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Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences

Estimating A Performance Standards Adjustment Model For Workforce Programs That Provides Timely Feedback And Uses Data From Only One State, Timothy J. Bartik, Randall W. Eberts, Kenneth J. Kline Jan 2015

Estimating A Performance Standards Adjustment Model For Workforce Programs That Provides Timely Feedback And Uses Data From Only One State, Timothy J. Bartik, Randall W. Eberts, Kenneth J. Kline

Timothy J. Bartik

The purpose of this paper is to describe a methodology for adjusting performance standards for workforce programs offered by local workforce areas (LWAs). By performance standards adjustment, we mean a model that uses a statistical approach to attempt to better measure the relative performance of different local workforce areas in providing workforce system customers with "value added" in terms of the system's desired outcomes. Our paper's approach has four distinguishing features. First, the performance standards are based on the common measures proposed by the U.S. Department of Labor, which include short- and longer-term employment outcomes. Second, the model is estimated …


Michigan's Fiscal Future, Timothy Bartik, George Erickcek Jan 2015

Michigan's Fiscal Future, Timothy Bartik, George Erickcek

Timothy J. Bartik

No abstract provided.


Michigan's Economic Development Policies, Timothy J. Bartik, George A. Erickcek Jan 2015

Michigan's Economic Development Policies, Timothy J. Bartik, George A. Erickcek

Timothy J. Bartik

No abstract provided.


Michigan Budget Reform: Why Reform Is Needed, And Key Ideas For Reform, Timothy J. Bartik Jan 2015

Michigan Budget Reform: Why Reform Is Needed, And Key Ideas For Reform, Timothy J. Bartik

Timothy J. Bartik

No abstract provided.


Economic Development Benefits Of Preschool Expansion In Kalamazoo County, Timothy J. Bartik Jan 2015

Economic Development Benefits Of Preschool Expansion In Kalamazoo County, Timothy J. Bartik

Timothy J. Bartik

This paper examines the effects of preschool expansion in Kalamazoo County on the county's economic development. Effects on the county's economic development are defined as effects on the employment and earnings of county residents. The estimated effects are found to be large relative to the costs. In addition to their relevance to Kalamazoo County, these simulations illustrate how the analysis presented in two previous papers (Bartik 2006, 2008) can be done for an individual county or metropolitan area. Such simulations may be of interest to other counties or metropolitan areas that are considering expansions in early childhood programs.


What Should Michigan Be Doing To Promote Long-Run Economic Development?, Timothy J. Bartik Jan 2015

What Should Michigan Be Doing To Promote Long-Run Economic Development?, Timothy J. Bartik

Timothy J. Bartik

This paper argues that Michigan can take cost-effective actions to significantly improve the primary state economic development goal: higher per capita income of Michigan's residents. Higher per capita income of Michigan's residents can be achieved through state policy actions that use cost-effective means to either lower the marginal costs of businesses that expand in the state, or boost the skills of state residents. In this paper, I offer eight ideas for how to lower marginal business costs and boost skills. Four of these ideas focus on lowering marginal business costs. Four other ideas focus on boosting skills. For each of …


Michigan's Business Taxes And Economic Development: Possible Reforms, Timothy J. Bartik Jan 2015

Michigan's Business Taxes And Economic Development: Possible Reforms, Timothy J. Bartik

Timothy J. Bartik

No abstract provided.


Michigan's Economic Competitiveness And Public Policy, Timothy J. Bartik, George A. Erickcek, Wei-Jang Huang, Brad R. Watts Jan 2015

Michigan's Economic Competitiveness And Public Policy, Timothy J. Bartik, George A. Erickcek, Wei-Jang Huang, Brad R. Watts

Timothy J. Bartik

No abstract provided.


The Employment And Fiscal Effects Of Michigan's Mega Tax Credit Program, Timothy J. Bartik, George A. Erickcek Jan 2015

The Employment And Fiscal Effects Of Michigan's Mega Tax Credit Program, Timothy J. Bartik, George A. Erickcek

Timothy J. Bartik

This paper estimates that Michigan's MEGA tax credit program to attract and retain businesses has large employment and fiscal benefits. MEGA provides discretionary tax credits to businesses, with the tax credit tied to the personal income taxes paid by employees on the new or retained jobs. We estimate the economic effects of MEGA using the Upjohn Institute's REMI model, and the research literature on how business location decisions respond to taxes. We estimate the fiscal effects of MEGA based on the research literature on how government spending and revenue respond to state personal income and population. The estimates suggest a …


Increasing The Economic Development Benefits Of Higher Education In Michigan, Timothy J. Bartik Jan 2015

Increasing The Economic Development Benefits Of Higher Education In Michigan, Timothy J. Bartik

Timothy J. Bartik

This paper considers how a state such as Michigan can increase the economic development benefits of higher education. Research evidence suggests that higher education increases local economic development principally by increasing the quality of the local workforce, and secondarily by increasing local innovative ideas. These economic development benefits of higher education can be increased by: 1) competent management of conventional economic development programs that focus on business attraction and retention; 2) policies that focus on increasing local job skills by educating the state's residents, as opposed to attracting in-migrants; 3) policies that address specific "market failures" in how higher education …


Economic Development Policy In Michigan, Timothy Bartik, Peter Eisinger, George Erickcek Jan 2015

Economic Development Policy In Michigan, Timothy Bartik, Peter Eisinger, George Erickcek

Timothy J. Bartik

No abstract provided.


Boosting Michigan's Economy Through Educational Improvements, Timothy J. Bartik Jan 2015

Boosting Michigan's Economy Through Educational Improvements, Timothy J. Bartik

Timothy J. Bartik

No abstract provided.


An Anti-Poverty Proposal For Inner-City Residents Of Kalamazoo, Timothy J. Bartik, George A. Erickcek Jan 2015

An Anti-Poverty Proposal For Inner-City Residents Of Kalamazoo, Timothy J. Bartik, George A. Erickcek

Timothy J. Bartik

No abstract provided.


Economic Impact Of Various Budgetary Policy Options For The State Of Michigan To Resolve Its Budget Deficit For Fy 2004, Timothy J. Bartik, George A. Erickcek Jan 2015

Economic Impact Of Various Budgetary Policy Options For The State Of Michigan To Resolve Its Budget Deficit For Fy 2004, Timothy J. Bartik, George A. Erickcek

Timothy J. Bartik

The State of Michigan is facing a $925 million budget deficit in Fiscal Year 2004 which began in October 2003. This research brief summarizes the findings of an analysis of the potential economic impacts to the state's economy of the following three budgetary policy options:

1. Eliminate the deficit by cutting state spending by $925 million. 2. Raise sufficient revenues to balance the state's budget by increasing the state's personal income tax rate to an estimated 4.7 percent. 3. Delay for one year the scheduled roll back of the state's personal income tax rate from 4.0 percent to 3.9 percent. …


Simulating The Effects Of Michigan's Mega Tax Credit Program On Job Creation And Fiscal Benefits, Timothy J. Bartik, George A. Erickcek Jan 2015

Simulating The Effects Of Michigan's Mega Tax Credit Program On Job Creation And Fiscal Benefits, Timothy J. Bartik, George A. Erickcek

Timothy J. Bartik

This paper simulates job and fiscal impacts of Michigan’s MEGA tax credit program for job creation. Under plausible assumptions about how such credits affect business location decisions, the net costs per job created of the MEGA program are simulated to be of modest size. The job creation impacts of MEGA are simulated to be considerably larger than devoting similar dollar resources to general business tax cuts. The simulation methodology developed here is applicable to incentives in other states.


An Economic Opportunity Concept For The Northside Of The City Of Kalamazoo, Timothy J. Bartik, George A. Erickcek Jan 2015

An Economic Opportunity Concept For The Northside Of The City Of Kalamazoo, Timothy J. Bartik, George A. Erickcek

Timothy J. Bartik

No abstract provided.


A Database For Measuring Industrial And Occupational Strengths And Potential In Michigan’S Economic Regions, Timothy Bartik, George Erickcek Jan 2015

A Database For Measuring Industrial And Occupational Strengths And Potential In Michigan’S Economic Regions, Timothy Bartik, George Erickcek

Timothy J. Bartik

Researchers developed a database that included analysis of each of Michigan's economic region's industrial strengths and potential strengths in different "export-base industries." The MERIOD (Michigan Economic Region Industrial and Occupational Development) database surveyed specialized industries and high-growth industries in each of the fifteen metro areas. It identified export-based industries to the six-digit NAICS level and explored recent growth trends in these industries in both the Michigan metro area and at the national level. These data and analyses provided MEDC (Michigan Economic Development Corporation) and regional economic developers in Michigan with insight into potential industry targets for better informed policy decisions.


Industrial And Occupational Strengths And Potential In Michigan’S Economic Regions: A Description And Presentation Of A New Database, Timothy J. Bartik, George A. Erickcek, Wei-Jang Huang Jan 2015

Industrial And Occupational Strengths And Potential In Michigan’S Economic Regions: A Description And Presentation Of A New Database, Timothy J. Bartik, George A. Erickcek, Wei-Jang Huang

Timothy J. Bartik

This report describes a preliminary version of an Upjohn Institute database that covers the economic development potential of different industries and occupations in Michigan’s regions. The MERIOD (Michigan Economic Region Industrial and Occupational Development) database surveys specialized industries and high-growth industries in each of the fifteen metro areas. It identifies export- based industries to the six-digit NAICS level and explores recent growth trends in these industries in both the Michigan metro area and at the national level.


Simulating The Effects Of The Tax Credit Program Of The Michigan Economic Growth Authority On Job Creation And Fiscal Benefits, Timothy Bartik, George Erickcek Jan 2015

Simulating The Effects Of The Tax Credit Program Of The Michigan Economic Growth Authority On Job Creation And Fiscal Benefits, Timothy Bartik, George Erickcek

Timothy J. Bartik

No abstract provided.


Michigan Competitiveness For Economic Development Report, Timothy Bartik, George Erickcek Jan 2015

Michigan Competitiveness For Economic Development Report, Timothy Bartik, George Erickcek

Timothy J. Bartik

Institute staff evaluated Michigan's competitiveness for economic development compared to the nation and nearby states. The report analyzed several aspects of Michigan's competitiveness including: tax competitiveness, Michigan's growth and industry mix, Michigan's competitiveness in human capital, and the competitiveness of Michigan's metropolitan areas. The report also included an executive summary targeted to a broader audience