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Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences

How To Best Apply Neural Networks In Geosciences: Towards Optimal "Averaging" In Dropout Training, Afshin Gholamy, Justin Parra, Vladik Kreinovich, Olac Fuentes, Elizabeth Y. Anthony Dec 2017

How To Best Apply Neural Networks In Geosciences: Towards Optimal "Averaging" In Dropout Training, Afshin Gholamy, Justin Parra, Vladik Kreinovich, Olac Fuentes, Elizabeth Y. Anthony

Departmental Technical Reports (CS)

The main objectives of geosciences is to find the current state of the Earth -- i.e., solve the corresponding inverse problems -- and to use this knowledge for predicting the future events, such as earthquakes and volcanic eruptions. In both inverse and prediction problems, often, machine learning techniques are very efficient, and at present, the most efficient machine learning technique is deep neural training. To speed up this training, the current learning algorithms use dropout techniques: they train several sub-networks on different portions of data, and then "average" the results. A natural idea is to use arithmetic mean for this …


An Ancient Bankruptcy Solution Makes Economic Sense, Anh H. Ly, Michael Zakharevich, Olga Kosheleva, Vladik Kreinovich Sep 2017

An Ancient Bankruptcy Solution Makes Economic Sense, Anh H. Ly, Michael Zakharevich, Olga Kosheleva, Vladik Kreinovich

Departmental Technical Reports (CS)

While econometrics is a reasonable recent discipline, quantitative solutions to economic problem have been proposed since the ancient times. In particular, solutions have been proposed for the bankruptcy problem: how to divide the assets between the claimants? One of the challenges of analyzing ancient solutions to economics problems is that these solutions are often presented not as a general algorithm, but as a sequence of examples. When there are only a few such example, it is often difficult to convincingly extract a general algorithm from them. This was the case, for example, for the supposedly fairness-motivated Talmudic solution to the …


Are Permanent Or Temporary Teams More Efficient: A Possible Explanation Of The Empirical Data, Francisco Zapata, Olga Kosheleva, Vladik Kreinovich Jun 2017

Are Permanent Or Temporary Teams More Efficient: A Possible Explanation Of The Empirical Data, Francisco Zapata, Olga Kosheleva, Vladik Kreinovich

Departmental Technical Reports (CS)

It is known that in education, stable (long-term) student teams are more effective than temporary (short-term) ones. It turned out that the same phenomenon is true for workers working on a long-term project. However, somewhat surprisingly, for small-scale projects, the opposite is true: teams without any prior collaboration experience are more successful. Moreover, it turns out that if combine in a team members with prior collaboration experience and members without such experience, the efficiency of the team gets even lower. In this paper, we provide a possible explanation for this strange empirical phenomenon.


Why West-To-East Jetlag Is More Severe: A Simple Qualitative Explanation, Olga Kosheleva, Vladik Kreinovich Jun 2017

Why West-To-East Jetlag Is More Severe: A Simple Qualitative Explanation, Olga Kosheleva, Vladik Kreinovich

Departmental Technical Reports (CS)

Empirical data shows that the jetlag when traveling west-to-east feels more severe than the jetlag when traveling east-to-west. At present, the only explanation of this empirical phenomenon is based on a complex dynamical systems model. In this paper, we provide a simple alternative explanation. This explanation also explains -- on the qualitative level -- the empirical data on relative severity of different jetlags.


Quantum Ideas In Economics Beyond Quantum Econometrics, Vladik Kreinovich, Hung T. Nguyen, Songsak Sriboonchitta Jun 2017

Quantum Ideas In Economics Beyond Quantum Econometrics, Vladik Kreinovich, Hung T. Nguyen, Songsak Sriboonchitta

Departmental Technical Reports (CS)

It is known that computational methods developed for solving equations of quantum physics can be successfully applied to solve economic problems; there is a whole related research area called quantum econometrics. Current quantum econometrics techniques are based on a purely mathematical similarity between the corresponding equations, without any attempt to relate the underlying ideas. We believe that the fact that quantum equations can be successfully applied in economics indicates that there is a deeper relation between these areas, beyond a mathematical similarity. In this paper, we show that there is indeed a deep relation between the main ideas of …