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Arming Our Allies: The Case For Offensive Capabilities, Jakub Grygiel Sep 2015

Arming Our Allies: The Case For Offensive Capabilities, Jakub Grygiel

The US Army War College Quarterly: Parameters

No abstract provided.


Civil-Military Relations: The Role Of Military Leaders In Strategy Making, William E. Rapp Sep 2015

Civil-Military Relations: The Role Of Military Leaders In Strategy Making, William E. Rapp

The US Army War College Quarterly: Parameters

No abstract provided.


Book Reviews, Usawc Parameters Sep 2015

Book Reviews, Usawc Parameters

The US Army War College Quarterly: Parameters

No abstract provided.


Dealing With Uncertainty In Strategic Decision-Making, Yakov Ben-Haim Sep 2015

Dealing With Uncertainty In Strategic Decision-Making, Yakov Ben-Haim

The US Army War College Quarterly: Parameters

No abstract provided.


The Centurion Mindset And The Army's Strategic Leader Paradigm, Jason W. Warren Sep 2015

The Centurion Mindset And The Army's Strategic Leader Paradigm, Jason W. Warren

The US Army War College Quarterly: Parameters

No abstract provided.


Cyber Defense: An International View, Keir Giles Mr., Kim Hartmann Ms. Sep 2015

Cyber Defense: An International View, Keir Giles Mr., Kim Hartmann Ms.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

An overview of four different national approaches to cyber defense are discussed: those of Norway, Estonia, Germany and Sweden. While providing a useful guide for engagement with the relevant governmental and other organizations in each of these countries, the Paper also compares and contrasts the advantages and drawbacks of each national approach.


The Ethics Of Drone Strikes: Does Reducing The Cost Of Conflict Encourage War?, Marcus Schulzke Dr., James Igoe Walsh Dr. Sep 2015

The Ethics Of Drone Strikes: Does Reducing The Cost Of Conflict Encourage War?, Marcus Schulzke Dr., James Igoe Walsh Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

Armed unmanned aerial vehicles—combat drones—have fundamentally altered the ways the United States conducts military operations aimed at countering insurgent and terrorist organizations. Drone technology is on track to become an increasingly important part of the country’s arsenal, as numerous unmanned systems are in development and will likely enter service in the future. Concerned citizens, academics, journalists, nongovernmental organizations, and policymakers have raised questions about the ethical consequences of drones and issued calls for their military use to be strictly regulated. This level of concern is evidence that the future of drone warfare not only hinges on technical innovations, but also …


The Limits Of Offshore Balancing, Hal Brands Dr. Sep 2015

The Limits Of Offshore Balancing, Hal Brands Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

Is offshore balancing the right grand strategy for America? Is it time for Washington to roll back the vast system of overseas security commitments and forward military deployments that have anchored its international posture since World War II? This monograph argues that the answer to these questions is no. Offshore balancing represents the preferred grand strategy among many leading international-relations “realists,” who argue that significant geopolitical retrenchment can actually improve America’s strategic position while slashing the costs of its foreign policy. The reality, however, is rather different. The probable benefits of offshore balancing—both financial and geopolitical—are frequently exaggerated, while the …


Developing Emerging Leaders: The Bush School And The Legacy Of The 41st President, Joseph R. Cerami Dr. Sep 2015

Developing Emerging Leaders: The Bush School And The Legacy Of The 41st President, Joseph R. Cerami Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

The main focus of this monograph is to synthesize the top research on leadership and leader development and to highlight the needs for developing individuals committed to careers of service across the public, private, and nonprofit sectors. The foundation for the research is based on ideas drawn from leadership and management literature, government doctrine and reports, think tank studies, and case studies. The Army has long sought to be innovative in its leader development. Most recently, the Army’s Human Development White Paper supports TRADOC Pamphlet 5250301, The U.S. Army Operating Concept, “Win in a Complex World” document (2014), by emphasizing …


2015-16 Key Strategic Issues List, John F. Troxell Professor Aug 2015

2015-16 Key Strategic Issues List, John F. Troxell Professor

Articles & Editorials

The recently published National Military Strategy emphasizes the unpredictability of the global security environment. According to General Dempsey, “global disorder has significantly increased while some of our comparative military advantage has begun to erode. We now face multiple, simultaneous security challenges…” General Odierno echoes this concern by pointing to the “increased velocity of instability,” and emboldened potential adversaries that have “magnified the risk to U.S. interests around the world.” Responding to this period of geopolitical uncertainty demands thoughtful and careful analysis of a wide array of strategic issues. The Strategic Studies Institutes’ (SSI) annual Key Strategic Issues List (KSIL) addresses …


Terrorist And Insurgent Unmanned Aerial Vehicles: Use, Potentials, And Military Implications, Robert J. Bunker Dr. Aug 2015

Terrorist And Insurgent Unmanned Aerial Vehicles: Use, Potentials, And Military Implications, Robert J. Bunker Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

This manuscript focuses on the present threat posed by terrorist and insurgent use of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) as well as associated future threat potentials. This work presents a counterintuitive analysis in the sense that armed drones are typically viewed as a component of America’s conventional warfighting prowess—not a technology that would be used against U.S. troops deployed overseas or against civilians back home. The emerging threat of such UAV use against the United States is investigated, and the unique analysis and creative approach related to the threat scenario variants generated are very informative. Hopefully, the larger implications posed by …


Using Target Audience Analysis To Aid Strategic Level Decisionmaking, Steve Tatham Dr. Aug 2015

Using Target Audience Analysis To Aid Strategic Level Decisionmaking, Steve Tatham Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

The author explains how sophisticated social science research and behavioral profiling can be used to warn us of impeding issues and how that information might be used by senior strategy makers as a tool for testing and refining strategy. He makes a compelling case that the science of Target Audience Analysis (TAA) is now so well advanced that it must become a key component of future strategic decisionmaking. The author views social media as just another communication conduit, and sees this as a continuum of wrong activities being undertaken. In Iraq and Afghanistan, he saw how big public relations and …


Duffer’S Shoal: A Strategic Dream Of The Pacific Command Area Of Responsibility, Russell N. Bailey Colonel, Bob Dixon Lieutenant Colonel, Derek J. O'Malley Lieutenant Colonel, Christopher J. Parsons Colonel (Nz) Aug 2015

Duffer’S Shoal: A Strategic Dream Of The Pacific Command Area Of Responsibility, Russell N. Bailey Colonel, Bob Dixon Lieutenant Colonel, Derek J. O'Malley Lieutenant Colonel, Christopher J. Parsons Colonel (Nz)

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

This strategic assessment seeks to go beyond a traditional comparative analysis of the military, technological, political, cultural, and economic factors governing the relationships and capabilities of the Asia Pacific environment. To make sense of the intrinsic complexities unique to this region, we endeavor to broaden our view and rely on a tool often overlooked in government studies: imagination. Moreover, we aim to offer a strategic document that is readable, instructive, and provocative. Pulling from a well-referenced piece of military teaching, this assessment borrows a learning concept first employed in 1904 by Major General Sir Ernest Dunlop Swinton in "The Defence …


Parameters – Full Issue – Summer 2015, Usawc Parameters Jul 2015

Parameters – Full Issue – Summer 2015, Usawc Parameters

The US Army War College Quarterly: Parameters

Has the US Lost the Ability to Fight a Major War? by Steven Metz The US Military in Africa by Kristen A. Harkness, Kertsi Larsdotter Threats Within and Without by, Amy Zegart, John R. Deni Toward a Smarter Military by Robert R. Tomes, Everett S.P. Spain, J.D. Mohundro, & Bernard B. Banks Kick the Door Down with AirSea Battle…Then What? by Martin N. Murphy


A Hard Look At Hard Power: Assessing The Defense Capabilities Of Key U.S. Allies And Security Partners, Gary J. Schmitt Mr. Jul 2015

A Hard Look At Hard Power: Assessing The Defense Capabilities Of Key U.S. Allies And Security Partners, Gary J. Schmitt Mr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

Since World War II, a key element of America’s grand strategy has been its worldwide network of strategic allies and partners. The network has provided the United States an invaluable global presence, enhanced deterrence against adversaries and, when called upon, provided men and materiel to help fight wars. However, following the end of the Cold War, less attention has been paid to America’s allies, especially their “hard power” capabilities, despite the United States and its allies going to war more frequently than before. This volume addresses that gap, providing a holistic account of allied hard power and, in turn, the …


The Chinese People's Liberation Army In 2025, Roy Kamphausen Mr., David Lai Dr. Jul 2015

The Chinese People's Liberation Army In 2025, Roy Kamphausen Mr., David Lai Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

This volume is of special relevance in light of the profound changes occurring within the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA). China’s desire to develop a military commensurate with its diverse interests is both legitimate and understandable. The challenge for U.S. Pacific Command (USPACOM) is to understand how China will employ this growing military capability in support of its interests. The book addresses the uncertainty surrounding the potential direction of the PLA by examining three distinct focus areas: domestic, external, and technological drivers of PLA modernization; alternative futures for the PLA; and, implications for the region, world, and U.S.-China relations. The …


The Limits Of Military Officers’ Duty To Obey Civilian Orders: A Neo-Classical Perspective, Robert E. Atkinson, Mr. Jul 2015

The Limits Of Military Officers’ Duty To Obey Civilian Orders: A Neo-Classical Perspective, Robert E. Atkinson, Mr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

This monograph offers a neo-classically republican perspective on a perennial problem of civilian/military relations: limitations on military officers’ obligation to obey civilian authorities. All commentators agree that military officers are generally obliged—morally, professionally, and legally—to obey civilian orders, even as they agree that this rule of obedience must admit of exceptions. Commentators tend to differ, however, on the basis and breadth of these exceptions. Following Samuel Huntington’s classic analysis in The Soldier and the State, this monograph shows that disagreement about the breadth of the exceptions tends to assume that their bases—moral, professional, and legal—are incommensurable. It suggests, to …


China's Rise And Reconfiguration Of Central Asia's Geopolitics: A Case For U.S. "Pivot" To Eurasia, Roman Muzalevsky Mr. Jul 2015

China's Rise And Reconfiguration Of Central Asia's Geopolitics: A Case For U.S. "Pivot" To Eurasia, Roman Muzalevsky Mr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

China’s global rise has prompted numerous discussions and studies of this historically monumental phenomenon and its implications for the world. On the one hand, China’s emergence as a global player has generated a lot of optimism for global development and economic convergence. On the other, it has spurred concerns about possible collisions on the world stage as existing and emerging powers seek to retain and redesign their roles and influences. Related opportunities and fears have been especially pronounced in countries neighboring China, including in Central Asia where the newly independent and post-Soviet republics face a possibility of yet another imperial …


Reassessing The Barriers To Islamic Radicalization In Kazakhstan, Roger N. Mcdermott Mr., Zhulduz Baizakova Ms. Jul 2015

Reassessing The Barriers To Islamic Radicalization In Kazakhstan, Roger N. Mcdermott Mr., Zhulduz Baizakova Ms.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

Central Asia has been experiencing an increase or activation of radical Islamic movements over the last decade or so. These complex processes include increasing urbanization, institutional and individual corruption, the growing gap between rich and poor, the inability of the state to provide security, corruption in the law enforcement agencies, poor functioning of the state religious bodies, inefficient power structures, limited scope for citizens to influence decisionmaking, all which result in lower trust in the authorities as well as other factors. The authoritarian regimes of Central Asia gave rise to boiling anger and discontent among their populations. For people unable …


The Army War College Review Vol. 1 No. 2, Larry D. Miller Dr. Jun 2015

The Army War College Review Vol. 1 No. 2, Larry D. Miller Dr.

Articles & Editorials

The Army War College Review, a refereed publication of student work, is produced under the purview of the Strategic Studies Institute and the United States Army War College. An electronic quarterly, The AWC Review connects student intellectual work with professionals invested in U.S. national security, Landpower, strategic leadership, global security studies, and the advancement of the profession of arms.


Kick The Door Down With Airsea Battle…Then What?, Martin N. Murphy Jun 2015

Kick The Door Down With Airsea Battle…Then What?, Martin N. Murphy

The US Army War College Quarterly: Parameters

No abstract provided.


Security Assistance In Africa: The Case For Less, Kersti Larsdotter Jun 2015

Security Assistance In Africa: The Case For Less, Kersti Larsdotter

The US Army War College Quarterly: Parameters

No abstract provided.


Socio-Cultural Intelligence And National Security, Robert R. Tomes Jun 2015

Socio-Cultural Intelligence And National Security, Robert R. Tomes

The US Army War College Quarterly: Parameters

No abstract provided.


Has The United States Lost The Ability To Fight A Major War?, Steven Metz Jun 2015

Has The United States Lost The Ability To Fight A Major War?, Steven Metz

The US Army War College Quarterly: Parameters

No abstract provided.


Book Reviews, Usawc Press Jun 2015

Book Reviews, Usawc Press

The US Army War College Quarterly: Parameters

No abstract provided.


The Strategic Lessons Unlearned From Vietnam, Iraq, And Afghanistan: Why The Ansf Will Not Hold, And The Implications For The U.S. Army In Afghanistan, M. Chris Mason Dr. Jun 2015

The Strategic Lessons Unlearned From Vietnam, Iraq, And Afghanistan: Why The Ansf Will Not Hold, And The Implications For The U.S. Army In Afghanistan, M. Chris Mason Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

The wars in Vietnam, Iraq, and Afghanistan were lost before they began, not on the battlefields, where the United States won every tactical engagement, but at the strategic level of war. In each case, the U.S. Government attempted to create a Western-style democracy in countries which were decades at least away from being nations with the sociopolitical capital necessary to sustain democracy and, most importantly, accept it as a legitimate source of governance. The expensive indigenous armies created in the image of the U.S. Army lacked both the motivation to fight for illegitimate governments in Saigon, Baghdad, and Kabul and …


The Strategic Importance Of The Global Oil Market, Leif Rosenberger Dr. Jun 2015

The Strategic Importance Of The Global Oil Market, Leif Rosenberger Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

This Letort Paper analyzes the new global oil market. It shows how the price of oil reflects the confluence of four interrelated factors. First, the Paper explores why the supply of oil has been soaring in the world. Second, it explains why the demand for oil has been relatively weak. Third, it discusses the role that Wall Street plays in moving the price of oil. Fourth, it examines the importance of the U.S. dollar in determining the prices of oil. As a result of these factors, oil prices are relatively low. The Paper also explains how these low oil prices …


Iraq’S Shia Warlords And Their Militias: Political And Security Challenges And Options, Norman Cigar Dr. Jun 2015

Iraq’S Shia Warlords And Their Militias: Political And Security Challenges And Options, Norman Cigar Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

As America’s de facto co-belligerents who often share the same battlespace in the fight against the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria, the presence and activity of Iraq’s Shia warlords and their militias have an impact on U.S. interests and policies at both the strategic and operational levels. The objective of this monograph is to provide a better understanding of the Shia militia phenomenon and to highlight the factors with which U.S. policymakers and U.S. Army planners and commanders will have to deal with respect to operations in Iraq.


The New Russian Engagement With Latin America: Strategic Position, Commerce, And Dreams Of The Past, R. Evan Ellis Dr. Jun 2015

The New Russian Engagement With Latin America: Strategic Position, Commerce, And Dreams Of The Past, R. Evan Ellis Dr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

In many ways, Russia’s expanded engagement in Latin America as a response to escalating tension over the Ukraine was a repetition of its answer to U.S. involvement in the 2008 conflict in the former Soviet Republic of Georgia. In the latter conflict, the U.S. deployed naval forces to the Black Sea in response to Russian support for the breakaway republics of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. Russia countered with a series of actions in Latin America, including sending nuclear-capable Tu-160 bombers to Venezuela, from where they conducted symbolically-charged flights around the Caribbean. A month later, a four-ship Russian naval flotilla deployed …


Russian Ballistic Missile Defense: Rhetoric And Reality, Keir Giles Mr. Jun 2015

Russian Ballistic Missile Defense: Rhetoric And Reality, Keir Giles Mr.

Books, Monographs & Collaborative Studies

Russia's actions in Ukraine are not the only challenge to relations with the United States. U.S. plans for ballistic missile defense (BMD) capability in Europe have led to aggressive rhetoric from Moscow, which continues at the time of this writing even though attention in the West is focused almost exclusively on Ukraine. Russia’s strenuous opposition to the U.S. European Phased Adaptive Approach plans is based on claims that this capability is intended to compromise Russia’s nuclear deterrent capability. Most of these claims have been dismissed as groundless. Yet, all discussion of the subject highlights the U.S. current and proposed deployments, …