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Nebraska Monthly Economic Indicators: December 23, 2020, Eric Thompson
Nebraska Monthly Economic Indicators: December 23, 2020, Eric Thompson
Leading Economic Indicator Reports
The LEI-N rose by 0.61% during November 2020. The rising indicator suggests that the Nebraska economy will expand over the next 6 months. Five of the six components of the leading indicator improved during November. Manufacturing hours-worked and building permits for single-family homes both rose. Business expectations also were positive, with respondents to the November Survey of Nebraska Business reporting plans to increase employment. The value of the U.S. dollar also declined in November, which will improve competitive conditions for agricultural producers, manufacturers, and other Nebraska businesses which export. Airline passenger enplanements were the only component to decline during November.
Nebraska Monthly Economic Indicators: November 25, 2020, Eric Thompson
Nebraska Monthly Economic Indicators: November 25, 2020, Eric Thompson
Leading Economic Indicator Reports
The LEI-N rose during October 2020, by 1.83%. The rising indicator confirms that the Nebraska economy should continue to expand over the next 6 months. Five of the six components of the leading indicator improved during October. Manufacturing hours-worked rebounded in October after declining over the previous 3 months. Business expectations also were positive, with respondents to the October Survey of Nebraska Business reporting plans to increase employment over the next 6 months. The value of the U.S. dollar also declined, which will improve competitive conditions for Nebraska businesses that export. Building permits for single-family homes and airline passenger enplanements …
Nebraska Monthly Economic Indicators: October 28, 2020, Eric Thompson
Nebraska Monthly Economic Indicators: October 28, 2020, Eric Thompson
Leading Economic Indicator Reports
The LEI-N rose slightly during September 2020, by 0.09%. While the pace of improvement has slowed, September marks the fifth consecutive increase in the leading indicator after sharp declines in March and April. The September result indicates that the Nebraska economy will grow at a modest pace over the next 6 months. Four of the components of the leading indicator improved during September. Airline passenger enplanements grew slowly after seasonal adjustment, but there was a drop in initial claims for unemployment insurance during the month. The value of the U.S. dollar also declined, which will improve competitive conditions for businesses …
Nebraska Monthly Economic Indicators: September 23, 2020, Eric Thompson
Nebraska Monthly Economic Indicators: September 23, 2020, Eric Thompson
Leading Economic Indicator Reports
e LEI-N rose by 0.85% during August 2020. August marked the fourth consecutive increase in the leading indicator after sharp declines in March and April. The August result indicates that the Nebraska economy will grow over the next 6 months, continuing a steady recovery from large economic losses in March and April. Five of the six components of the leading indicator improved during August. Airline passenger enplanements grew modestly after seasonal adjustment, and there was a modest increase in building permits for single-family homes. There also was a drop in initial claims for unemployment insurance and the value of the …
Nebraska Monthly Economic Indicators: August 26, 2020, Eric Thompson
Nebraska Monthly Economic Indicators: August 26, 2020, Eric Thompson
Leading Economic Indicator Reports
The LEI-N rose by 0.59% during July of 2020. July marked the third consecutive increase in the leading indicator after sharp declines in March and April. The July result indicates that the Nebraska economy will grow over the next 6 months, continuing a steady recovery from large economic losses in March and April. Five of the six components of the leading indicator improved during July. Airline passenger enplanements continued a steady rebound, and there was a modest increase in building permits for single-family homes. There also was a slight drop in initial claims for unemployment insurance and a drop in …
Nebraska Monthly Economic Indicators: July 24, 2020, Eric Thompson
Nebraska Monthly Economic Indicators: July 24, 2020, Eric Thompson
Leading Economic Indicator Reports
The LEI-N rose by 1.72% during June of 2020. The June increase followed sharp declines in March and April. The June result indicates that the Nebraska economy will grow over the next 6 months, continuing the steady recovery from large economic losses in March and April. All six components of the leading indicator improved during June. The slow rebound in airline passenger enplanements continued, and manufacturing hours-worked increased. There also was a slight drop in initial claims for unemployment insurance and a drop in the value of the U.S. dollar in June. A lower U.S. dollar improves competitive conditions for …
Nebraska Monthly Economic Indicators: June 24, 2020, Eric Thompson
Nebraska Monthly Economic Indicators: June 24, 2020, Eric Thompson
Leading Economic Indicator Reports
The LEI-N rose by 2.45% during May of 2020. The May increase followed sharp declines in March and April. The May results indicate that the Nebraska economy will grow over the next 6 months, allowing the state to begin to recover from economic losses in March and April. Four of the five components of the leading indicator improved during May. There was a significant decline in initial claims for unemployment insurance. The slow rebound in airline passenger enplanements also began. In addition, building permits for single-family homes rebounded in May after an April drop. The value of the U.S. dollar …
Shift-Share Analysis: Alabama, 2005 - 2018, Randall Jackson, Peter Jarosi
Shift-Share Analysis: Alabama, 2005 - 2018, Randall Jackson, Peter Jarosi
Shift Share Analyses
In County-level CIE Supply Chain Analysis, the second of five parts of An Economic Analysis of the Appalachian Coal Industry Ecosystem posted to the Commission’s website in January of 2018, we developed a set of metrics that were used to provide insights on the past and future supply chain implications of long-term coal industry decline in Appalachia.[1] These metrics were used to identify counties that have been heavily impacted by the decline of the coal industry, those that remain dependent on the coal industry ecosystem (CIE), and among the dependent counties, those that are at greatest risk of further impact. …
Shift-Share Analysis: Ohio, 2005 - 2018, Randall Jackson, Péter Járosi
Shift-Share Analysis: Ohio, 2005 - 2018, Randall Jackson, Péter Járosi
Shift Share Analyses
In County-level CIE Supply Chain Analysis, the second of five parts of An Economic Analysis of the Appalachian Coal Industry Ecosystem posted to the Commission’s website in January of 2018, we developed a set of metrics that were used to provide insights on the past and future supply chain implications of long-term coal industry decline in Appalachia.[1] These metrics were used to identify counties that have been heavily impacted by the decline of the coal industry, those that remain dependent on the coal industry ecosystem (CIE), and among the dependent counties, those that are at greatest risk of further impact. …
Shift-Share Analysis: New York, 2005 - 2018, Randall Jackson, Péter Járosi
Shift-Share Analysis: New York, 2005 - 2018, Randall Jackson, Péter Járosi
Shift Share Analyses
In County-level CIE Supply Chain Analysis, the second of five parts of An Economic Analysis of the Appalachian Coal Industry Ecosystem posted to the Commission’s website in January of 2018, we developed a set of metrics that were used to provide insights on the past and future supply chain implications of long-term coal industry decline in Appalachia.[1] These metrics were used to identify counties that have been heavily impacted by the decline of the coal industry, those that remain dependent on the coal industry ecosystem (CIE), and among the dependent counties, those that are at greatest risk of further impact. …
Shift-Share Analysis: North Carolina, 2005 - 2018, Randall Jackson, Péter Járosi
Shift-Share Analysis: North Carolina, 2005 - 2018, Randall Jackson, Péter Járosi
Shift Share Analyses
In County-level CIE Supply Chain Analysis, the second of five parts of An Economic Analysis of the Appalachian Coal Industry Ecosystem posted to the Commission’s website in January of 2018, we developed a set of metrics that were used to provide insights on the past and future supply chain implications of long-term coal industry decline in Appalachia.[1] These metrics were used to identify counties that have been heavily impacted by the decline of the coal industry, those that remain dependent on the coal industry ecosystem (CIE), and among the dependent counties, those that are at greatest risk of further impact. …
Shift-Share Analysis: South Carolina, 2005 - 2018, Randall Jackson, Péter Járosi
Shift-Share Analysis: South Carolina, 2005 - 2018, Randall Jackson, Péter Járosi
Shift Share Analyses
In County-level CIE Supply Chain Analysis, the second of five parts of An Economic Analysis of the Appalachian Coal Industry Ecosystem posted to the Commission’s website in January of 2018, we developed a set of metrics that were used to provide insights on the past and future supply chain implications of long-term coal industry decline in Appalachia.[1] These metrics were used to identify counties that have been heavily impacted by the decline of the coal industry, those that remain dependent on the coal industry ecosystem (CIE), and among the dependent counties, those that are at greatest risk of further impact. …
Shift-Share Analysis: Maryland, 2005 - 2018, Randall Jackson, Péter Járosi
Shift-Share Analysis: Maryland, 2005 - 2018, Randall Jackson, Péter Járosi
Shift Share Analyses
In County-level CIE Supply Chain Analysis, the second of five p arts o f An Economic Analysis of the Appalachian Coal Industry Ecosystem posted to the Commission’s website in January of 2018, we developed a set of metrics that were used to provide insights on the past and future supply chain implications of long-term coal industry decline in Appalachia.[1] These metrics were used to identify counties that have been heavily impacted by the decline of the coal industry, those that remain dependent on the coal industry ecosystem (CIE), and among the dependent counties, those that are at greatest risk of …
Shift-Share Analysis: Mississippi, 2005 - 2018, Randall Jackson, Péter Járosi
Shift-Share Analysis: Mississippi, 2005 - 2018, Randall Jackson, Péter Járosi
Shift Share Analyses
In County-level CIE Supply Chain Analysis, the second of five parts of An Economic Analysis of the Appalachian Coal Industry Ecosystem posted to the Commission’s website in January of 2018, we developed a set of metrics that were used to provide insights on the past and future supply chain implications of long-term coal industry decline in Appalachia.[1] These metrics were used to identify counties that have been heavily impacted by the decline of the coal industry, those that remain dependent on the coal industry ecosystem (CIE), and among the dependent counties, those that are at greatest risk of further impact. …
Shift-Share Analysis: Georgia, 2005 - 2018, Randall Jackson, Péter Járosi
Shift-Share Analysis: Georgia, 2005 - 2018, Randall Jackson, Péter Járosi
Shift Share Analyses
In County-level CIE Supply Chain Analysis, the second of five parts of An Economic Analysis of the Appalachian Coal Industry Ecosystem posted to the Commission’s website in January of 2018, we developed a set of metrics that were used to provide insights on the past and future supply chain implications of long-term coal industry decline in Appalachia.[1] These metrics were used to identify counties that have been heavily impacted by the decline of the coal industry, those that remain dependent on the coal industry ecosystem (CIE), and among the dependent counties, those that are at greatest risk of further impact. …
Shift-Share Analysis: Pennsylvania, 2005 - 2018, Randall Jackson, Péter Járosi
Shift-Share Analysis: Pennsylvania, 2005 - 2018, Randall Jackson, Péter Járosi
Shift Share Analyses
In County-level CIE Supply Chain Analysis, the second of five parts of An Economic Analysis of the Appalachian Coal Industry Ecosystem posted to the Commission’s website in January of 2018, we developed a set of metrics that were used to provide insights on the past and future supply chain implications of long-term coal industry decline in Appalachia.[1] These metrics were used to identify counties that have been heavily impacted by the decline of the coal industry, those that remain dependent on the coal industry ecosystem (CIE), and among the dependent counties, those that are at greatest risk of further impact. …
Shift-Share Analysis: Kentucky, 2005 - 2018, Randall Jackson, Péter Járosi
Shift-Share Analysis: Kentucky, 2005 - 2018, Randall Jackson, Péter Járosi
Shift Share Analyses
In County-level CIE Supply Chain Analysis, the second of five p arts o f An Economic Analysis of the Appalachian Coal Industry Ecosystem posted to the Commission’s website in January of 2018, we developed a set of metrics that were used to provide insights on the past and future supply chain implications of long-term coal industry decline in Appalachia.[1] These metrics were used to identify counties that have been heavily impacted by the decline of the coal industry, those that remain dependent on the coal industry ecosystem (CIE), and among the dependent counties, those that are at greatest risk of …
Shift-Share Analysis: Tennessee, 2005 - 2018, Randall Jackson, Péter Járosi
Shift-Share Analysis: Tennessee, 2005 - 2018, Randall Jackson, Péter Járosi
Shift Share Analyses
In County-level CIE Supply Chain Analysis, the second of five parts o f An Economic Analysis of the Appalachian Coal Industry Ecosystem posted to the Commission’s website in January of 2018, we developed a set of metrics that were used to provide insights on the past and future supply chain implications of long-term coal industry decline in Appalachia.[1] These metrics were used to identify counties that have been heavily impacted by the decline of the coal industry, those that remain dependent on the coal industry ecosystem (CIE), and among the dependent counties, those that are at greatest risk of further …
Shift-Share Analysis: Virginia, 2005 - 2018, Randall Jackson, Péter Járosi
Shift-Share Analysis: Virginia, 2005 - 2018, Randall Jackson, Péter Járosi
Shift Share Analyses
In County-level CIE Supply Chain Analysis, the second of five parts of n Economic Analysis of the Appalachian Coal Industry Ecosystem posted to the Commission’s website in January of 2018, we developed a set of metrics that were used to provide insights on the past and future supply chain implications of long-term coal industry decline in Appalachia.[1] These metrics were used to identify counties that have been heavily impacted by the decline of the coal industry, those that remain dependent on the coal industry ecosystem (CIE), and among the dependent counties, those that are at greatest risk of further impact. …
Shift-Share Analysis: West Virginia, 2005 - 2018, Randall Jackson, Péter Járosi
Shift-Share Analysis: West Virginia, 2005 - 2018, Randall Jackson, Péter Járosi
Shift Share Analyses
In County-level CIE Supply Chain Analysis, the second of five parts of An Economic Analysis of the Appalachian Coal Industry Ecosystem posted to the Commission’s website in January of 2018, we developed a set of metrics that were used to provide insights on the past and future supply chain implications of long-term coal industry decline in Appalachia.[1] These metrics were used to identify counties that have been heavily impacted by the decline of the coal industry, those that remain dependent on the coal industry ecosystem (CIE), and among the dependent counties, those that are at greatest risk of further impact. …
Nebraska Monthly Economic Indicators: May 28, 2020, Eric Thompson
Nebraska Monthly Economic Indicators: May 28, 2020, Eric Thompson
Leading Economic Indicator Reports
The LEI-N fell by 5.57% during April of 2020 as the COVID-19 Pandemic continued to impact Nebraska’s economy. The decline in April followed a large decline in March. Taken together, the two monthly drops suggest that the Nebraska economy will be smaller in the fall of 2020 than it was during January and February of this year. All components of the leading indicator worsened during April. There were few airline passenger enplanements during April. In addition, both building permits for single-family homes and manufacturing hours-worked declined while initial claims for unemployment insurance rose. There also was another increase in the …
Regional Household Economic Stress And Retail Sales Fluctuations, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Ana P. Gutierrez-Zubiate
Regional Household Economic Stress And Retail Sales Fluctuations, Thomas M. Fullerton Jr., Ana P. Gutierrez-Zubiate
Departmental Papers (E & F)
Economic stress indices are used to monitor business cycle conditions in several regions.Although the deployment of these tools is spreading, there have been relatively few efforts to empirically assess the performance of these gauges, especially at the regional level.This study takes advantage of one such index that is published monthly and has more than 15 years of historical data.Results obtained confirm an inverse relationship between household economic duress and retail sales activity, but it is not found to be statistically reliable over the long-run.Deviations from equilibrium are found to last for 142 months.More relevantly, a 1-point increase in the index …
Nebraska Monthly Economic Indicators: April 29, 2020, Eric Thompson
Nebraska Monthly Economic Indicators: April 29, 2020, Eric Thompson
Leading Economic Indicator Reports
The LEI-N fell by 7.96% during March of 2020 as the COVID-19 Pandemic impacted Nebraska’s economy. The leading indicator primarily fell due to a spike in initial claims for unemployment insurance and a sharp drop in the airline passenger enplanements during March. Other components of the leading indicator also were impacted, given a decline in both building permits for single-family homes and manufacturing hours-worked. There also was a sharp increase in the value of the U.S. dollar during March, which creates additional challenges for both agriculture and manufacturing businesses. The decline in the leading indicator suggests that the Nebraska economy …
Shift-Share Analysis: Appalachian Region Micropolitan And Metropolitan Areas, 2005 – 2018 Part Ii. Regions 61 - 120, Randall Jackson, Péter Járosi
Shift-Share Analysis: Appalachian Region Micropolitan And Metropolitan Areas, 2005 – 2018 Part Ii. Regions 61 - 120, Randall Jackson, Péter Járosi
Shift Share Analyses
In County-level CIE Supply Chain Analysis, the second of five p arts o f A n Economic Analysis of the Appalachian Coal Industry Ecosystem posted to the Commission’s website in January of 2018, we developed a set of metrics that were used to provide insights on the past and future supply chain implications of long-term coal industry decline in Appalachia.[1] These metrics were used to identify counties that have been heavily impacted by the decline of the coal industry, those that remain dependent on the coal industry ecosystem (CIE), and among the dependent counties, those that are at greatest risk …
Shift-Share Analysis: Appalachian Region Micropolitan And Metropolitan Areas, 2005 – 2018 Part I. Regions 1 - 60, Randall Jackson, Péter Járosi
Shift-Share Analysis: Appalachian Region Micropolitan And Metropolitan Areas, 2005 – 2018 Part I. Regions 1 - 60, Randall Jackson, Péter Járosi
Shift Share Analyses
In County-level CIE Supply Chain Analysis, the second of five p a rts o f A n E c onomic A n alysis of the Appalachian Coal Industry Ecosystem posted to the Commission’s website in January of 2018, we developed a set of metrics that were used to provide insights on the past and future supply chain implications of long-term coal industry decline in Appalachia.[1] These metrics were used to identify counties that have been heavily impacted by the decline of the coal industry, those that remain dependent on the coal industry ecosystem (CIE), and among the dependent counties, those …
Nebraska Monthly Economic Indicators: March 31, 2020, Eric Thompson
Nebraska Monthly Economic Indicators: March 31, 2020, Eric Thompson
Leading Economic Indicator Reports
The Leading Economic Indicator – Nebraska (LEI-N) 1 report for this month reflects data from February 2020, a period before the Covid-19 Pandemic began to have a very significant impact on the U.S. economy. As a result, the outlook provided by the leading indicator will not capture the decline in economic activity that occurred beginning in March 2020. Nonetheless, the LEI-N report is presented here to provide information about where the Nebraska economy was headed before the current health crisis. The LEI-N fell by 0.19% during February of 2020. The modest decrease in the LEI-N, which is designed to predict …
Nebraska Monthly Economic Indicators: February 26, 2020, Eric Thompson
Nebraska Monthly Economic Indicators: February 26, 2020, Eric Thompson
Leading Economic Indicator Reports
The Leading Economic Indicator – Nebraska (LEI-N) 1 fell by 0.15% during January of 2020. The modest decrease in the LEI-N, which is designed to predict economic activity six months into the future, followed a strong increase in December 2019. Taken together, the two monthly results indicate moderate economic growth in Nebraska through mid-2020. The leading indicator fell due to a drop in airline passenger enplanements and an increase in initial claims for unemployment insurance. However, business expectations remained positive during the month, with respondents to the January Survey of Nebraska Business reporting plans to increase sales and employment at …
Nebraska Monthly Economic Indicators: January 22, 2020, Eric Thompson
Nebraska Monthly Economic Indicators: January 22, 2020, Eric Thompson
Leading Economic Indicator Reports
The Leading Economic Indicator – Nebraska (LEI-N) 1 rose by 1.10% during December of 2019. The increase in the LEI-N, which is designed to predict economic activity six months into the future, confirms expectations for moderate economic growth in Nebraska through mid-2020. The leading indicator primarily rose due to strong business expectations. Respondents to the December Survey of Nebraska Business reported plans to increase sales and employment at their businesses over the next six months. There also was a rebound in building permits for single-family homes during the month, suggesting an increase in construction activity mid-year.
Shift-Share Analysis, Appalachian Counties, Randall Jackson, Péter Járosi
Shift-Share Analysis, Appalachian Counties, Randall Jackson, Péter Járosi
Shift Share Analyses
In County-level CIE Supply Chain Analysis, the second of five p a rts o f A n E c onomic A n alysis of the Appalachian Coal Industry Ecosystem posted to the Commission’s website in January of 2018, we developed a set of metrics that were used to provide insights on the past and future supply chain implications of long-term coal industry decline in Appalachia. These metrics were used to identify counties that have been heavily impacted by the decline of the coal industry, those that remain dependent on the coal industry ecosystem (CIE), and among the dependent counties, those …