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Session 8: Machine Learning Based Behavior Of Non-Opec Global Supply In Crude Oil Price Determinism, Mofe Jeje
Session 8: Machine Learning Based Behavior Of Non-Opec Global Supply In Crude Oil Price Determinism, Mofe Jeje
SDSU Data Science Symposium
Abstract
While studies on global oil price variability, occasioned by OPEC crude oil supply, is well documented in energy literature; the impact assessment of non-OPEC global oil supply on price variability, on the other hand, has not received commensurate attention. Given this gap, the primary objective of this study, therefore, is to estimate the magnitude of oil price determinism that is explained by the share of non-OPEC’s global crude oil supply. Using secondary sources of data collection method, data for target variable will be collected from the US Federal Reserve, as it relates to annual crude oil price variability, while …
Predicting Crop Yield Using Remote Sensing Data, Mary Row, Jung-Han Kimn, Hossein Moradi
Predicting Crop Yield Using Remote Sensing Data, Mary Row, Jung-Han Kimn, Hossein Moradi
SDSU Data Science Symposium
Accurate crop yield predictions can help farmers make adjustments or changes in their farming practices to optimize their harvest. Remote sensing data is an inexpensive approach to collecting massive amounts of data that could be utilized for predicting crop yield. This study employed linear regression and spatial linear models were used to predict soybean yield with data from Landsat 8 OLI. Each model was built using only spectral bands of the satellite, only vegetation indices, and both spectral bands and vegetation indices. All analysis was based on data collected from two fields in South Dakota from the 2019 and 2021 …
Principal Component Analysis With Application To Credit Card Data, Eleanor Cain, Semhar Michael, Gary Hatfield
Principal Component Analysis With Application To Credit Card Data, Eleanor Cain, Semhar Michael, Gary Hatfield
SDSU Data Science Symposium
Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is a type of dimension reduction technique used in data analysis to process the data before making a model. In general, dimension reduction allows analysts to make conclusions about large data sets by reducing the number of variables while retaining as much information as possible. Using the numerical variables from a data set, PCA aims to compute a smaller set of uncorrelated variables, called principal components, that account for a majority of the variability from the data. The purpose of this poster is to understand PCA as well as perform PCA on a large sample credit …
Session 6: Model-Based Clustering Analysis On The Spatial-Temporal And Intensity Patterns Of Tornadoes, Yana Melnykov, Yingying Zhang, Rong Zheng
Session 6: Model-Based Clustering Analysis On The Spatial-Temporal And Intensity Patterns Of Tornadoes, Yana Melnykov, Yingying Zhang, Rong Zheng
SDSU Data Science Symposium
Tornadoes are one of the nature’s most violent windstorms that can occur all over the world except Antarctica. Previous scientific efforts were spent on studying this nature hazard from facets such as: genesis, dynamics, detection, forecasting, warning, measuring, and assessing. While we want to model the tornado datasets by using modern sophisticated statistical and computational techniques. The goal of the paper is developing novel finite mixture models and performing clustering analysis on the spatial-temporal and intensity patterns of the tornadoes. To analyze the tornado dataset, we firstly try a Gaussian distribution with the mean vector and variance-covariance matrix represented as …
Session 6: The Size-Biased Lognormal Mixture With The Entropy Regularized Algorithm, Tatjana Miljkovic, Taehan Bae
Session 6: The Size-Biased Lognormal Mixture With The Entropy Regularized Algorithm, Tatjana Miljkovic, Taehan Bae
SDSU Data Science Symposium
A size-biased left-truncated Lognormal (SB-ltLN) mixture is proposed as a robust alternative to the Erlang mixture for modeling left-truncated insurance losses with a heavy tail. The weak denseness property of the weighted Lognormal mixture is studied along with the tail behavior. Explicit analytical solutions are derived for moments and Tail Value at Risk based on the proposed model. An extension of the regularized expectation–maximization (REM) algorithm with Shannon's entropy weights (ewREM) is introduced for parameter estimation and variability assessment. The left-truncated internal fraud data set from the Operational Riskdata eXchange is used to illustrate applications of the proposed model. Finally, …