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HMC Senior Theses

Modeling

Articles 1 - 4 of 4

Full-Text Articles in Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Dynamics And Clustering In Locust Hopper Bands, Jialun Zhang Jan 2017

Dynamics And Clustering In Locust Hopper Bands, Jialun Zhang

HMC Senior Theses

In recent years, technological advances in animal tracking have renewed interests in collective animal behavior, and in particular, locust swarms. These swarms pose a major threat to agriculture in northern Africa, the Middle East, and other regions. In their early life stages, locusts move in hopper bands, which are huge aggregations traveling on the ground. Our main goal is to understand the underlying mechanisms for the emergence and organization of these bands. We construct an agent-based model that tracks individual locusts and a continuum model that tracks the evolution of locust density. Both these models are motivated by experimental observations …


A Nonlinear Ode Model Of Tumor Growth And Effect Of Immunotherapy And Chemotherapy Treatment In Colorectal Cancer, Hannah P. Savage May 2010

A Nonlinear Ode Model Of Tumor Growth And Effect Of Immunotherapy And Chemotherapy Treatment In Colorectal Cancer, Hannah P. Savage

HMC Senior Theses

Colorectal cancer will kill approximately 50,000 people in the United States this year. Current treatment options, including surgery, chemotherapy, and radiation, are often able to force the cancer into remission, but better treatments are needed to help those who don't respond to current treatments. A new and promising treatment option, monoclonal-antibody therapy, has the potential to help reduce the deaths caused by colorectal cancer, but most monoclonal-antibody drugs are currently still in trial phases, and the variations in the dosing schedule of those currently approved for use have not been heavily explored. We have modified a nonlinear ODE tumor/treatment model …


Optimizing Restaurant Reservation Scheduling, Jacob Feldman May 2010

Optimizing Restaurant Reservation Scheduling, Jacob Feldman

HMC Senior Theses

We consider a yield-management approach to determine whether a restaurant should accept or reject a pending reservation request. This approach was examined by Bossert (2009), where the decision for each request is evaluated by an approximate dynamic program (ADP) that bases its decision on a realization of future demand. This model only considers assigning requests to their desired time slot. We expand Bossert's ADP model to incorporate an element of flexibility that allows requests to be assigned to a time slot that differs from the customer's initially requested time. To estimate the future seat utilization given a particular decision, a …


A Multistage Incidence Estimation Model For Diseases With Differential Mortality, Alyssa W. Dray May 2010

A Multistage Incidence Estimation Model For Diseases With Differential Mortality, Alyssa W. Dray

HMC Senior Theses

According to theWorld Health Organization, surgically removable cataract remains the leading cause of blindness worldwide. In sub-Saharan Africa, cataract surgical rate targets should ideally be set based on cataract incidence (the number of new cataracts developed each year). Unfortunately, the longitudinal studies necessary to measure incidence have not yet been feasible in these areas. Our research instead proposes a method for estimating incidence based on available cataract prevalence data. We extend a method proposed by Podgor and Leske (1986) to estimate age-specific incidence from age-specific prevalence in single diseases with differential mortality. A two-stage disease extension is created in order …