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Social and Behavioral Sciences Commons

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Claremont Colleges

CMC Faculty Publications and Research

Series

2011

US-China payments adjustment

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Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences

Adjustment In An Open Economy With Two Exchange-Rate Regimes, Sven W. Arndt Jan 2011

Adjustment In An Open Economy With Two Exchange-Rate Regimes, Sven W. Arndt

CMC Faculty Publications and Research

This paper examines adjustment in a model with three economies, two exchange-rate regimes, and varying capital mobility. In the benchmark scenario, the U.S. dollar fluctuates against the euro and the Chinese yuan, but capital mobility is high in the former and low in the latter case. This generates offsetting exchange-rate adjustments, which affect the efficacy of U.S. fiscal policy. In the next two scenarios, the yuan is fixed against the dollar. Rate pegging by a large country like China "interferes" with U.S. macro adjustment and undermines U.S. policy autonomy.