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A Validation Study Of The Ssm/I Temperature Algorithm And Comparison With The Cal/Val Land Surface Temperatures, Ronald L. Comoglio
A Validation Study Of The Ssm/I Temperature Algorithm And Comparison With The Cal/Val Land Surface Temperatures, Ronald L. Comoglio
Theses and Dissertations
The USAF operational cloud model, the Real-Time Nephanalysis (RTNEPH), requires infrared and visual scene scans as well as input from the Special Sensor Microwave Imager (SSM/I), featured on the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program (DMSP) polar orbiters. Additionally, SSM/I provides input to the Air Force Global Weather Center (AFGWC) surface temperature model (SFCTMP). The global surface temperatures are required for identifying which pixel of a scene is cloud and which is ground and as a first guess input to initialize NWP models. The SSM/I provides brightness temperatures sampled at four discrete: frequencies and dual polarizations to produce surface temperatures. Two algorithms …
Development And Implementation Of An Isentropic Potential Vorticity Algorithm For Use At Air Force Global Weather Center, Jay B. Desjardins Jr.
Development And Implementation Of An Isentropic Potential Vorticity Algorithm For Use At Air Force Global Weather Center, Jay B. Desjardins Jr.
Theses and Dissertations
This thesis presents and validates methods for calculating isentropic potential vorticity (IPV) and applies these methods in software programs planned for implementation at the Air Force Global Weather Center (AFGWC). The IPV programs will provide Air Force Weather forecasters additional tools to diagnose atmospheric kinematics and understand atmospheric dynamics. A FORTRAN program is recommended using mandatory-level isobaric data projected to be available on AFGWC computer systems, specifically, from the Navy Operational Global Atmosphere Prediction System and Medium Range Forecast models. Program development and analysis consists of three main steps: (1) data retrieval; (2) IPV calculations; and, (3) interpolation to an …
An Atmospheric Sensitivity And Validation Study Of The Variable Terrain Radio Parabolic Equation Model (Vtrpe), Matthew K. Doggett
An Atmospheric Sensitivity And Validation Study Of The Variable Terrain Radio Parabolic Equation Model (Vtrpe), Matthew K. Doggett
Theses and Dissertations
The Variable Terrain Radio Parabolic Equation (VTRPE) computer model is a powerful and flexible program that provides calculations of the radar propagation conditions of the atmosphere. It is limited however, by the accuracy and resolution of the input data. This study quantifies the sensitivity of the VTRPE model to the accuracy and resolution of the atmospheric parameters that go into it. Also, two case studies are examined to test the utility of VTRPE in operational use. The sensitivity to measurements of pressure, temperature, and humidity was found to be dependent on the meteorological environment. In standard and subrefractive environments, average …
Optimization Of The Velocity Azimuth Display (Vad) Algorithm's Adaptable Parameters In The Wsr-88d System, Donald R. Farris
Optimization Of The Velocity Azimuth Display (Vad) Algorithm's Adaptable Parameters In The Wsr-88d System, Donald R. Farris
Theses and Dissertations
Meteorologists have encountered problems with the Velocity Azimuth Display (VAD) algorithm in the Weather Surveillance Radar - 1988 Doppler (WSR-88D) System. Under certain meteorological conditions, forecasters have observed differences between the radar's wind profiles and wind profiles from rawinsonde upper-air soundings, or wind profilers. One of the main causes of this problem is inversions in the atmosphere which cause the radar beam to subrefract or superefract, causing the VAD winds to be inaccurately reported at a particular height. This thesis used the WSR-88D Algorithm Testing and Display System (WATADS) to compare VAD winds from recorded Level 2 NEXRAD data at …
Adaption Of The Air Weather Service Fog Model To Forecast Radiation Fog Events In The Southeast United States, Andrew C. Goodnite
Adaption Of The Air Weather Service Fog Model To Forecast Radiation Fog Events In The Southeast United States, Andrew C. Goodnite
Theses and Dissertations
This research examined the performance of the Air Weather Service (AWS) Fog Model and the potential for using it in the Southeast United States for predicting fog. This task was accomplished in four separate steps. First, a correlation study was performed by comparing different weather elements in observations that met radiational cooling conditions to the observed visibility. This correlation study showed that the 22 UTC dewpoint depression was correlated (0.60) with early morning fog and no other weather elements that are commonly observed had significant correlation with early morning fog. Second, a verification study was conducted on the Saint Louis …
Validation Of The Air Force Global Weather Center Relocatable Window Model Total Cloud Forecast, Edward C. Harris
Validation Of The Air Force Global Weather Center Relocatable Window Model Total Cloud Forecast, Edward C. Harris
Theses and Dissertations
Air Force Global Weather Center's (AFGWC) Relocatable Window Model (RWM) total cloud forecasts were validated using data for selected days in May, June, and July, 1996. Forecasts were generated twice daily (00 UTC and 12 UTC) to determine the RWM's ability to accurately forecast total cloud cover during the late spring and early summer. The RWM forecasts were post-processed using the Slingo cloud forecast algorithm and compared against AFGWC's operational real time nephanalysis (RTNEPH) cloud analysis model. As a minimal-skill baseline comparison to the RWM's total cloud forecast, the RTNEPH initial analysis hour was persisted and evaluated against the same …
Moisture Sensitivity Of Contrail Forecast Algorithms, Allen C. Rabayda
Moisture Sensitivity Of Contrail Forecast Algorithms, Allen C. Rabayda
Theses and Dissertations
This thesis looked at using new relative humidity (RH) climatologies to improve the Air Force Global Weather Center's (AFGWC) contrail forecasts. To study the effect of the new RH climatolgies, the currently used empirical relative humidity (RH) profile is replaced with a more accurate climatological one, the Stratospheric And Gaseous Experiment II (SAGE II). The study begins by examining accuracy and bias of forecast contrail bases generated by the empirical and SAGE II RH profiles on 42 days. Both sets of forecast bases are shown to be statistically similar with a series of hypothesis tests. Additional RH profiles, from 0% …
Quantification Of Weather Effects On Imaging Laser Radar, Clifton D. Stargardt
Quantification Of Weather Effects On Imaging Laser Radar, Clifton D. Stargardt
Theses and Dissertations
The Air Force is investigating the use of imaging laser radar systems as autonomous guidance systems on future precision guided munitions. The Air Force's Wright Laboratory is currently testing a 1.06 micron wavelength laser radar (ladar) at Eglin Air Force Base. Since laser radiation can be susceptible to propagation problems through weather, quantitative understanding of these effects is important to the development of this weapon system. Ladar image degradation, in the form of target dropouts and false returns, was evaluated in various weather conditions. Statistical analysis of the images presented expected degrees of degradation according to visibility and rain fall …
Sensitivity Analysis Of A Combat Simulation Using Response Surface Methodology, William J. Berg
Sensitivity Analysis Of A Combat Simulation Using Response Surface Methodology, William J. Berg
Theses and Dissertations
This thesis provides a methodology to analyze the sensitivity of a combat simulation relative to the capabilities of the modeled weapon systems. Response Surface Methodology (RSM) was the primary technique used for analysis. A ground battle scenario was developed with a commercial PC wargame Empire II: The Art of War(TM). In the computer verses computer mode, the wargame was transformed into a combat simulation'. A screening experiment was used to determine which of an original 23 weapon factors were actually significant to this scenario. After analyzing the remaining five factors, only three ended up as truly significant to the battle …
Ranking And Generating Alternatives For The National Air Intelligence Center's (Naic) Resource Allocation Strategy, Steven M. Cox
Ranking And Generating Alternatives For The National Air Intelligence Center's (Naic) Resource Allocation Strategy, Steven M. Cox
Theses and Dissertations
Allocating resources is never an easy task, especially when requirements call for more resources than those available. It gets more difficult when the availability of resources shrinks from year to year. This is the case at the National Air Intelligence Center (NAIC). In each of the past five years, NAIC has been forced to make their resource allocation decision with fewer dollars and less manpower. This decision has been time consuming, manpower intensive, and sometimes very heated. In an effort to lessen these three consequences, a resource allocation model, based upon the NAIC Commander's values and preferences, was developed. The …
Modeling Mirv Footprint Constraints In The Weapons Assignment Model, Elliot T. Fair
Modeling Mirv Footprint Constraints In The Weapons Assignment Model, Elliot T. Fair
Theses and Dissertations
US Strategic Command (USSTRATCOM) is developing a new linear programming model called the Weapons Assignment Model (WAM) to perform weapons assignment for the Strategic Integrated Operations Plan (SIOP). One of the major improvements WAM will have over its predecessor is the ability to include Multiple Independently Targetable Reentry Vehicle (MIRV) footprinting constraints in the optimization process. In order to include MIRV footprint constraints in WAM, a methodology is needed to model the MIRV footprints in a manner that is consistent with the limitations of linear programming. Two techniques for modeling MIRV footprints were developed. The first, Geometric Approximation (GA), uses …
Modeling A Chemical Battlefield And The Resulting Effects In A Theater-Level Combat Model, Todd M. Gesling
Modeling A Chemical Battlefield And The Resulting Effects In A Theater-Level Combat Model, Todd M. Gesling
Theses and Dissertations
This thesis describes the development of a methodology to model chemical weapons use in the Joint Staff's Joint Warfare Analysis Experimental Prototype (JWAEP) and to quantify the resulting effects. The methodology incorporates organic unit assets and theater-level chemical assets into JWAEP by using the three principles of nuclear, biological, and chemical defense (NBC) which reflect joint and Army doctrine, and combines them with the basic concepts already used in existing theater-level models. Other aspects of the problem include representing chemical 'packages' on the battlefield, determining attrition and time effects, adjusting unit effectiveness, determining chemical package intelligence acquisition procedures, identifying solution …
Linking Procurement Dollars To An Alternative Force Structures' Combat Capability Using Response Surface Methodology, James B. Grier
Linking Procurement Dollars To An Alternative Force Structures' Combat Capability Using Response Surface Methodology, James B. Grier
Theses and Dissertations
A General Officer Steering Group, chaired by HQ USAF/XOM tasked action to develop and implement evaluation and analysis support to lead turn' the Program Objective Memorandum (POM) and Joint Warfare Capability Assessment (JWCA) process. This evaluation process should be designed to supply measures of the 'health' of the Air Force program in light of the Defense Planning Guidance (DPG) and the Chairman's Program Assessment (CPA). The Air Force needs to be able to quickly evaluate various alternative force structures with regards to its combat capability, measured in terms of theater level campaign objectives (CO). HQ USAF/XOM tasked HQ USAF/XPY to …
A Decision Support System For Joint Force Air Component Commander (Jfacc) Combat Planning, Donald W. Hinton
A Decision Support System For Joint Force Air Component Commander (Jfacc) Combat Planning, Donald W. Hinton
Theses and Dissertations
This system allows assessment of the Master Air Attack Plan (MAAP) during construction and at completion. The system functions around a relational database management system providing a decision support tool for the Guidance, Apportionment, & Targeting (GAT) cell of Central Command's JFACC Combat Plans. A Microsoft Access application is programmed to provide PC-based, real time evaluation of air campaign goals and constraints. The decision support system was validated in February 1997 by the CENTAF combat plans staff at Blue Flag 97-1. The software and user's manual are maintained at HQ ACC/XP-Studies and Analysis Squadron.
Simulation Model Of Fighter Pilot Assignment Process, Anthony J. Hutfles
Simulation Model Of Fighter Pilot Assignment Process, Anthony J. Hutfles
Theses and Dissertations
This thesis analyzes the effect Continental United States (CONUS) Time on Station (TOS) has on filling critical rated assignments. A SIMSCRIPT II.5 simulation model of the F15 and F16 pilots assignment process was developed. The simulation tested the effect of changing CONUS TOS from 3 years to 6 years in half year increments. Analysis of the number of unfilled rated assignments from simulation runs of 10 years in length indicated that changing CONUS TOS by itself has no statistically significant effect on model's output. The analysis was expanded to a 2(2) factorial experimental design using CONUS TOS and Total Active …
Selecting A Health Care Option For Military Beneficiaries That Minimizes Health Care Costs While Maintaining Personal Desires For Choice, Norman H. Pallister
Selecting A Health Care Option For Military Beneficiaries That Minimizes Health Care Costs While Maintaining Personal Desires For Choice, Norman H. Pallister
Theses and Dissertations
Tricare, the triservice, triple-option, managed care plan for the uniformed services, incorporates a managed care support contract to complement Military Treatment Facilities. Currently being implemented throughout the CONUS, Tricare provides more equitable health care service to all military beneficiaries, improved access to care, a reduction in health care costs, and provides beneficiaries with an expanded choice of medical-care providers. This thesis examines the Tricare program and reviews relevant health care literature, both military and civilian. Using these inputs, the author presents a deterministic decision analysis model that allows a military beneficiary to select a health care option that minimizes his …
An Object Oriented Simulation Of The C-17 Wingtip Vortices In The Airdrop Environment, Hans J. Petry
An Object Oriented Simulation Of The C-17 Wingtip Vortices In The Airdrop Environment, Hans J. Petry
Theses and Dissertations
This thesis effort focuses on the development of an object-oriented simulation of C-17 personnel airdrop operations and provides a tool for risk assessment of jumper and wingtip vortex interaction. Using the initial modeling efforts of the Wright Laboratory, this model expands those efforts to include random aircraft, wind and jumper movement within the simulation using MODSIM III as its language. Once the model was built, verified, and calibrated, it helped perform a preliminary analysis of jumper risk with varying element spacing and no crosswind. The results of the simulation provided 15 data points with which linear and logistic regression provided …
A Comparison Of Circular Error Probable Estimators For Small Samples, Charles E. Williams
A Comparison Of Circular Error Probable Estimators For Small Samples, Charles E. Williams
Theses and Dissertations
Several previous studies investigated the performance of competing circular error probable (CEP) estimators for small samples. This estimation is important in ICBM analysis because, due to expense, there are a limited number of ICBM test launches. In the most recent previous study (1993), Tongue considered five CEP estimators in a simulation test, attempting to determine the behavior of these estimators for populations of various bias, ellipticity, correlation, and sample size. In this paper, we build on Tongue's findings in three ways: (1) The number of estimators compared is expanded to eight. (2) Different factors and factor levels are used. (3) …
Space Object Identification Using Feature Space Trajectory Neural Networks, Neal W. Bruegger
Space Object Identification Using Feature Space Trajectory Neural Networks, Neal W. Bruegger
Theses and Dissertations
The Feature Space Trajectory Neural Network (FSTNN) is a simple yet powerful pattern recognition tool developed by Neiberg and Casasent for use in an Automatic Target Recognition System. Since the FSTNN was developed, it has been used on various problems including speaker identification and space object identification. However, in these types of problems, the test set represents time series data rather than an independent set of points. Since the distance metric of the standard FSTNN treats each test point independently without regard to its position in the sequence, the FSTNN can yield less than optimal results in these problems. Two …
Decision Boundary Analysis Feature Selection For Breast Cancer Diagnosis, Daniel W. Gregg
Decision Boundary Analysis Feature Selection For Breast Cancer Diagnosis, Daniel W. Gregg
Theses and Dissertations
The general pattern recognition problem always involves the extraction of features to be used in pattern classification. There are no theoretical limitations to the number of features which can be obtained for a given pattern recognition problem. This research will develop a correlation procedure for screening a large feature set without the use of a trained classifier. The results will be compared to established saliency metrics such as the Fisher ratio and derivative-based techniques such as Ruck's saliency.
Automatic Digital Processing For Calibration Data Of Open Skies Treaty Sensors, Donna D. Keating
Automatic Digital Processing For Calibration Data Of Open Skies Treaty Sensors, Donna D. Keating
Theses and Dissertations
The Open Skies Treaty provides guidelines allowing participants to fly in air space over other participants' countries to monitor strategic military placement and development. The treaty restricts the ground size of the smallest detail recorded by these aerial imaging systems to any size larger than 30 cm. This restriction is enforced by placing a lower limit on the altitude at which a participating aircraft can fly and it is computed as the value of Hmin. Current techniques rely on human photographic interpreters to select the value of Hmin for every calibration pass and is very resource intensive. The Open Skies …
A Methodology For Evaluating And Enhancing C4i Networks, Christine C. Davis
A Methodology For Evaluating And Enhancing C4i Networks, Christine C. Davis
Theses and Dissertations
This effort focuses on expanding the bottleneck links of an existing C4I network to meet projected demands. The minimum cost-maximum flow algorithm is used to identify bottlenecks. A decision analysis approach enables the mapping of performance objectives for a network expansion into measurable attributes within the structure of a value hierarchy. A multi-attribute value function combines these measures into an overall system effectiveness measure. This allows for an evaluation of the impact of potential upgrade components on the system. A knapsack model imposes budgetary constraints on the selection of components. This methodology allows for the design of an optimized system …
Transportation Modeling Of Remote Radar Sites And Support Depots, Sonia E. Leach
Transportation Modeling Of Remote Radar Sites And Support Depots, Sonia E. Leach
Theses and Dissertations
The North Warning System (NWS), a joint program of the United States Air Force (USAF) and the Royal Canadian Air Force (RCAF), is responsible for the maintenance of 47 remote radar sites across northern Canada. NWS's current airlift operations, which support the radar maintenance activities, consist of both helicopters and fixed wing aircraft positioned at five support depots. This thesis considers whether a reconfiguration of these support depots and the assignment of radar sites to them can result in either an airlift or total cost savings for NWS. Mixed integer linear programming models were formulated to address the questions surrounding …
The Application Of Statistical Process Control To Departure Reliability Improvement, Liu W. Chieh
The Application Of Statistical Process Control To Departure Reliability Improvement, Liu W. Chieh
Theses and Dissertations
This research effort focuses on applying statistical process control (SPC) techniques to the departure reliability improvement process for Air Mobility Command, Mission Reliability Office. Basic SPC methods, including Pareto analysis, cause and effect diagrams, and control charts are determined to be effective tools for analyzing and assessing departure reliability. In addition, two more alternative measures of effectiveness for departure reliability are evaluated and compared using AMC's data. SPC methods are also shown to be useful in assessing in performance and in determining the reporting frequency for on-time performance information. Additional statistical analyses are conducted, including on-way analyses of variance, hypothesis …
Analyzing And Improving Stochastic Network Security: A Multicriteria Prescriptive Risk Analysis Model, David L. Lyle
Analyzing And Improving Stochastic Network Security: A Multicriteria Prescriptive Risk Analysis Model, David L. Lyle
Theses and Dissertations
This research optimized two measures of network security by hardening components and improving their reliability. A common measure of effectiveness (MOE) for networks is statistical reliability, which ignores the effects of hostile actions. A new MOE which includes hostile actions was developed. Both measures require component reliability functions, derived using fault trees. Fuzzy Logic and Monte Carlo simulation were used to quantify uncertainty. Results from the model are compared to traditional Risk Assessment results.
System Comparison Procedures For Automatic Target Recognition Systems, Anne E. Catlin
System Comparison Procedures For Automatic Target Recognition Systems, Anne E. Catlin
Theses and Dissertations
Estimating the performance of an automatic target recognition (ATR) system in terms of probability of successful target identification involves extensive image collection and processing, which can be very time-consuming and expensive. We investigate the Wald sequential test for the difference in two proportions as a sample size-reducing alternative to ranking and selection and the classical method of comparing binomial confidence intervals. The test is modified for the multiple pairwise comparison of four systems, and is applied to actual data to compare different configurations of the Moving and Stationary Target Acquisition and Recognition (MSTAR) System.
Analysis Of A Methodology For Linear Programming Optimality Analysis, Chanseok Jeong
Analysis Of A Methodology For Linear Programming Optimality Analysis, Chanseok Jeong
Theses and Dissertations
The methodology of Johnson, Baner, Moore, and Grant can be applied to large scale linear programming models. A methodology for optimality analysis of linear programs was developed to create metamodels using response surface methodology techniques such as experimental design and least squares regression. A metamodel consists of a simple equation which is able to predict the optimal objective function value of a linear program. What is needed is some large scale application of the techniques to verify how accurate they are. In the research, I plan to use the large scale LP model, STORM. I use the "Hot Start" idea …
A Cercla-Based Decision Support System For Environmental Remediation Strategy Selection, Brian J. Grelk
A Cercla-Based Decision Support System For Environmental Remediation Strategy Selection, Brian J. Grelk
Theses and Dissertations
The Idaho National Environmental Engineering Laboratory (INEEL), operating in conjunction with the Department of Energy (DOE), faces with the complex decision of selecting an environmental remediation strategy for the Subsurface Disposal Area (SDA) of the Radioactive Waste Management Complex (RWMC). This research uses value-focused thinking and multiattribute preference theory techniques to produce a decision analysis model to aid the decisionmakers as they select a remediation strategy. A deterministic analysis using expert opinion and the best available engineering data demonstrates the model's capabilities. The model ranks 27 specific remediation strategies based on how well they meet CERCLA's five balancing criteria: implementability, …
Turkish Air Mobility Modeling, Huseyin Topcuoglu
Turkish Air Mobility Modeling, Huseyin Topcuoglu
Theses and Dissertations
The aim of this research is to provide a tactical mobility model which is user friendly and flexible so the user is able to change the inputs, and evaluate the situation with the projected data for an operational plan. Thus, the users can analyze their system by using the model to see whether or not mobility requirements can be met within a definite time frame, and how long it takes to satisfy the requirements. Generalized Air Mobility Model (GAMM) was chosen to model TAMC's airlift system and has been found suitable for application to TUAF mobility problems. The software enables …
Decision Support Model To Select The Optimal Municipal Solid Waste Management Policy At United States Air Force Installations, Johnathon L. Dulin
Decision Support Model To Select The Optimal Municipal Solid Waste Management Policy At United States Air Force Installations, Johnathon L. Dulin
Theses and Dissertations
The United States Air Force has recently defined three objectives in developing strategies regarding the management of municipal solid waste at the base level. They are: (1) 50 percent reduction in total waste generated, from a 1992 baseline amount, by 1999; (2) 50 percent recycling of all waste generated, beginning in 1999; and, (3) a minimum cost program. With these objectives in mind, base environmental engineers must take appropriate actions in an effort to develop a program that meets these goals. Through consultations with base environmental managers, as well as research of the available literature, a decision support model was …