, United States: Government Accountability Office (Gao)

Documents

No abstract provided.

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A Harmful Guarantee? The 1983 Israel Bank Shares Crisis Revisited, Asher A. Blass, Richard S. Grossman May 1996

A Harmful Guarantee? The 1983 Israel Bank Shares Crisis Revisited, Asher A. Blass, Richard S. Grossman

Documents

No abstract provided.

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Genetic And Biochemical Characterization Of Drosophila Singed, A Homolog Of The Actin Bundling Protein Fascin, Kelly Cant May 1996

Genetic And Biochemical Characterization Of Drosophila Singed, A Homolog Of The Actin Bundling Protein Fascin, Kelly Cant

Yale Medicine Thesis Digital Library

Drosophila singed mutants were named for their gnarled bristle phenotype, however, severe alleles are also female sterile due to a defect in nurse cell cytoplasm transport. Recently, singed protein was shown to have 35% peptide identity with the actin bundling protein fascin. I present evidence that singed is a homolog of fascin. In vivo, singed is required for actin filament bundle formation in the cytoplasm of nurse cells during oogenesis and in the cellular extension that forms a bristle. In vitro, purified bacterially-expressed singed bundles actin filaments with the same 12 nm periodicity and stoichiometry reported for sea urchin fascin.While …

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Three Brief Proofs Of Arrow's Impossibility Theorem, John Geanakoplos Apr 1996

Three Brief Proofs Of Arrow's Impossibility Theorem, John Geanakoplos

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

Arrow’s original proof of his impossibility theorem proceeded in two steps: showing the existence of a decisive voter, and then showing that a decisive voter is a dictator. Barbera replaced the decisive voter with the weaker notion of a pivotal voter, thereby shortening the first step, but complicating the second step. I give three brief proofs, all of which turn on replacing the decisive/pivotal voter with an extremely pivotal voter (a voter who by unilaterally changing his vote can move some alternative from the bottom of the social ranking to the top), thereby simplifying both steps in Arrow’s proof. My …

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Nota Bene; Volume X, Number Ii, Yale University Library Apr 1996

Nota Bene; Volume X, Number Ii, Yale University Library

Nota Bene

Nota Bene is published during the academic year to acquaint the Yale community and others with the resources of the Yale Library.

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Yale Political Monthly 1996 April, The Politic, Inc. Apr 1996

Yale Political Monthly 1996 April, The Politic, Inc.

The Politic

No abstract provided.

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The Common External Tariff Of A Customs Union: Alternative Approaches, T.N. Srinivasan Apr 1996

The Common External Tariff Of A Customs Union: Alternative Approaches, T.N. Srinivasan

Discussion Papers

No abstract provided.

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Three Brief Proofs Of Arrow's Impossibility Theorem, John Geanakoplos Apr 1996

Three Brief Proofs Of Arrow's Impossibility Theorem, John Geanakoplos

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

Arrow’s original proof of his impossibility theorem proceeded in two steps: showing the existence of a decisive voter, and then showing that a decisive voter is a dictator. Barbera replaced the decisive voter with the weaker notion of a pivotal voter, thereby shortening the first step, but complicating the second step. I give three brief proofs, all of which turn on replacing the decisive/pivotal voter with an extremely pivotal voter (a voter who by unilaterally changing his vote can move some alternative from the bottom of the social ranking to the top), thereby simplifying both steps in Arrow’s proof. My …

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A Stopping Rule For The Computation Of Generalized Method Of Moments Estimators, Donald W.K. Andrews Apr 1996

A Stopping Rule For The Computation Of Generalized Method Of Moments Estimators, Donald W.K. Andrews

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

To obtain consistency and asymptotic normality, a generalized method of moments (GMM) estimator typically is defined to be an approximate global minimizer of a GMM criterion function. To compute such an estimator, however, can be problematic because of the difficulty of global optimization. In consequence, practitioners usually ignore the problem and take the GMM estimator to be the result of a local optimization algorithm. This yields an estimator that is not necessarily consistent and asymptotically normal. The use of a local optimization algorithm also can run into the problem of instability due to flats or ridges in the criterion function, …

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Market Experimentation And Pricing, Dirk Bergemann, Juuso Välimäki Apr 1996

Market Experimentation And Pricing, Dirk Bergemann, Juuso Välimäki

Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers

We present a continuous-time model of Bayesian learning in a duopolistic market. Initially the value of one product offered is unknown to the market. The market participants learn more about the true value of the product as experimentation occurs over time. Firms set prices to induce experimentation with their product. The aggregate outcomes are public information. As agents learn from the experiments of others, informational externalities arise. Surprisingly, the informational externality leads to too much learning. Buyers do not consider the impact of their experimentation on other buyers while the sellers internalize the gains from experiments conducted by the buyers. …

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