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Full-Text Articles in Social and Behavioral Sciences

Modeling And Forecasting Currency In Circulation For Liquidity Management In Nigeria, Alvan Ikoku Jun 2014

Modeling And Forecasting Currency In Circulation For Liquidity Management In Nigeria, Alvan Ikoku

CBN Journal of Applied Statistics (JAS)

This paper presents forecasts of currency in circulation prepared for liquidity management at the Central Bank of Nigeria. Forecasts were produced using ARIMA, ARIMA with structural variables, VAR and VEC models. The performance of the forecasts was then evaluated under a rolling forecast scenario, where the estimation sample is augmented by one observation and the forecast sample is brought forward. The evaluation of the forecasts was based on average performance over a number of rolling forecasts. We found that the most accurate models were mixed models with structural as well as ARIMA components, augmented by seasonal and dummy variables. We …


Statistics (December 1990), Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn Dec 1990

Statistics (December 1990), Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn

Economic and Financial Review

This is a statistical representation of economic activities in Nigeria in December 1990


Statistics (June 1989), Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn Jun 1989

Statistics (June 1989), Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn

Economic and Financial Review

This a statistical representation of the economic activities in Nigeria in June 1989


Statistics (June 1987), Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn Jun 1987

Statistics (June 1987), Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn

Economic and Financial Review

This is a statistical representation of economic activities in Nigeria in June 1987


Statistics (March 1987), Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn Mar 1987

Statistics (March 1987), Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn

Economic and Financial Review

This is a statistical representation of economic activities in Nigeria in March, 1987


Statistical Section (June 1986), Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn Jun 1986

Statistical Section (June 1986), Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn

Economic and Financial Review

This is a statistical representation of economic activities in Nigeria in June 1986


Statistical Section (June 1982), Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn Jun 1982

Statistical Section (June 1982), Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn

Economic and Financial Review

This is a statistical representation of the economic activities in Nigeria in June 1982


Statistical Section (June 1980), Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn Jun 1980

Statistical Section (June 1980), Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn

Economic and Financial Review

This is a statistical representation of the economic activities in Nigeria in June 1980


Statistical Section (June 1978), Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn Jun 1978

Statistical Section (June 1978), Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn

Economic and Financial Review

This is the statistical representation of the economic activities in Nigeria in June 1978


Statistical Section (June 1976), Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn Jun 1976

Statistical Section (June 1976), Central Bank Of Nigeria Cbn

Economic and Financial Review

This is a statistical representation of economic activities in Nigeria in June 1976