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Social and Behavioral Sciences Commons

Open Access. Powered by Scholars. Published by Universities.®

Economics

2001

Edith Cowan University

Sims-bernanke variance decomposition

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Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences

Do Uk Stock Prices Deviate From Fundementals?, David E. Allen, Y Wenling Jan 2001

Do Uk Stock Prices Deviate From Fundementals?, David E. Allen, Y Wenling

Research outputs pre 2011

This article examines the deviation of the UK market index from market fundamentals implied by the simple dividend discount model and identifies other components that also affect price movements. The components are classified as permanent, temporary, excess stock returns and non-fundamental innovations in terms of a multivariate moving average model [Lee 1998]. We find that time varying discounted rates play an active role in explaining price deviations.