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Biasing Estimator To Mitigate Multicollinearity In Linear Regression Model, Abdulrasheed Bello Badawaire, Issam Dawoud, Adewale Folaranmi Lukman, Victoria Laoye, Arowolo Olatunji

Al-Bahir

A new two-parameter estimator was developed to combat the threat of multicollinearity for the linear regression model. Some necessary and sufficient conditions for the dominance of the proposed estimator over ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator, ridge regression estimator, Liu estimator, KL estimator, and some two-parameter estimators are obtained in the matrix mean square error sense. Theory and simulation results show that, under some conditions, the proposed two-parameter estimator consistently dominates other estimators considered in this study. The real-life application result follows suit.

Data Science Transfer Pathways From Associate's To Bachelor's Programs, Benjamin S. Baumer, Nicholas J. Horton

Statistical and Data Sciences: Faculty Publications

A substantial fraction of students who complete their college education at a public university in the United States begin their journey at one of the 935 public 2-year colleges. While the number of 4-year colleges offering bachelor’s degrees in data science continues to increase, data science instruction at many 2-year colleges lags behind. A major impediment is the relative paucity of introductory data science courses that serve multiple student audiences and can easily transfer. In addition, the lack of predefined transfer pathways (or articulation agreements) for data science creates a growing disconnect that leaves students who want to study data …

A Statistical Analysis Of The Change In Age Distribution Of Spawning Hatchery Salmon, Rachel Macaulay, Emily Barrett, Grace Penunuri, Eli E. Goldwyn

Spora: A Journal of Biomathematics

Declines in salmon sizes have been reported primarily as a result of younger maturation rates. This change in age distribution poses serious threats to salmon-dependent peoples and ecological systems. We perform a statistical analysis to examine the change in age structure of spawning Alaskan chum salmon Oncorhynchus keta and Chinook salmon O. tshawytscha using 30 years of hatchery data. To highlight the impacts of this change, we investigate the average number of fry/smolt that each age of spawning chum/Chinook salmon produce. Our findings demonstrate an increase in younger hatchery salmon populations returning to spawn, and fewer amounts of fry produced …

Beyond Statistical Significance: A Holistic View Of What Makes A Research Finding "Important", Jane E. Miller

Numeracy

Students often believe that statistical significance is the only determinant of whether a quantitative result is “important.” In this paper, I review traditional null hypothesis statistical testing to identify what questions inferential statistics can and cannot answer, including statistical significance, effect size and direction, causality, generalizability, and changeability of the independent variable. I illustrate these issues with examples from an empirical study of the association between how much time teenagers spent playing video games and time spent reading. I describe how study design and context determine each of those aspects of “importance,” and close by summarizing how to provide a …

Establishing The Validity And Reliability Of The Locus Assessments, Tim Jacobbe, Bob Delmas, Brad Hartlaub, Jeff Haberstroh, Catherine Case, Steven Foti, Douglas Whitaker

Numeracy

The development of assessments as part of the funded LOCUS project is described. The assessments measure students’ conceptual understanding of statistics as outlined in the GAISE PreK–12 Framework. Results are reported from a large-scale administration to 3,430 students in grades 6 through 12 in the United States. Items were designed to assess levels of understanding as well as components of the statistical problem solving process as articulated in the GAISE framework. We discuss details of how the model used to develop the LOCUS assessments guided the gathering of evidence for validity and reliability arguments. Three types of validity evidence are …

Psychometric Properties Of A Combined Go/No-Go And Continuous Performance Task Across Childhood, Caron A.C. Clark, Kaitlyn Cook, Rui Wang, Michael Rueschman, Jerilynn Radcliffe, Susan Redline, H. Gerry Taylor

Statistical and Data Sciences: Faculty Publications

Despite the critical importance of attention for children’s self-regulation and mental health, there are few task-based measures of this construct appropriate for use across a wide childhood age range including very young children. Three versions of a combined go/no-go and continuous performance task (GNG/CPT) were created with varying length and timing parameters to maximize their appropriateness for age groups spanning early to middle childhood. As part of the baseline assessment of a clinical trial, 452 children aged 3–12 years (50% male, 50% female; 52% White, non-Hispanic, 27% Black, 16% Hispanic/Latinx; 6% other ethnicity/race) completed the task. Confirmatory factor analysis indicated …

Supplementary Files For "Adaptive Mapping Of Design Ground Snow Loads In The Conterminous United States", Jadon Wagstaff, Jesse Wheeler, Brennan Bean, Marc Maguire, Yan Sun

Browse all Datasets

Recent amendments to design ground snow load requirements in ASCE 7-22 have reduced the size of case study regions by 91% from what they were in ASCE 7-16, primarily in western states. This reduction is made possible through the development of highly accurate regional generalized additive regression models (RGAMs), stitched together with a novel smoothing scheme implemented in the R software package remap, to produce the continental- scale maps of reliability-targeted design ground snow loads available in ASCE 7-22. This approach allows for better characterizations of the changing relationship between temperature, elevation, and ground snow loads across the Conterminous United …

Inequalities For Interval-Valued Riemann Diamond-Alpha Integrals, Martin Bohner, Linh Nguyen, Baruch Schneider, Tri Truong

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Research & Creative Works

We propose the concept of Riemann diamond-alpha integrals for time scales interval-valued functions. We first give the definition and some properties of the interval Riemann diamond-alpha integral that are naturally investigated as an extension of interval Riemann nabla and delta integrals. With the help of the interval Riemann diamond-alpha integral, we present interval variants of Jensen inequalities for convex and concave interval-valued functions on an arbitrary time scale. Moreover, diamond alpha Hölder's and Minkowski's interval inequalities are proved. Also, several numerical examples are provided in order to illustrate our main results.

Oscillation Of Second-Order Half-Linear Neutral Noncanonical Dynamic Equations, Martin Bohner, Hassan El-Morshedy, Said Grace, Irena Jadlovská

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Research & Creative Works

In This Paper, We Shall Establish Some New Criteria for the Oscillation of Certain Second-Order Noncanonical Dynamic Equations with a Sublinear Neutral Term. This Task is Accomplished by Reducing the Involved Nonlinear Dynamic Equation to a Second-Order Linear Dynamic Inequality. We Also Establish Some New Oscillation Theorems Involving Certain Integral Conditions. Three Examples, Illustrating Our Results, Are Presented. Our Results Generalize Results for Corresponding Differential and Difference Equations.

Trilinear Immersed-Finite-Element Method For Three-Dimensional Anisotropic Interface Problems In Plasma Thrusters, Yajie Han, Guangqing Xia, Chang Lu, Xiaoming He

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Research & Creative Works

Accurately solving the anisotropic interface problem is one of the difficulties in aerospace plasma applications. Based on cubic Cartesian meshes, this paper develops a trilinear nonhomogeneous immersed finite element (IFE) method for solving the complex anisotropic 3D elliptic interface model with nonhomogeneous flux jump. Compared with the existing 3D linear IFE spaces based on tetrahedron meshes, the newly designed trilinear IFE space for the target model simplifies the mesh generation, significantly reduces the number of mesh elements and interface elements, provides much more convenient and efficient ways for finding the intersections between interfaces and mesh edges, and decreases the errors. …

Wright State University Fact Sheet, 2022-2023, Office Of Institutional Research & Effectiveness, Wright State University

Wright State University Fact Sheets

The Wright State University Fact Sheet showcasing numbers and statistics for Wright State University including demographics, funding, programs, and employment for the 2022-2023 academic year.

Variable-Dependent Partial Dimension Reduction, Lu Li, Kai Tan, Xuerong Meggie Wen, Zhou Yu

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Research & Creative Works

Sufficient dimension reduction reduces the dimension of a regression model without loss of information by replacing the original predictor with its lower-dimensional linear combinations. Partial (sufficient) dimension reduction arises when the predictors naturally fall into two sets X and W, and pursues a partial dimension reduction of X. Though partial dimension reduction is a very general problem, only very few research results are available when W is continuous. To the best of our knowledge, none can deal with the situation where the reduced lower-dimensional subspace of X varies with W. To address such issue, we in this paper propose a …

Variable-Dependent Partial Dimension Reduction, Lu Li, Kai Tan, Xuerong Meggie Wen, Zhou Yu

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Research & Creative Works

Sufficient dimension reduction reduces the dimension of a regression model without loss of information by replacing the original predictor with its lower-dimensional linear combinations. Partial (sufficient) dimension reduction arises when the predictors naturally fall into two sets X and W, and pursues a partial dimension reduction of X. Though partial dimension reduction is a very general problem, only very few research results are available when W is continuous. To the best of our knowledge, none can deal with the situation where the reduced lower-dimensional subspace of X varies with W. To address such issue, we in this paper propose a …

The Generalized Lyapunov Function As Ao’S Potential Function: Existence In Dimensions 1 And 2, Haoyu Wang, Wenqing Hu, Xiaoliang Gan, Ping Ao

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Research & Creative Works

By using Ao's decomposition for stochastic dynamical systems, a new notion of potential function has been introduced by Ao and his collabora-tors recently. We show that this potential function agrees with the generalized Lyapunov function of the deterministic part of the stochastic dynamical sys-tem. We further prove the existence of Ao's potential function in dimensions 1 and 2 via the solution theory of first-order partial differential equations. Our framework reveals the equivalence between Ao's potential function and Lyapunov function, the latter being one of the most significant central notions in dynamical systems. Using this equivalence, our existence proof can also …

Three Solutions For Discrete Anisotropic Kirchhoff-Type Problems, Martin Bohner, Giuseppe Caristi, Ahmad Ghobadi, Shapour Heidarkhani

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Research & Creative Works

In this article, using critical point theory and variational methods, we investigate the existence of at least three solutions for a class of double eigenvalue discrete anisotropic Kirchhoff-type problems. An example is presented to demonstrate the applicability of our main theoretical findings.

A Bootstrap Test For Informative Intra-Cluster Group Sizes In Clustered Data, Hasika K. Wickrama Senevirathne, Sandipan Dutta

College of Sciences Posters

Clustered data are frequently observed in various domains of scientific and social studies. In a typical clustered data, units within a cluster are correlated while units between different clusters are independent. An example of such clustered data can be found in dental studies where individuals are treated as clusters and the teeth in an individual are the units within a cluster. While analyzing such clustered data, it has been observed that the number of units present in a cluster can be informative in terms of being associated with the outcome from that cluster. Specifically, when the aim is to compare …

Copula-Based Models For Bivariate And Multivariate Zero-Inflated Count Time Series Data, Dimuthu Fernando, Norou Diawara

College of Sciences Posters

Count time series data have multiple applications. The applications can be found in areas of finance, climate, public health and crime data analyses. In some scenarios, count time series come as multivariate vectors that exhibit not only serial dependence within each time series but also with cross correlation among the series. When considering these observed counts, analysis presents crucial challenges when a value, say zero, occurs more often than usual. There is presence of zero-inflation in the data.

In this presentation, we mainly focus on modeling bivariate zero-inflated count time series model based on a joint distribution of the two …

Early Detection Of Covid-19 In Female Athletes Using Wearable Technology, Liliana I. Rentería, Casey E. Greenwalt, Sarah Johnson, Shiloah Shiloah Kviatkovsky, Marine Dupuit, Elisa Angeles, Sachin Narayanan, Tucker Zeleny, Michael J. Ormsbee

Department of Statistics: Faculty Publications

Background: Heart rate variability (HRV), respiratory rate (RR), and resting heart rate (RHR) are common variables measured by wrist-worn activity trackers to monitor health, fitness, and recovery in athletes. Variations in RR are observed in lower-respiratory infections, and preliminary data suggest changes in HRV and RR are linked to early detection of COVID-19 infection in nonathletes.

Hypothesis: Wearable technology measuring HRV, RR, RHR, and recovery will be successful for early detection of COVID-19 in NCAA Division I female athletes.

Study Design: Cohort study.

Level of Evidence: Level 2.

Methods: Female athletes wore WHOOP, Inc. bands …

Problems With Machine Learning, High-Dimensional Data And Forecasting Stock Returns, Erik Mekelburg

Electronic Theses and Dissertations

Using a multi-level ensemble design, we forecast international stock market returns with a novel high-dimensional data set of aggregated cross sectional firm-level predictors. The method includes considerations of model uncertainty, parameter instability, model density and non-linearities with machine learning, shrinkage and model averaging. We provide evidence that it is important to systematically focus on all four sources of forecast failure, shed light on the sparsity/density debate in the stock return forecasting dialogue and contribute interesting findings on the efficacy dimensionality reduction with principal components analysis and partial least squares. The robustness of the approach is demonstrated through applications in four …

Second Order, Unconditionally Stable, Linear Ensemble Algorithms For The Magnetohydrodynamics Equations, John Carter, Daozhi Han, Nan Jiang

Mathematics and Statistics Faculty Research & Creative Works

We Propose Two Unconditionally Stable, Linear Ensemble Algorithms with Pre-Computable Shared Coefficient Matrices Across Different Realizations for the Magnetohydrodynamics Equations. the Viscous Terms Are Treated by a Standard Perturbative Discretization. the Nonlinear Terms Are Discretized Fully Explicitly within the Framework of the Generalized Positive Auxiliary Variable Approach (GPAV). Artificial Viscosity Stabilization that Modifies the Kinetic Energy is Introduced to Improve Accuracy of the GPAV Ensemble Methods. Numerical Results Are Presented to Demonstrate the Accuracy and Robustness of the Ensemble Algorithms.

Lie Rings And Hall Basis Elements With Two Generators, Emma Schmidt, James Turner

Summer Research

A Lie ring is a set L with three operations: addition, subtraction, and the Lie bracket. The first two follow the usual rules of addition and subtraction.

Lie rings are said to be free if there are no further relations beyond these. A subset S in L is said to generate Lie ring L if every element of L can be expressed as a sum or difference of iterated brackets on elements of S.

A Conceptual Framework For Knowledge Exchange In A Wildland Fire Research And Practice Context, Colin B. Mcfayden, Lynn M. Johnston, Douglas G. Woolford, Colleen George, Den Boychuk, Daniel Johnston, B. Mike Wotton, Joshua M. Johnston

Statistical and Actuarial Sciences Publications

No abstract provided.

Invasion Dynamics Of The European Collared-Dove In North America Are Explained By Combined Effects Of Habitat And Climate, Yiran Shao, Danielle Ethier, Simon Bonner

Statistical and Actuarial Sciences Publications

Global biodiversity is increasingly threatened by the spread of invasive species. Understanding the mechanisms influencing the initial colonization and persistence of invaders is therefore needed if conservation actions are to prevent new invasions or strive to slow their spread. The Eurasian Collared-Dove (Streptopelia decaocto, EUCO) is one of the most successful avian invasive species in North America; however, to our knowledge, no study has simultaneously examined the role that climate-matching, human activity, directional propagation, and local density have in this invasion process. Our research expands upon a cellular-automata-based hierarchical model developed to assess directional invasion dynamics to further quantify the …

Monty Hall, Admin Stem For Success

STEM for Success Showcase

No abstract provided.

Tennessee Brewconomy: Navigating The Wholesale Beer Tax Landscape, Lauren E. Dansbury

Science University Research Symposium (SURS)

In 2013, Tennessee transitioned from a price-based wholesale tax model to a per barrelage assessment. This research delves into the repercussions of this tax reform, assessing its impact on the brewing and wholesale distribution sectors. Despite the shift, Tennessee maintains the nation's highest wholesale beer tax for 16 consecutive years. The study examines the opportunity costs associated with this elevated tax, exploring alternative uses for the funds. Utilizing data on annual revenue collected by wholesalers from 2019 to 2022, segmented by city and county, the research provides actionable insights advocating for a reduction in the wholesale tax. The argument posits …

Statistical Tolerance Regions For Flexible Modeling Paradigms, Yafan Guo

Theses and Dissertations--Statistics

Tolerance intervals in a regression setting allow the user to quantify, with a specified degree of confidence, bounds for a specified proportion of the sampled population when conditioned on a set of covariate values. While methods are available for tolerance intervals in fully-parametric regression settings, the construction of tolerance intervals for semiparametric regression models has been treated in a limited capacity. The first project fills this gap and develops likelihood-based approaches for the construction of pointwise one-sided and two-sided tolerance intervals for semiparametric regression models. A numerical approach is also presented for constructing simultaneous tolerance intervals. An appealing facet of …

Enforcement Penalties At The Itc, Andrea R. Hugill, John C. Jarosz, Katherine D. Cappaert

Northwestern Journal of International Law & Business

The U.S. International Trade Commission (“ITC” or “Commission”) has grown in importance as a venue for U.S. companies to pursue intellectual property (“IP”) violators and to block the sale or importation of goods from overseas that infringe U.S. IP rights. Once a violation of the Section 337 of the Tariff Act of 1930 is found, an order halting further infringement, including importation, is almost always entered. In theory, potentially sizeable penalties may be imposed on entities that do not comply with the terms of an import restriction. In practice, the terms of an import restriction are almost always honored, but …

Forecasting Remission Time Of A Treatment Method For Leukemia As An Application To Statistical Inference Approach, Ahmed Galal Atia, Mahmoud Mansour, Rashad Mohamed El-Sagheer, B. S. El-Desouky

Basic Science Engineering

In this paper, Weibull-Linear Exponential distribution (WLED) has been investigated whether being it is a well-fit distribution to a clinical real data. These data represent the duration of remission achieved by a certain drug used in the treatment of leukemia for a group of patients. The statistical inference approach is used to estimate the parameters of the WLED through the set of the fitted data. The estimated parameters are utilized to evaluate the survival and hazard functions and hence assessing the treatment method through forecasting the duration of remission times of patients. A two-sample prediction approach has been applied to …

Massachusetts Prevalence Of Opioid Use Disorder Estimation Revisited: Comparing A Bayesian Approach To Standard Capture-Recapture Methods, Jianing Wang, Nathan Doogan, Katherine L. Thompson, Dana Bernson, Daniel Feaster, Jennifer Villani, Redonna Chandler, Laura F. White, David Kline, Joshua A. Barocas

Statistics Faculty Publications

Background: The National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH) estimated the prevalence of opioid use disorder (OUD) among the civilian, noninstitutionalized people aged 12 years or older in Massachusetts as 1.2% between 2015 and 2017. Accurate estimation of the prevalence of OUD is critical to the success of treatment and resource planning. Various indirect estimation approaches have been used but are subject to data availability and infrastructure-related issues.

Methods: We used 2015 data from the Massachusetts Public Health Data Warehouse (PHD) to compare the results of two approaches to estimating OUD prevalence in the Massachusetts population. First, we used …

An Adaptive Algorithm For `The Secretary Problem': Alternate Proof Of The Divergence Of A Maximizer Sequence, Andrew Benfante, Xiang Xu

OUR Journal: ODU Undergraduate Research Journal

This paper presents an alternate proof of the divergence of the unique maximizer sequence {𝑥∗ 𝑛} of a function sequence {𝐹𝑛(𝑥)} that is derived from an adaptive algorithm based on the now classic optimal stopping problem, known by many names but here ‘the secretary problem’. The alternate proof uses a result established by Nguyen, Xu, and Zhao (n.d.) regarding the uniqueness of maximizer points of a generalized function sequence {𝑆𝜇,𝜎 𝑛 } and relies on the strict monotonicity of 𝐹𝑛(𝑥) as 𝑛 increases in order to show divergence of {𝑥∗ 𝑛}. Towards this, limits of the exponentiated Gaussian CDF are …