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Social and Behavioral Sciences Commons

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Emergency and Disaster Management

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Old Dominion University

Computational Modeling & Simulation Engineering Faculty Publications

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Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences

Modeling And Simulation Of Cascading Failures In Transportation Systems During Hurricane Evacuations, Yuan Zhu, Kaan Ozbay, Hong Yang, Fan Zuo, Di Sha Jan 2021

Modeling And Simulation Of Cascading Failures In Transportation Systems During Hurricane Evacuations, Yuan Zhu, Kaan Ozbay, Hong Yang, Fan Zuo, Di Sha

Computational Modeling & Simulation Engineering Faculty Publications

Effective and timely evacuation is critical in alleviating the impact of hurricanes. As such, evacuation models are often sought to support the preparedness of evacuations. One important task in the modeling process is to evaluate exogenous factors that cause transportation system capacity loss during evacuation. Typical factors include direct damage to the roadway network due to storm surge and cascading impacts because of other facilities failures. For example, power outage can lead to signal failure and subway suspension. This paper aims to develop a macroscopic simulation-based approach to study the capacity loss of the roadway network in evacuation due to …


Data-Driven Spatial Modeling For Quantifying Networkwide Resilience In The Aftermath Of Hurricanes Irene And Sandy, Yuan Zhu, Kun Xie, Kaan Ozbay, Fan Zuo, Hong Yang Jan 2017

Data-Driven Spatial Modeling For Quantifying Networkwide Resilience In The Aftermath Of Hurricanes Irene And Sandy, Yuan Zhu, Kun Xie, Kaan Ozbay, Fan Zuo, Hong Yang

Computational Modeling & Simulation Engineering Faculty Publications

In recent years, the New York City metropolitan area was hit by two major hurricanes, Irene and Sandy. These extreme weather events disrupted and devastated the transportation infrastructure, including road and subway networks. As an extension of the authors' recent research on this topic, this study explored the spatial patterns of infrastructure resilience in New York City with the use of taxi and subway ridership data. Neighborhood tabulation areas were used as the units of analysis. The recovery curve of each neighborhood tabulation area was modeled with the logistic function to quantify the resilience of road and subway systems. Moran's …