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Robust Linear Classifier For Unequal Cost Ratios Of Misclassification, Oludare S. Ariyo, A O. Adebanji Jun 2011

Robust Linear Classifier For Unequal Cost Ratios Of Misclassification, Oludare S. Ariyo, A O. Adebanji

CBN Journal of Applied Statistics (JAS)

This paper focuses on the robust classification procedures when the assumption of equal cost of misclassification is violated. A normal distribution based data set is generated using the Statistical Analysis System (SAS) version 9.1. Using Barlett’s approximation to chi-square, the data set was found to be homogenous and was subjected to three linear classifiers namely: Maximum Likelihood Discriminant Function (MLDF), Fisher’s linear Discriminant Function and Distance Based Discriminant Function. To Judge the performances of these procedures, the Apparent Error Rates for each procedure is obtained for different cost ratios 1:1, 1:2, 1:3, 1:4 and 1:5 and sample sizes 5:5, 10:10, …


A Kalman Filter Approach To Fisher Effect: Evidence From Nigeria, Omorogbe J. Asemota, Dahiru A. Bala Jun 2011

A Kalman Filter Approach To Fisher Effect: Evidence From Nigeria, Omorogbe J. Asemota, Dahiru A. Bala

CBN Journal of Applied Statistics (JAS)

This paper investigates evidence of a Fisher effect in Nigeria by employing quarterly CPI inflation and Nominal interest rates data. For a more robust result we conducted integration and cointegration tests in order to examine time-series properties of the variables. Using Co-integration and Kalman filter methodologies, the study did not find evidence of a full Fisher effect from 1961:1-2009:4. This result indicates that nominal interest rates do not respond one-for-one to changes in inflation rates in the long run despite the presence of positive relationship among the variables. Our study recommends the adoption of potent policies aimed at checking inflation …


Building Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Models For Monetary Policy Analysis, Charles N. O. Mordi, Michael A. Adebiyi Mar 2011

Building Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Models For Monetary Policy Analysis, Charles N. O. Mordi, Michael A. Adebiyi

Economic and Financial Review

Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models are powerful tools that provide a coherent framework for policy discussion and analysis. In principle, they can help to identify sources of fluctuations, answer questions about structural changes, help to forecast and predict the effect of policy changes, and perform counterfactual experiments. Against this background, this paper aims at providing an insightful discussion on DSGE models by developing a simplified version of the models to explain the behavior of key macroeconomic variables in Nigeria namely: the growth rate of gross domestic product (GDP), headline inflation, exchange rate and the monetary policy rate. The estimated …


Liquidity Forecasting: Nigeria's Experience, Abdulrasheed Zubair Mar 2011

Liquidity Forecasting: Nigeria's Experience, Abdulrasheed Zubair

Bullion

This paper discusses the experience of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) in liquidity forecasting by examining the key components of the Central Bank balance sheet. The paper is divided into four sections; following this, is section two which discusses the conceptual framework. Section three covers Nigerian experience in liquidity forecasting and techniques employed while section four contains the challenges of liquidity forecasting in Nigeria and the way forward and lastly, section five concludes the paper.


Strategy For Economic Development In South Korea: Lessons For Nigeria, B. N. Yaaba Mar 2011

Strategy For Economic Development In South Korea: Lessons For Nigeria, B. N. Yaaba

Bullion

The paper is organized into six sections; introduction, section two presents on overview of Korea's economic development, section three looks of the success factors. Section four examines the emerging challenges while section five draws some lesson for Nigeria from the Korean experience and section six concludes the paper.


Nigerian Sovereign Wealth Fund (Swf): Lessons From Existing Swf, M. U. Yakub Mar 2011

Nigerian Sovereign Wealth Fund (Swf): Lessons From Existing Swf, M. U. Yakub

Bullion

This paper examines the merits and demerits of some existing SWFs with the view of drawing some lessons of experience for Nigeria to establish its own SWF. Following this introduction, the paper in section two outlines the objective of SWF, section three discusses the merits and demerits of SWF, while section four examines countries experiences and section five dwells on the institutional framework for the fund and section six provides policy recommendation.


A Common Economic Space For The West African Monetary Zone (Wamz): Imperatives For Financial Systems Development, A. O. Adenuga, K. K. Ogunjuiba, M. E. Obiechina Mar 2011

A Common Economic Space For The West African Monetary Zone (Wamz): Imperatives For Financial Systems Development, A. O. Adenuga, K. K. Ogunjuiba, M. E. Obiechina

Bullion

The international financial turmoil of the 21 century has provoked much reflection and analysis within the international community on ways to strengthen the international financial architecture. It left behind important lessons, while exposing the limitations of individual country policy frameworks for preventing a systemic crisis. However, the issue of whether a common economic space is feasible within the West African Monetary Zone is still doubtful, given current efforts towards monetary union in Sub-Saharan Africa. This paper adopts an empirical review approach, identifying benefits and key constraints to a common economic space in the WAMZ vis-à-vis macroeconomic development in the WAMZ, …


The Recent Financial Crisis And The Special Financing Interventions By The Central Bank Of Nigeria: Implications For The Real Sector Of The Nigerian Economy, O. O. Mbutor, D. J. Yilkudi Mar 2011

The Recent Financial Crisis And The Special Financing Interventions By The Central Bank Of Nigeria: Implications For The Real Sector Of The Nigerian Economy, O. O. Mbutor, D. J. Yilkudi

Bullion

This paper reviews the impacts of the crisis on the real sector of the Nigerian economy and highlights the various special financing intervention schemes, which the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has wielded in a bid to reverse the down turn in the sector.