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Social and Behavioral Sciences Commons™
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Articles 1 - 3 of 3
Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences
Natural Disasters’ Effect On Tourism Employment, Caterina Messina
Natural Disasters’ Effect On Tourism Employment, Caterina Messina
Honors College Theses
Not only do natural disasters cause immediate physical damage to an area, but they often have long-lasting social and economic effects as well. Tourism is a sector of the economy that is relatively fragile and relies heavily on a stable economy. This paper attempts to capture the effect of natural disasters on the tourism industry, specifically tourism employment. This research uses panel data and focuses specifically on 7 metropolitan statistical areas in the United States between 2002-2018. Data collected from the BEA as well as SHELDUS is used in order to quantify this effect. A fixed effects model with a …
Essays On Socioeconomic Shocks And Policies In Agriculture, Wilman Iglesias
Essays On Socioeconomic Shocks And Policies In Agriculture, Wilman Iglesias
Department of Agricultural Economics: Dissertations, Theses, and Student Research
The three chapters of this doctoral dissertation estimate the responses of agricultural productivity, production value of agriculture, and crop supply to some external shocks and policies. Using unique panel datasets for Colombia and the United States, this research provides new insights regarding the responsiveness of agriculture to some socioeconomic effects and related market policies. Chapter 1 studies the impact of armed conflicts in rural areas on legal agricultural productivity in Colombia by using a production function that includes violence shocks such as the forced intra-national displacement of the rural population from 1995 to 2017. Chapter 2 investigates the effect of …
The Predictive Ability Of Stock Market Factors, Fatma Ahmed, Mohammed Elgammal Elgammal, David Gordon Mcmillan
The Predictive Ability Of Stock Market Factors, Fatma Ahmed, Mohammed Elgammal Elgammal, David Gordon Mcmillan
Economics
Purpose – This paper aims to ask whether a range of stock market factors contain information that is useful to investors by generating a trading rule based on one-step-ahead forecasts from rolling and recursive regressions. Design/methodology/approach – Using USA data across 3,256 firms, the authors estimate stock returns on a range of factors using both fixed-effects panel and individual regressions. The authors use rolling and recursive approaches to generate time-varying coefficients. Subsequently, the authors generate one-step-ahead forecasts for expected returns, simulate a trading strategy and compare its performance with realised returns. Findings – Results from the panel and individual firm …