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Statistical Methodology

Bayesian Model Averaging and Semiparametric Regression

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Articles 1 - 4 of 4

Full-Text Articles in Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Forecasting Television Ratings, Peter Danaher, Tracey Dagger, Michael Smith Dec 2010

Forecasting Television Ratings, Peter Danaher, Tracey Dagger, Michael Smith

Michael Stanley Smith

Despite the state of flux in media today, television remains the dominant player globally for advertising spend. Since television advertising time is purchased on the basis of projected future ratings, and ad costs have skyrocketed, there is increasing pressure to forecast television ratings accurately. Previous forecasting methods are not generally very reliable and many have not been validated, but more distressingly, none have been tested in today’s multichannel environment. In this study we compare 8 different forecasting models, ranging from a naïve empirical method to a state-of-the-art Bayesian model-averaging method. Our data come from a recent time period, 2004-2008 in …


A Bayesian Approach To Bivariate Nonparametric Regression, Michael Smith, Robert Kohn Dec 1996

A Bayesian Approach To Bivariate Nonparametric Regression, Michael Smith, Robert Kohn

Michael Stanley Smith

No abstract provided.


Nonparametric Regression Using Bayesian Variable Selection, Michael Smith, Robert Kohn Dec 1995

Nonparametric Regression Using Bayesian Variable Selection, Michael Smith, Robert Kohn

Michael Stanley Smith

No abstract provided.


Finite Sample Performance Of Robust Bayesian Regression, Michael Smith, Sheather Simon, Kohn Robert Dec 1995

Finite Sample Performance Of Robust Bayesian Regression, Michael Smith, Sheather Simon, Kohn Robert

Michael Stanley Smith

No abstract provided.