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Full-Text Articles in Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Loss-Based Estimation With Cross-Validation: Applications To Microarray Data Analysis And Motif Finding, Sandrine Dudoit, Mark J. Van Der Laan, Sunduz Keles, Annette M. Molinaro, Sandra E. Sinisi, Siew Leng Teng
Loss-Based Estimation With Cross-Validation: Applications To Microarray Data Analysis And Motif Finding, Sandrine Dudoit, Mark J. Van Der Laan, Sunduz Keles, Annette M. Molinaro, Sandra E. Sinisi, Siew Leng Teng
U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series
Current statistical inference problems in genomic data analysis involve parameter estimation for high-dimensional multivariate distributions, with typically unknown and intricate correlation patterns among variables. Addressing these inference questions satisfactorily requires: (i) an intensive and thorough search of the parameter space to generate good candidate estimators, (ii) an approach for selecting an optimal estimator among these candidates, and (iii) a method for reliably assessing the performance of the resulting estimator. We propose a unified loss-based methodology for estimator construction, selection, and performance assessment with cross-validation. In this approach, the parameter of interest is defined as the risk minimizer for a suitable …
Asymptotically Optimal Model Selection Method With Right Censored Outcomes, Sunduz Keles, Mark J. Van Der Laan, Sandrine Dudoit
Asymptotically Optimal Model Selection Method With Right Censored Outcomes, Sunduz Keles, Mark J. Van Der Laan, Sandrine Dudoit
U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series
Over the last two decades, non-parametric and semi-parametric approaches that adapt well known techniques such as regression methods to the analysis of right censored data, e.g. right censored survival data, became popular in the statistics literature. However, the problem of choosing the best model (predictor) among a set of proposed models (predictors) in the right censored data setting have not gained much attention. In this paper, we develop a new cross-validation based model selection method to select among predictors of right censored outcomes such as survival times. The proposed method considers the risk of a given predictor based on the …
Tree-Based Multivariate Regression And Density Estimation With Right-Censored Data , Annette M. Molinaro, Sandrine Dudoit, Mark J. Van Der Laan
Tree-Based Multivariate Regression And Density Estimation With Right-Censored Data , Annette M. Molinaro, Sandrine Dudoit, Mark J. Van Der Laan
U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series
We propose a unified strategy for estimator construction, selection, and performance assessment in the presence of censoring. This approach is entirely driven by the choice of a loss function for the full (uncensored) data structure and can be stated in terms of the following three main steps. (1) Define the parameter of interest as the minimizer of the expected loss, or risk, for a full data loss function chosen to represent the desired measure of performance. Map the full data loss function into an observed (censored) data loss function having the same expected value and leading to an efficient estimator …
Asymptotics Of Cross-Validated Risk Estimation In Estimator Selection And Performance Assessment, Sandrine Dudoit, Mark J. Van Der Laan
Asymptotics Of Cross-Validated Risk Estimation In Estimator Selection And Performance Assessment, Sandrine Dudoit, Mark J. Van Der Laan
U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series
Risk estimation is an important statistical question for the purposes of selecting a good estimator (i.e., model selection) and assessing its performance (i.e., estimating generalization error). This article introduces a general framework for cross-validation and derives distributional properties of cross-validated risk estimators in the context of estimator selection and performance assessment. Arbitrary classes of estimators are considered, including density estimators and predictors for both continuous and polychotomous outcomes. Results are provided for general full data loss functions (e.g., absolute and squared error, indicator, negative log density). A broad definition of cross-validation is used in order to cover leave-one-out cross-validation, V-fold …