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International Economics

Universitas Indonesia

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia

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Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences

Regresi Ambang Untuk Mendalami Pengaruh Nonlinier Kekuatan Pasar Terhadap Pinjaman Bank Di Asean-5, Mahjus Ekananda Jul 2023

Regresi Ambang Untuk Mendalami Pengaruh Nonlinier Kekuatan Pasar Terhadap Pinjaman Bank Di Asean-5, Mahjus Ekananda

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia

Credit distribution has developed rapidly in the ASEAN region and it is largely dominated by the banking sector compared to other financial institutions. This study explores the effects of various changes to the GDP growth regime, firm size, and monetary policy. The objects of this research are commercial banks in ASEAN-5 from year 2010 to 2019. This study utilises the threshold regression method and a single proxy to measure market power. Results of this study found that monetary policy and market forces affect productive credit. Changes in impact that occur are mostly due to different behavior between banks in response …

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Indikator Makroekonomi Dalam Perspektif Sentimen Media Massa Internasional Di Negara Asean, Eman Sukmana, Musdalifah Musdalifah, Bakhtiar Amaludin, Anton Nurcahyo Jul 2022

Indikator Makroekonomi Dalam Perspektif Sentimen Media Massa Internasional Di Negara Asean, Eman Sukmana, Musdalifah Musdalifah, Bakhtiar Amaludin, Anton Nurcahyo

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia

This study was conducted to analyze the effect of international mass media sentiment on macroeconomic indicators in five ASEAN countries, namely Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Singapore, and Brunei Darussalam. The purpose of this study is to develop a macroeconomic forecast model based on the analysis of macroeconomic indices and international sentiment that combines GDELT and World Development Indicators (WDI) data. The research result states that each economic index variable has a correlation with the news sentiment variable. The indicators most correlated with the news sentiment variable were Current Account Balance (CAB) (0.777628), Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) (0.727840), and Inflation (-0.223941). Therefore, …

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Analisis Fenomena Heterogenous Dampak Perubahan Nilai Tukar Terhadap Inflasi Di Asean-5, Ashadi Asral Rawang, Mahjus Ekananda Jan 2022

Analisis Fenomena Heterogenous Dampak Perubahan Nilai Tukar Terhadap Inflasi Di Asean-5, Ashadi Asral Rawang, Mahjus Ekananda

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia

Asian’s financial crisis in 1997/1998 is a crisis that caused by exchange rate change which is contagious from one to another country. By having an active regional financial cooperation, this crisis can be prevented better. In the context of regional coordination, it is important to know the impact of exchange rate on inflation, whether it has a homogenous or heterogenous impact across ASEAN countries. By forming data panel of ASEAN-5, using broadmoney, trade openness and trading partner inflation rate as control variable with FGLS Estimator, it is known that the impact of exchange rate on Inflation in ASEAN-5 is heterogeneous.

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Contagion Effect Krisis Argentina Dan Turki Ke Negara-Negara Asia, Benarkah Terjadi?, Adi Setiawan, Fitri Kartiasih Jan 2021

Contagion Effect Krisis Argentina Dan Turki Ke Negara-Negara Asia, Benarkah Terjadi?, Adi Setiawan, Fitri Kartiasih

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia

This study aims to examine the contagion effect of the Argentinian and Turkish crises to Asian countries using the DCC-MGARCH model. The data used is the daily closing price index of the stock index obtained from Thomson Reuters DataStream covering form the period of January 2, 2014 to May 17, 2019. The results showed that the contagion effect of the Argentinian crisis occurred in Malaysia, Korea, Thailand and the Philippines, while Indonesia, Singapore, India and China are only interdependence. The pure contagion test results also show that the contagion effect of the Turkish crisis occurred in Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, …

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Pola Perdagangan Global Pada Perusahaan-Perusahaan Berteknologi Tinggi, Dyah Wulan Sari, Wenny Restikasari Jan 2021

Pola Perdagangan Global Pada Perusahaan-Perusahaan Berteknologi Tinggi, Dyah Wulan Sari, Wenny Restikasari

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia

This study deals with firm level data of Indonesian high-tech manufacturing industries to determine firm’s production, especially among global trade variables, such as export intensity, vertical trade integration, and two-way trade. This study employs a generalized method of moments (GMM) approach to examine the most important factors of a global trade phenomenon. In the full-sample, the result demonstrates that vertical trade integration and two-way trade are significant determinants on firm’s production while export intensity is not. In ordinary trader sub-sample, export intensity is a significant determinant of firm’s production, whereas in vertical trader sub-sample export intensity is not.

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Keterkaitan Spasial Di Enam Negara Asia: Analisis Input-Output Dunia, M. Muchdie, M. Handry Imansyah, Socia Prihawantoro Jan 2020

Keterkaitan Spasial Di Enam Negara Asia: Analisis Input-Output Dunia, M. Muchdie, M. Handry Imansyah, Socia Prihawantoro

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia

This paper presents spatial linkages on calculations of spill-over and feed-back effects of World input-output tables, which is aggregated specifically into six-Asian countries includes China, Indonesia, India, Japan, Korea, and Taiwan, plus Australia, United States, and the Rest of the World. The results showed that, firstly output multipliers in six Asian countries tend to increase during 2000–2014, indicating a consistent economic growth. Secondly, except China, output multipliers occurred in other countries tend to increase. Thirdly, in 2000, the United States and Japan were two countries receiving highest output spill-over. However, in year 2014, most of output spill-over moved to China. …

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Pengaruh Kebijakan Penurunan Jalur Merah Terhadap Penerimaan Negara, Nurhidayati Nurhidayati, Pramudita Cahyani Jan 2020

Pengaruh Kebijakan Penurunan Jalur Merah Terhadap Penerimaan Negara, Nurhidayati Nurhidayati, Pramudita Cahyani

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia

The decrease of customs clearance time is a form of reform and modernization of customs, through the policy of red line reduction. With a short customs clearance time, the velocity of goods in ports and airports become faster so as to support the smooth flow of national logistics. Smooth flow of goods will support the trade, which ultimately government revenue from import duties will be affected. This study aims to find the effect of the policy on the government revenue. The study used the data of 35 periods before and after the red line reduction policy was taken. The result …

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Trade Creation Dan Trade Diversion Indonesia Dengan Aanzfta Pada Komoditas Garam, Dwi Tjahya Nugraha, Tony Irawan, Dedi Budiman Hakim Jan 2020

Trade Creation Dan Trade Diversion Indonesia Dengan Aanzfta Pada Komoditas Garam, Dwi Tjahya Nugraha, Tony Irawan, Dedi Budiman Hakim

Jurnal Ekonomi dan Pembangunan Indonesia

ASEAN-Australia-New Zealand Free Trade Area (AANZFTA) is a free trade area formed in 2009. One of its implementations is the reduction of import duties on salt commodities in 2011. Its implementations has an impact on trade creation (TC) members and trade diversion (TD) on salt commodities product. The objective of this study is to analyze the occurrence TC and TD on salt commodity. Import demand elasticity and substitution elasticity approach for TC and TD estimation models was developed by the World Bank. The result is no all AANZFTA’s members get profit in the form of TC but just TD with …

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