Social and Behavioral Sciences Commons^™

Sharing Financial Risk Through Flexible Farm Lease Agreements, William M. Edwards, Chad E. Hart

William Edwards

A simulation model representing a north central U.S. corn and soybean farm was used to estimate the degree of financial risk borne by the tenant and the landlord under 10 different types of flexible cash leases. Probability distributions for yields, prices and production costs were incorporated. Measures of risk included standard deviation of profits, probability of loss, and 10th percentile value at risk. A profit sharing lease that included rent adjustments for all three variables shifted the most risk from the tenant to the landowner, and reduced the tenant's probability of incurring an economic loss from 51 percent to 37 …

Sharing Financial Risk Through Flexible Farm Lease Agreements, William M. Edwards, Chad E. Hart

William Edwards

A simulation model representing a north central U.S. corn and soybean farm was used to estimate the degree of financial risk borne by the tenant and the landlord under 10 different types of flexible cash leases. Probability distributions for yields, prices and production costs were incorporated. Measures of risk included standard deviation of profits, probability of loss, and 10th percentile value at risk. A profit sharing lease that included rent adjustments for all three variables shifted the most risk from the tenant to the landowner, and reduced the tenant's probability of incurring an economic loss from 51 percent to 37 …

Iowa Farmers' Decisions To Enroll In The Average Crop Revenue Election (Acre) Program, William M. Edwards

William Edwards

In 2009 Iowa farmers who had at least some land enrolled in the existing DCP program offered by FSA were given the opportunity to switch to an alternative called ACRE. Despite having access to information about the program and utilizing electronic decision aids, only 27.5% of the operators surveyed enrolled at least one farm in ACRE. Those who did enroll cited a desire for more risk protection and a belief that payments from ACRE would exceed the value of the direct payments they had to give up. The primary reasons operators gave for not enrolling were the program was too …

Sharing Financial Risk Through Flexible Farm Lease Agreements, William M. Edwards, Chad E. Hart

William Edwards

A simulation model representing a north central U.S. corn and soybean farm was used to estimate the degree of financial risk borne by the tenant and the landlord under 10 different types of flexible cash leases. Probability distributions for yields, prices and production costs were incorporated. Measures of risk included standard deviation of profits, probability of loss, and 10th percentile value at risk. A profit sharing lease that included rent adjustments for all three variables shifted the most risk from the tenant to the landowner, and reduced the tenant's probability of incurring an economic loss from 51 percent to 37 …

Iowa Farmers' Decisions To Enroll In The Average Crop Revenue Election (Acre) Program, William M. Edwards

William Edwards

In 2009 Iowa farmers who had at least some land enrolled in the existing DCP program offered by FSA were given the opportunity to switch to an alternative called ACRE. Despite having access to information about the program and utilizing electronic decision aids, only 27.5% of the operators surveyed enrolled at least one farm in ACRE. Those who did enroll cited a desire for more risk protection and a belief that payments from ACRE would exceed the value of the direct payments they had to give up. The primary reasons operators gave for not enrolling were the program was too …

Sharing Financial Risk Through Flexible Farm Lease Agreements, William M. Edwards, Chad E. Hart

William Edwards

A simulation model representing a north central U.S. corn and soybean farm was used to estimate the degree of financial risk borne by the tenant and the landlord under 10 different types of flexible cash leases. Probability distributions for yields, prices and production costs were incorporated. Measures of risk included standard deviation of profits, probability of loss, and 10th percentile value at risk. A profit sharing lease that included rent adjustments for all three variables shifted the most risk from the tenant to the landowner, and reduced the tenant's probability of incurring an economic loss from 51 percent to 37 …

Iowa Farmers' Decisions To Enroll In The Average Crop Revenue Election (Acre) Program, William M. Edwards

William Edwards

In 2009 Iowa farmers who had at least some land enrolled in the existing DCP program offered by FSA were given the opportunity to switch to an alternative called ACRE. Despite having access to information about the program and utilizing electronic decision aids, only 27.5% of the operators surveyed enrolled at least one farm in ACRE. Those who did enroll cited a desire for more risk protection and a belief that payments from ACRE would exceed the value of the direct payments they had to give up. The primary reasons operators gave for not enrolling were the program was too …

Sharing Financial Risk Through Flexible Farm Lease Agreements, William M. Edwards, Chad E. Hart

William Edwards

A simulation model representing a north central U.S. corn and soybean farm was used to estimate the degree of financial risk borne by the tenant and the landlord under 10 different types of flexible cash leases. Probability distributions for yields, prices and production costs were incorporated. Measures of risk included standard deviation of profits, probability of loss, and 10th percentile value at risk. A profit sharing lease that included rent adjustments for all three variables shifted the most risk from the tenant to the landowner, and reduced the tenant's probability of incurring an economic loss from 51 percent to 37 …

Iowa Farmers' Decisions To Enroll In The Average Crop Revenue Election (Acre) Program, William M. Edwards

William Edwards

In 2009 Iowa farmers who had at least some land enrolled in the existing DCP program offered by FSA were given the opportunity to switch to an alternative called ACRE. Despite having access to information about the program and utilizing electronic decision aids, only 27.5% of the operators surveyed enrolled at least one farm in ACRE. Those who did enroll cited a desire for more risk protection and a belief that payments from ACRE would exceed the value of the direct payments they had to give up. The primary reasons operators gave for not enrolling were the program was too …

Essays On Growth And Development: An International Economics Perspective, Uchechukwu Augustine Jarrett

Theses and Dissertations

ABSTRACT

ESSAYS ON GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT: AN INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS PERSPECTIVE

by

Uchechukwu A. Jarrett

The University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee, 2016

Under the Supervision of Professor Hamid Mohtadi

The title of this dissertation captures the intent of this study. It centers on aspects of international trade and finance and their impact on growth and development. The effect of openness on the financial crisis of 2008 which wreaked havoc worldwide on financial and non-financial systems alike is examined. It is observed that the role of both financial and trade openness is not constant throughout the crisis as was once thought. In addition, and …

Cost Of Debt And Federal Home Loan Bank Funding At U.S. Bank And Thrift Holding Companies, Scott Deacle, Elyas Elyasiani

Business and Economics Faculty Publications

We investigate the relationship between the cost of debt issued by bank holding companies (BHCs) and thrift holding companies (THCs) and their use of Federal Home Loan Bank (FHLB) advances. Cost of debt is used as a measure of bank riskiness for the first time in a FHLB study. A two-equation model of FHLB advances and cost of debt is estimated. Three main results are obtained. First, greater reliance on advances by BHCs and THCs is associated with lower cost of debt in the pre-crisis period, and more strongly so during the crisis, because granting of advances sends a positive …

Human Survival, Risk, And Law: Considering Risk Filters To Replace Cost-Benefit Analysis, John William Draper

Librarian Scholarship at Penn Law

Selfish utilitarianism, neo-classical economics, the directive of short-term income maximization, and the decision tool of cost-benefit analysis fail to protect our species from the significant risks of too much consumption, pollution, or population. For a longer-term survival, humanity needs to employ more than cost-justified precaution.

This article argues that, at the global level, and by extension at all levels of government, we need to replace neo-classical economics with filters for safety and feasibility to regulate against significant risk. For significant risks, especially those that are irreversible, we need decision tools that will protect humanity at all scales. This article describes …

How Do People Update Beliefs About Themselves Under Risk, Zhongyi Tang

Senior Theses and Projects

This paper aims to understand whether people follow Bayes’ Rule to update beliefs about important attributes they do not know much about. If they fail to Bayesian update their beliefs, the paper investigates how the external environment, good news versus bad news, risk levels, and the imperfect memory factor contribute to the departure from Bayes Rule. An experimental approach is used to recreate a simplified entrepreneurship scenario in the laboratory environment which was implemented through oTree. 249 participants were recruited through Amazon’s Mechanical Turk. Findings in this paper suggest that people with Low ability have tendency toward overconfidence which persists …

Ellsberg Paradox: Ambiguity And Complexity Aversions Compared, J. Kovářík, D. Levin, Tao Wang

Economics Faculty Works

We present a simple model where preferences with complexity aversion, rather than ambiguity aversion, resolve the Ellsberg paradox. We test our theory using laboratory experiments where subjects choose among lotteries that “range” from a simple risky lottery, through risky but more complex lotteries, to one similar to Ellsberg’s ambiguity urn. Our model ranks lotteries according to their complexity and makes different—at times contrasting—predictions than most models of ambiguity in response to manipulations of prizes. The results support that complexity aversion preferences play an important and separate role from beliefs with ambiguity aversion in explaining behavior under uncertainty.

What Is The Impact Of Interest Rate Levels On Banks’ Openness To Risk?, Nathalie Schmidt

Dissertations and Theses

This research paper deals with the impact of interest rate levels on banks’ openness to risk. There are several interest rates in the economy, which have different impacts of banks profit situations. This makes it necessary for banks to come up with the right strategy to ensure financial profitability. This research paper intends to find out the correlation between interest rate levels and risk behavior. An all-time low interest rate level characterizes the current situation in the economy. This situation deals as the focus of this research project. It makes business for financial institutions much harder compared to high interest …

Managing Risks Of Market Price Uncertainty For A Microgrid Operation, Sriram Raghavan

Masters Theses

"After deregulation of electricity in the United States, the day-ahead and real-time markets allow load serving entities and generation companies to bid and purchase/sell energy under the supervision of the independent system operator (ISO). The electricity market prices are inherently uncertain, and can be highly volatile. The main objective of this thesis is to hedge against the risk from the uncertainty of the market prices when purchasing/selling energy from/to the market. The energy manager can also schedule distributed generators (DGs) and storage of the microgrid to meet the demand, in addition to energy transactions from the market. The risk measure …

The Great Chain Of Being: Manifesto On The Problem Of Agency In Science Communication, Carolyn R. Miller, Lynda Walsh, James Wynn, Ashley Rose Kelly, Kenneth C. Walker, William J. White, Emily Winderman, Bonnie Tucker

School of Economics and Business Administration Faculty Works

This manifesto presents positions arrived at after a day-long symposium on agency in science communication at the National Communication Association Annual Meeting in Las Vegas, NV, November 18, 2015. During morning sessions, participants in the Association for the Rhetoric of Science, Technology, and Medicine preconference presented individual research on agency in response to a call to articulate key problems that must be solved in the next five years to better understand and support rhetorical agency in massively automated and mediated science communication situations in a world-risk context. In the afternoon, participants convened in discussion groups around four topoi that emerged …