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Articles 1 - 11 of 11
Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences
New Voters Will Influence Outcome In New Hampshire Primary, Kenneth M. Johnson, Dante Scala, Andrew Smith
New Voters Will Influence Outcome In New Hampshire Primary, Kenneth M. Johnson, Dante Scala, Andrew Smith
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
In this data snapshot, authors Kenneth Johnson, Dante Scala, and Andrew Smith discuss factors going into New Hampshire's 2020 Primary that could influence the outcome.
Steyer Spends The Most, But Only Yang And Gabbard Focus Facebook Advertising On New Hampshire, Jordan Hensley
Steyer Spends The Most, But Only Yang And Gabbard Focus Facebook Advertising On New Hampshire, Jordan Hensley
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
In this data snapshot, author Jordan Hensley reports on presidential candidate spending on Facebook ads in New Hampshire.
The First Primary: Why New Hampshire?, David W. Moore, Andrew Smith
The First Primary: Why New Hampshire?, David W. Moore, Andrew Smith
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
In this brief, authors David Moore and Andrew Smith describe the origin of the New Hampshire presidential primary and the Iowa presidential caucuses. The developments by which these two small states came to hold the first nominating contests every four years were accidental, generated by a variety of events not at all intended to educate future leaders and certainly not adopted with any expectation that these states would emerge with the enormous influence that comes with being first. But once Iowa and New Hampshire were first, and once they realized the extensive benefits the position brought to them, their leaders …
Polling And The New Hampshire Primary: What To Watch, And Watch Out For, Andrew Smith, David Moore
Polling And The New Hampshire Primary: What To Watch, And Watch Out For, Andrew Smith, David Moore
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
In this brief, authors David Moore and Andrew Smith discuss caveats that should be considered when interpreting what the polls mean for the February 2020 New Hampshire primary.
First In The Nation: New Hampshire’S Changing Electorate In Changing Times, Kenneth M. Johnson, Dante Scala, Andrew Smith
First In The Nation: New Hampshire’S Changing Electorate In Changing Times, Kenneth M. Johnson, Dante Scala, Andrew Smith
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
In this brief, authors Kenneth Johnson, Dante Scala, and Andrew Smith discuss demographic forces that are reshaping the New Hampshire landscape. They report that more than 20 percent of potential voters in the 2020 New Hampshire primary were either not old enough to vote in 2016 or resided somewhere other than New Hampshire. New Hampshire has one of the most mobile populations in the nation. Only one-third of New Hampshire residents age 25 and older were born in the state. Democratic presidential primary turnout in New Hampshire may hit record highs in 2020. Republican turnout, in contrast, is likely to …
Beyond Urban Versus Rural:, Dante J. Scala, Kenneth M. Johnson
Beyond Urban Versus Rural:, Dante J. Scala, Kenneth M. Johnson
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
In this brief, authors Dante Scala and Kenneth Johnson examine voting patterns over the last five presidential elections. They report that although rural voters and urban voters are often portrayed as polar opposites, their differences are best understood as a continuum, not a dichotomy. From the largest urban cores to the most remote rural counties, they found significant variations in voting. Hillary Clinton nearly matched Barack Obama’s 2012 performance in most urban areas. Clinton’s defeat was due, in part, to her failure to match the performance of recent Democratic Presidential nominees in less populated areas. Though many commentators argued that …
Public Support For Environmental Protection, Lawrence C. Hamilton
Public Support For Environmental Protection, Lawrence C. Hamilton
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
In this fact sheet, author Lawrence Hamilton discusses the results of a New Hampshire poll conducted January 31 to February 8, 2017, that asked residents whether they think environmental protection rules should be reduced, strengthened, or left as they are. He reports that, although President Trump and some Congressional supporters have proposed broad reductions in environmental protection, the New Hampshire survey--which has a record of mirroring national surveys on environmental issues--finds little support for such steps. Almost three-quarters think instead that environmental protection rules should be left as they are or strengthened. Large majorities in every category of age, education, …
On Renewable Energy And Climate, Trump Voters Stand Apart, Lawrence C. Hamilton
On Renewable Energy And Climate, Trump Voters Stand Apart, Lawrence C. Hamilton
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
In this brief, author Larry Hamilton discusses the results of pre- and post-election Polar, Environment, and Science surveys carried out by Carsey School researchers in August and November–December 2016, asking people about their general views on climate change and renewable energy. Almost three-fourths of Americans surveyed said that renewable energy should be a higher national priority than more drilling for oil. About two-thirds agree with the scientific consensus that humans are changing Earth’s climate. Priority for renewable energy development and recognition of human-caused climate change are majority opinions within every voter group except Trump supporters. On renewable energy, the reality …
Was December Warm? Family, Politics, And Recollections Of Weather, Lawrence C. Hamilton, Mary D. Lemcke-Stampone
Was December Warm? Family, Politics, And Recollections Of Weather, Lawrence C. Hamilton, Mary D. Lemcke-Stampone
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
In 2015 New Hampshire experienced its warmest December on record. The temperature exceeded twentieth century average temperatures by a wider margin than for any month in historical records dating back to 1895. In February 2016, as part of an ongoing study of environmental perceptions, the Granite State Poll asked state residents whether they thought the recent December had been generally colder, warmer, or about average for that month. Only 63 percent remembered it had been above average. The remainder of the winter set a new warmth record as well, so in April 2016 another Granite State Poll asked residents about …
First In The Nation: New Hampshire's Changing Electorate, Kenneth M. Johnson, Dante J. Scala, Andrew Smith
First In The Nation: New Hampshire's Changing Electorate, Kenneth M. Johnson, Dante J. Scala, Andrew Smith
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
In this brief, authors Ken Johnson, Dante Scala, and Andrew Smith discuss demographic forces that are reshaping the New Hampshire landscape. They report that the voting population of New Hampshire is among the most mobile in the United States. More than 30 percent of the potential voters are new to the state’s electoral process since 2008. These younger voters and recent migrants have the potential to change the political landscape of the state in the coming presidential primary and November election. The new young voters tend to be more liberal than their older contemporaries. These younger voters also identify less …
Trump And Sanders Supporters Differ Sharply On Key Scientific Fact, Lawrence C. Hamilton
Trump And Sanders Supporters Differ Sharply On Key Scientific Fact, Lawrence C. Hamilton
The Carsey School of Public Policy at the Scholars' Repository
In this fact sheet, author Lawrence C. Hamilton reports the results of a recent WMUR/CNN poll by the UNH Survey Center asking more than 700 New Hampshire residents whether they would vote for Donald Trump or Bernie Sanders if the 2016 presidential election was being held on that day, and how candidate preferences matched up with people's beliefs about a basic scientific fact -- the rising concentration of CO2 or carbon dioxide in the Earth’s atmosphere.