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Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences
Economic Reforms, Fdi, And Economic Growth In India Sector Level Analysis, Chandana Chakraborty, Peter Nunnenkamp
Economic Reforms, Fdi, And Economic Growth In India Sector Level Analysis, Chandana Chakraborty, Peter Nunnenkamp
Department of Economics Faculty Scholarship and Creative Works
Booming foreign direct investment (FDI) in post-reform India is widely believed to promote economic growth. We assess this proposition by subjecting industry-specific FDI and output data to Granger causality tests within a panel cointegration framework. It turns out that the growth effects of FDI vary widely across sectors. FDI stocks and output are mutually reinforcing in the manufacturing sector, whereas any causal relationship is absent in the primary sector. Most strikingly, we find only transitory effects of FDI on output in the services sector. However, FDI in the services sector appears to have promoted growth in the manufacturing sector through …
Unit Root And Cointegrating Limit Theory When Initialization Is In The Infinite Past, Peter C.B. Phillips, Tassos Magdalinos
Unit Root And Cointegrating Limit Theory When Initialization Is In The Infinite Past, Peter C.B. Phillips, Tassos Magdalinos
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
It is well known that unit root limit distributions are sensitive to initial conditions in the distant past. If the distant past initialization is extended to the infinite past, the initial condition dominates the limit theory producing a faster rate of convergence, a limiting Cauchy distribution for the least squares coefficient and a limit normal distribution for the t ratio. This amounts to the tail of the unit root process wagging the dog of the unit root limit theory. These simple results apply in the case of a univariate autoregression with no intercept. The limit theory for vector unit root …
Structural Nonparametric Cointegrating Regression, Qiying Wang, Peter C.B. Phillips
Structural Nonparametric Cointegrating Regression, Qiying Wang, Peter C.B. Phillips
Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers
Nonparametric estimation of a structural cointegrating regression model is studied. As in the standard linear cointegrating regression model, the regressor and the dependent variable are jointly dependent and contemporaneously correlated. In nonparametric estimation problems, joint dependence is known to be a major complication that affects identification, induces bias in conventional kernel estimates, and frequently leads to ill-posed inverse problems. In functional cointegrating regressions where the regressor is an integrated time series, it is shown here that inverse and ill-posed inverse problems do not arise. Remarkably, nonparametric kernel estimation of a structural nonparametric cointegrating regression is consistent and the limit distribution …
An Empirical Analysis Of Sustainability Of Trade Deficit: Evidence From Sri Lanka, Nelson Perera, R. Verma
An Empirical Analysis Of Sustainability Of Trade Deficit: Evidence From Sri Lanka, Nelson Perera, R. Verma
Faculty of Commerce - Papers (Archive)
In this paper, the long-run relationship between Sri Lankan exports and imports during the period 1950 to 2006 is examined using unit root tests and cointegration techniques that allow for an endogenously determined structural break. The results failed to support the existence of a long-run equilibrium between exports and imports in Sri Lanka. This finding questions the effectiveness of Sri Lanka’s current long-term macroeconomic policies and suggests that Sri Lanka is in violation of its international budget constraint.
A Model Of Inflation For Sri Lanka, Arusha V. Cooray
A Model Of Inflation For Sri Lanka, Arusha V. Cooray
Faculty of Commerce - Papers (Archive)
This paper uses two models: an open economy model and a closed economy model to estimate a price equation for Sri Lanka. The results suggest greater support for the open economy model. Consistent with previous studies for Sri Lanka, supply side factors appear to be important in influencing the general price level in Sri Lanka.