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Organic Matter Quality Influences Aerobic And Anaerobic Respiration Rates In Peatland Soils, Rachel Shaw, Lauren Bryan, Madison Smith, Christian Lundy, Alexis Koehl, Grace Behrens, Mackenzie Dole, Madeleine O'Donnell Apr 2023

Organic Matter Quality Influences Aerobic And Anaerobic Respiration Rates In Peatland Soils, Rachel Shaw, Lauren Bryan, Madison Smith, Christian Lundy, Alexis Koehl, Grace Behrens, Mackenzie Dole, Madeleine O'Donnell

22nd Annual Celebration of Undergraduate Research and Creative Activity (2023)

The vulnerability of peatland carbon reservoirs to decomposition in a warming climate remains a key uncertainty in Earth System Models. This will be determined in part by the "quality" of the peatland organic matter, i.e. the ease by which it is decomposed by the microbial community. We developed an index of organic matter quality based on the biochemical composition of the peat. The index uses a principal components analysis of proxies based on the carbohydrate composition, hydrolysable amino acids, C:N, pH, and nutrient availability in the peat porewater. The index was compared with measurements of aerobic and anaerobic respiration rates …


Temperature Sensitivity Of Nitrogen Mineralization In Peat From A Southwestern Michigan Bog, Madison Smith, Lauren Bryan, Rachel Shaw, Mackenzie Dole, Madeleine O'Donnell Apr 2023

Temperature Sensitivity Of Nitrogen Mineralization In Peat From A Southwestern Michigan Bog, Madison Smith, Lauren Bryan, Rachel Shaw, Mackenzie Dole, Madeleine O'Donnell

22nd Annual Celebration of Undergraduate Research and Creative Activity (2023)

In this study, we measured inorganic nitrogen (nitrate and ammonium) released from peat cores from Miner Lake bog at two temperatures to analyze the impact of climate warming on the peatland nitrogen cycle. We hypothesized a higher nitrogen release in samples incubated at warmer temperatures. Furthermore, previous research indicates shallow peat decomposes faster than deeper peat. Therefore, we hypothesized faster nitrogen mineralization in shallow samples. We collected peat cores from two locations from Miner Lake Bog in Allegan County, Michigan: a plot in the center of the bog and a sedge meadow site near the edge. Two samples for each …


Removal Of Radionuclides Using Capacitive Deionization, Yusik Won Apr 2023

Removal Of Radionuclides Using Capacitive Deionization, Yusik Won

LSU Doctoral Dissertations

Severe nuclear accidents, including the Fukushima nuclear power plant accident, can lead to the discharge of large amounts of radionuclides into aquatic environments. Some radionuclides such as 137Cs and 90Sr have long half-lives and can remain in the environment for a long period of time. These radionuclides can be detrimental to humans and the environments because they can cause human and environmental exposure to ionizing radiation and because they can be bioaccumulated and biomagnified. Therefore, in case of a severe accident and a radioactive spill, it is important to quickly clean up and treat radioactively contaminated water to …


Mixing Regimes In A Cluster Of Seven Maar Lakes In Tropical Monsoon Asia, Milette U. Mendoza, Jaydan I. Aguilar, Karol Sophia Agape R. Padilla, Rey Donne S. Papa, Noboru Okuda Apr 2023

Mixing Regimes In A Cluster Of Seven Maar Lakes In Tropical Monsoon Asia, Milette U. Mendoza, Jaydan I. Aguilar, Karol Sophia Agape R. Padilla, Rey Donne S. Papa, Noboru Okuda

Environmental Science Faculty Publications

The 7 maar lakes of San Pablo are a cluster of small volcanic lakes on Luzon Island; Philippines. These lakes; which are heavily utilized for aquaculture and ecotourism; usually experience fish kills that coincide with the northeast monsoon (NEM). This study explores limnophysical processes; particularly mixing regimes; in the lakes in relation to prevailing monsoons. We monitored monthly vertical and seasonal profiles of water temperature; salinity; conductivity; and dissolved oxygen from October 2016 to December 2018. Three types of mixing regimes were observed among the lakes; which have similar surface areas but different depths: polymixis in the shallowest; warm monomixis …


Draft Final 2023 Residential Metals Abatement Program (Rmap) Park Soil Sampling Field Sampling Plan (Fsp) Submittal #7 [Gold Hill Lutheran Church, Peoples Park, Sioux Park, Charlie Judd Park, Emma Park, Mandan Park, And Walkerville Park (Daly And Dunn)], Pioneer Technical Services, Inc. Apr 2023

Draft Final 2023 Residential Metals Abatement Program (Rmap) Park Soil Sampling Field Sampling Plan (Fsp) Submittal #7 [Gold Hill Lutheran Church, Peoples Park, Sioux Park, Charlie Judd Park, Emma Park, Mandan Park, And Walkerville Park (Daly And Dunn)], Pioneer Technical Services, Inc.

Silver Bow Creek/Butte Area Superfund Site

No abstract provided.


Draft - Residential Metals Abatement Program Investigation Summary Report (Non-Residential Parcels – Indoor Dust) Emerson Elementary School, Environmental Resource Management (Erm) Apr 2023

Draft - Residential Metals Abatement Program Investigation Summary Report (Non-Residential Parcels – Indoor Dust) Emerson Elementary School, Environmental Resource Management (Erm)

Silver Bow Creek/Butte Area Superfund Site

No abstract provided.


Residential Metals Abatement Program Investigation Summary Report (Non-Residential Parcels – Indoor Dust) Emerson Elementary School, Environmental Resource Management (Erm) Apr 2023

Residential Metals Abatement Program Investigation Summary Report (Non-Residential Parcels – Indoor Dust) Emerson Elementary School, Environmental Resource Management (Erm)

Silver Bow Creek/Butte Area Superfund Site

No abstract provided.


Nunataryuk Field Campaigns: Understanding The Origin And Fate Of Terrestrial Organic Matter In The Coastal Waters Of The Mackenzie Delta Region, Martine Lizotte, Bennet Juhls, Atsushi Matsuoka, Philippe Massicotte, Gaëlle Mével, David Anikina, Sofia Antonova, Guislain Bécu, Marine Béguin, Simon Bélanger, Thomas Bossé-Demers, Lisa Bröder, Flavienne Bruyant, Gwénaëlle Chaillou, Jérôme Comte, Raoul-Marie Couture, Emmanuel Devred, Gabrièle Deslongchamps, Thibaud Dezutter, Miles Dillon, David Doxaran, Aude Flamand, Frank Fell, Joannie Ferland, Marie-Hélène Forget, Michael Fritz, Thomas J. Gordon, Caroline Guilmette, Andrea Hilborn, Rachel Hussherr, Charlotte Irish, Fabien Joux, Lauren Kipp Apr 2023

Nunataryuk Field Campaigns: Understanding The Origin And Fate Of Terrestrial Organic Matter In The Coastal Waters Of The Mackenzie Delta Region, Martine Lizotte, Bennet Juhls, Atsushi Matsuoka, Philippe Massicotte, Gaëlle Mével, David Anikina, Sofia Antonova, Guislain Bécu, Marine Béguin, Simon Bélanger, Thomas Bossé-Demers, Lisa Bröder, Flavienne Bruyant, Gwénaëlle Chaillou, Jérôme Comte, Raoul-Marie Couture, Emmanuel Devred, Gabrièle Deslongchamps, Thibaud Dezutter, Miles Dillon, David Doxaran, Aude Flamand, Frank Fell, Joannie Ferland, Marie-Hélène Forget, Michael Fritz, Thomas J. Gordon, Caroline Guilmette, Andrea Hilborn, Rachel Hussherr, Charlotte Irish, Fabien Joux, Lauren Kipp

School of Earth & Environment Departmental Research

Climate warming and related drivers of soil thermal change in the Arctic are expected to modify the distribution and dynamics of carbon contained in perennially frozen grounds. Thawing of permafrost in the Mackenzie River watershed of northwestern Canada, coupled with increases in river discharge and coastal erosion, triggers the release of terrestrial organic matter (OMt) from the largest Arctic drainage basin in North America into the Arctic Ocean. While this process is ongoing and its rate is accelerating, the fate of the newly mobilized organic matter as it transits from the watershed through the delta and into the marine system …


Approval For: Berkeley Pit And Discharge Pilot Project, Quarterly Pilot Project Report, Third Quarter 2022, Dated December 23, 2022, Nikia Greene Apr 2023

Approval For: Berkeley Pit And Discharge Pilot Project, Quarterly Pilot Project Report, Third Quarter 2022, Dated December 23, 2022, Nikia Greene

Silver Bow Creek/Butte Area Superfund Site

No abstract provided.


Butte Priority Soils Operable Unit (Bpsou) 2022 Final Insufficiently Reclaimed Sites Quality Assurance Project Plan (Qapp) And 2022 Final Unreclaimed Sites Qapp Request For Change, Mike Mcanulty Apr 2023

Butte Priority Soils Operable Unit (Bpsou) 2022 Final Insufficiently Reclaimed Sites Quality Assurance Project Plan (Qapp) And 2022 Final Unreclaimed Sites Qapp Request For Change, Mike Mcanulty

Silver Bow Creek/Butte Area Superfund Site

No abstract provided.


Approval Letter For: Draft Final Butte Reduction Works (Brw) Smelter Area Mine Waste Remediation And Contaminated Groundwater Hydraulic Control Site Organic Pollutant Surface Water Sampling Quality Assurance Project Plan (Qapp) (Dated March 31, 2023), Nikia Greene Apr 2023

Approval Letter For: Draft Final Butte Reduction Works (Brw) Smelter Area Mine Waste Remediation And Contaminated Groundwater Hydraulic Control Site Organic Pollutant Surface Water Sampling Quality Assurance Project Plan (Qapp) (Dated March 31, 2023), Nikia Greene

Silver Bow Creek/Butte Area Superfund Site

No abstract provided.


Phragmites Australis Seeds From Great Salt Lake Have A Lower Salinity Tolerance Than Expected, Sandra Johnston Apr 2023

Phragmites Australis Seeds From Great Salt Lake Have A Lower Salinity Tolerance Than Expected, Sandra Johnston

Student Research Symposium

The Great Salt Lake is an important part of Utah’s natural resources. However, Great Salt lake wetlands are becoming overtaken by Phragmites australis, an invasive species originating from Eurasia. Introduced into North America, this plant has spread to create dense monocultures, quickly taking over native species and degrading avian habitat. Several P. australis populations have been found to survive in salinities up to 45-60 parts per thousand (ppt). However, there are multiple studies with conflicting results about the maximum salinity tolerance of P. australis (i.e., 23-60 ppt). This experiment will compare the salinity ranges of native species and non-native P. …


Here Come The Floods: Classification Of Rain-On-Snow Induced Flooding In Nevada, Emma Watts Apr 2023

Here Come The Floods: Classification Of Rain-On-Snow Induced Flooding In Nevada, Emma Watts

Student Research Symposium

Given Nevada’s history of destructive flooding resulting from rain falling on mountainous snowpack, often called rain-on-snow (ROS) events, there is a great need to incorporate these events and their residual effects in infrastructure design methods. Examining relationships between USGS streamflow measurements and climate variables (specifically precipitation, temperature, and snowpack) obtained from neighboring SNOTEL stations provides means by which to classify ROS-induced floods from ROS events. Using both temperature and snowpack-based criterion to classify ROS events, this project differentiates between non-ROS and ROS-induced floods in a subset of USGS stations across the Sierra Nevada and reveals that ROS-induced floods produce, on …


Microclimate Variability Between Coop Weather Station And Proposed Site For Relocation, Ashley Butikofer Apr 2023

Microclimate Variability Between Coop Weather Station And Proposed Site For Relocation, Ashley Butikofer

Student Research Symposium

The Utah Climate Center has contributed to the Cooperative Observer Program associated with the National Weather Service since 1893. This consistent 130-year climate record of precipitation and temperature is important for studying the changing climate in Logan as well as contributing to a national network of weather data used to verify weather forecasting models. The COOP station is currently located to the Northeast of the Nutrition and Food Science building on USU’s campus. In recent years, there has been concern of bias in the data due to the proximity of the station to highly impervious surfaces including campus buildings, parking …


Towards A Global Sustainable Development Agenda Built On Social–Ecological Resilience, Murray W. Scown, Robin K. Craig, Craig R. Allen, Lance Gunderson, David G. Angeler, Jorge H. Garcia, Ahjond Garmestani Apr 2023

Towards A Global Sustainable Development Agenda Built On Social–Ecological Resilience, Murray W. Scown, Robin K. Craig, Craig R. Allen, Lance Gunderson, David G. Angeler, Jorge H. Garcia, Ahjond Garmestani

School of Natural Resources: Faculty Publications

Non-technical summary. The United Nations’ sustainable development goals (SDGs) articulate societal aspirations for people and our planet. Many scientists have criticised the SDGs and some have suggested that a better understanding of the complex interactions between society and the environment should underpin the next global development agenda. We further this discussion through the theory of social–ecological resilience, which emphasises the ability of systems to absorb, adapt, and transform in the face of change. We determine the strengths of the current SDGs, which should form a basis for the next agenda, and identify key gaps that should be filled.

Technical …


Silicon In Renewable Power Generation And Storage: Decarbonizing The Grid And Automobile Transport, Kurt W. Kolasinski Apr 2023

Silicon In Renewable Power Generation And Storage: Decarbonizing The Grid And Automobile Transport, Kurt W. Kolasinski

Sustainability Research & Practice Seminar Presentations

Professor Kurt Kolasinski, Chemistry - Silicon in renewable power generation and storage: Decarbonizing the grid and automobile transport.


Deficit Irrigation Management For Irrigated Corn In Nebraska: Economically Viable?, Lia Nogueira, Cory Walters, Emily O'Donnell, E. Wesley F. Peterson, Suat Irmak Apr 2023

Deficit Irrigation Management For Irrigated Corn In Nebraska: Economically Viable?, Lia Nogueira, Cory Walters, Emily O'Donnell, E. Wesley F. Peterson, Suat Irmak

Cornhusker Economics

In this study we determine the economic value of deficit irrigation management using both technological and methodological advancements. The use of soil moisture probes represents the technological improvement. We provide improvements in the methodology as follows. Regarding data, we employ a field-size study, instead of plots, where the irrigation decision is determined by the moisture level in the soil measured through a soil moisture probe. Regarding the understanding of the yield response to water, although we examine the commonly used quadratic function, we improve upon this specification by also examining an alternative response function, the linear response stochastic plateau. Our …


Draft Final 2023 Residential Metals Abatement Program (Rmap) Walkerville Park (Alley Of North Main And Alley Of West Daly) Soil Remedial Action Work Plan (Rawp) (Dated February 16, 2023), Nikia Greene Apr 2023

Draft Final 2023 Residential Metals Abatement Program (Rmap) Walkerville Park (Alley Of North Main And Alley Of West Daly) Soil Remedial Action Work Plan (Rawp) (Dated February 16, 2023), Nikia Greene

Silver Bow Creek/Butte Area Superfund Site

No abstract provided.


Differences In Pathogenesis-Related Protein Expression And Polyphenolic Compound Accumulation Reveal Insights Into Tomato-Pythium Aphanidermatum Interaction, Seham A. Soliman, Abdulaziz A. Al-Askar, Sherien Sobhy, Marwa A. Samy, Esraa Hamdy, Omaima A. Sharaf, Yiming Su, Said I. Behiry, Ahmed Abdelkhalek Apr 2023

Differences In Pathogenesis-Related Protein Expression And Polyphenolic Compound Accumulation Reveal Insights Into Tomato-Pythium Aphanidermatum Interaction, Seham A. Soliman, Abdulaziz A. Al-Askar, Sherien Sobhy, Marwa A. Samy, Esraa Hamdy, Omaima A. Sharaf, Yiming Su, Said I. Behiry, Ahmed Abdelkhalek

Publications

Plant diseases significantly reduce crop yields, threatening food security and agricultural sustainability. Fungi are the most destructive type of phytopathogen, and they are responsible for major yield losses in some of the most crucial crops grown across the world. In this study, a fungus isolate was detected from infected tomato plants and molecularly identified as Pythium aphanidermatum (GenBank accession number MW725032). This fungus caused damping-off disease and was shown to be pathogenic. Moreover, the expression of five pathogenesis-related genes, namely PR-1, PR-2, PR-3, PR-4, and PR-5, was quantitatively evaluated under the inoculation of tomato with …


Predicting Groundwater Spring Locations From Topographic And Climatic Data Using Maxent Modeling, Ayten Ece Koc Apr 2023

Predicting Groundwater Spring Locations From Topographic And Climatic Data Using Maxent Modeling, Ayten Ece Koc

USF Tampa Graduate Theses and Dissertations

The World Resources Institute reveals that 17 countries face extremely high levels of water stress. Moreover, with increasing population and industrialization, the gap between water supply and demand increases day by day around the world. Groundwater is a key freshwater source, and springs are important resources as they enable to access groundwater. Therefore, it is crucial to monitor, protect, and manage groundwater springs. The first step in spring management is to recognize and define freshwater resources and to determine the locations of groundwater springs that serve as natural discharge points. Traditionally, field studies have been employed to determine the locations …


Air Pollutants Around An Animal Feed Processing Facility In Nacogdoches, Tx: A Study On Their Effect On Local Outdoor Air Quality, Reyna Burns, Remigio Casanova, Cari Mitchell, Caroline Moore, Kaylee Zirlott Apr 2023

Air Pollutants Around An Animal Feed Processing Facility In Nacogdoches, Tx: A Study On Their Effect On Local Outdoor Air Quality, Reyna Burns, Remigio Casanova, Cari Mitchell, Caroline Moore, Kaylee Zirlott

Undergraduate Research Conference

In this exploratory study, different odorous compounds were measured near TFP Nutrition to better understand the impact of odor on local outdoor air quality. TFP Nutrition produces pet feed, livestock feed, and agricultural fertilizer for local brand Lone Star Feeds. It is known in the Nacogdoches area for producing powerful odors near its facilities. It is in the downtown area of the city and in proximity to an elementary school, recreational softball fields, and residential homes. Odors can be connected to the presence of air pollutants. This study on air quality was performed to quantify this data on odors for …


Effectiveness Of Sansevieria Plants To Purify The Vocs In Air Caused By The Use Of Febreeze And Diffuser Contaminants, Garrett Hacker, Quinn Whidden, Alayna Wagner, Zach Palmer, Brystal Beyer Apr 2023

Effectiveness Of Sansevieria Plants To Purify The Vocs In Air Caused By The Use Of Febreeze And Diffuser Contaminants, Garrett Hacker, Quinn Whidden, Alayna Wagner, Zach Palmer, Brystal Beyer

Undergraduate Research Conference

Volatile organic compounds (VOCs) are a danger to every household that has access to chemical products such as air fresheners or select cleaning products. VOCs are dangerous when people are around high concentrations for any extended period. This experiment was conducted to examine the ability of sansevieria plants to filter VOCs added from normal household products. The plants used in this experiment were propagated into smaller pieces in order to fit into capsules. To begin testing, the contaminants were added to the capsules and the VOC levels were measured overtime with the Ion Science Tiger sensor. The basic trend of …


Comparative Analysis Of Implementing Solar Energy In South Carolina, Paige Huntzberry, Jo Whitney Apr 2023

Comparative Analysis Of Implementing Solar Energy In South Carolina, Paige Huntzberry, Jo Whitney

Undergraduate Research Competition

Solar energy is becoming an increasingly popular method of providing energy to homes and businesses all over the world. Converting to solar energy is a huge step in reducing our carbon footprint, a driving force of global climate change. While this type of energy production provides an eco-friendly approach to power, requiring minimal maintenance and virtually no additional infrastructure, many are still opposed to the implementation due to financial reservations. The aim of this project is to design a solar array for installation on a building at the Medical University of South Carolina, providing a cost effective and practical approach …


Spot-Fire Distance Increases Disproportionately For Wildfires Compared To Prescribed Fires As Grasslands Transition To Juniperus Woodlands, Victoria M. Donovan, Dillon T. Fogarty, Dirac L. Twidwell Jr Apr 2023

Spot-Fire Distance Increases Disproportionately For Wildfires Compared To Prescribed Fires As Grasslands Transition To Juniperus Woodlands, Victoria M. Donovan, Dillon T. Fogarty, Dirac L. Twidwell Jr

School of Natural Resources: Faculty Publications

Woody encroachment is one of the greatest threats to grasslands globally, depleting a suite of ecosystem services, including forage production and grassland biodiversity. Recent evidence also suggests that woody encroachment increases wildfire danger, particularly in the Great Plains of North America, where highly volatile Juniperus spp. convert grasslands to an alternative woodland state. Spot-fire distances are a critical component of wildfire danger, describing the distance over which embers from one fire can cause a new fire ignition, potentially far away from fire suppression personnel. We assess changes in spot-fire distances as grasslands experience Juniperus encroachment to an alternative woodland state …


Exploring The Association Of Brownfield Remediation Status With Socioeconomic Conditions In Wayne County, Mi, Brendan F. O'Leary, Alex B. Hill, Colleen Linn, Mei Lu, Carol J. Miller, Andrew Newman, F. Gianluca Sperone, Qiong Zhang Apr 2023

Exploring The Association Of Brownfield Remediation Status With Socioeconomic Conditions In Wayne County, Mi, Brendan F. O'Leary, Alex B. Hill, Colleen Linn, Mei Lu, Carol J. Miller, Andrew Newman, F. Gianluca Sperone, Qiong Zhang

Urban Studies and Planning Faculty Research Publications

Urban neighborhoods with locations of environmental contamination, known as brownfields, impact entire neighborhoods, but corrective environmental remedial action on brownfields is often tracked on an individual property basis, neglecting the larger neighborhood-level impact. This study addresses this impact by examining spatial differences between brownfields with unmitigated environmental concerns (open site) and sites that are considered fully mitigated or closed in urban neighborhoods (closed site) on the US census tract scale in Wayne County, MI. Michigan’s Department of Environment, Great Lakes, and Energy’s leaking underground storage tank (LUST) database provided brownfield information for Wayne County. Local indicators of spatial association (LISA) …


Approval Letter For The Final Butte Priority Soils Operable Unit, 2021 Unreclaimed Sites Sampling Ur-38 Site Evaluation Summary Report (February 7, 2023), Nikia Greene Apr 2023

Approval Letter For The Final Butte Priority Soils Operable Unit, 2021 Unreclaimed Sites Sampling Ur-38 Site Evaluation Summary Report (February 7, 2023), Nikia Greene

Silver Bow Creek/Butte Area Superfund Site

No abstract provided.


Approval Letter For: Final Butte Priority Soils Operable Unit, 2021 Unreclaimed Sites Sampling Ur-35 Site Evaluation Summary Report (February 7, 2023), Nikia Greene Apr 2023

Approval Letter For: Final Butte Priority Soils Operable Unit, 2021 Unreclaimed Sites Sampling Ur-35 Site Evaluation Summary Report (February 7, 2023), Nikia Greene

Silver Bow Creek/Butte Area Superfund Site

No abstract provided.


The Sustainability Of Industrial Hemp: A Literature Review Of Its Economic, Environmental, And Social Sustainability, Gurinder Kaur, Ron Kander Apr 2023

The Sustainability Of Industrial Hemp: A Literature Review Of Its Economic, Environmental, And Social Sustainability, Gurinder Kaur, Ron Kander

School of Design and Engineering Papers

Industrial hemp is a versatile, sustainable plant with several applications of its various forms, including fiber obtained from hemp stalks, food obtained from hemp seeds, and oil obtained from hemp flowers and seeds. Industrial hemp has the potential to offer a solution to the crisis of climate change, since it is a viable energy source that satisfies the three pillars of sustainability, namely economy, environment, and society. Although industrial hemp has been growing as an agricultural commodity in different parts of the world for decades, its production was banned until recently in the U.S. because of its association with marijuana. …


Final Butte Priority Soils Operable Unit, 2021 Unreclaimed Sites Sampling Ur-24 Site Evaluation Summary Report (February 7, 2023), Nikia Greene Apr 2023

Final Butte Priority Soils Operable Unit, 2021 Unreclaimed Sites Sampling Ur-24 Site Evaluation Summary Report (February 7, 2023), Nikia Greene

Silver Bow Creek/Butte Area Superfund Site

No abstract provided.


Forecasting Winners And Losers Of Climate Change: Insights From The Interactions Between Organisms And Their Microclimates, Michael Sears Apr 2023

Forecasting Winners And Losers Of Climate Change: Insights From The Interactions Between Organisms And Their Microclimates, Michael Sears

Sustainability Seminar Series

Meaningful forecasts of the responses of organisms to climate require an explicit understanding of how organismal behavior and physiology are affected by environmental heterogeneity. Such predictions are complicated because physiology and behavior vary over different time scales, vary across different life stages, and do not operate in isolation of one another. In this talk, I review case studies from my lab to highlight progress that has been made along these fronts and provide generalizations that might be made to other systems, particularly in the context of predicting responses to climate change.