Physical Sciences and Mathematics Commons^™

Survivor Bond Models For Securitizing Longevity Risk, Priscilla Mansah Codjoe

Doctoral Dissertations

"Longevity risk is the risk that a reference population’s mortality rates deviate from what is projected from prior life tables. This is due to discoveries in biological sciences, improved public health measures, and nutrition, which have dramatically increased life expectancy. Longevity risk raises life insurers’ liability, increasing product costs and reserves. Securitization through longevity derivatives is a way of dealing with this risk.

To enhance the pricing of life contingent products, we present an additive type mortality model in the style of the Lee-Carter. This model incorporates policyholder covariates. By using counting processes and martingale machinery, we obtain close form …

Semiparametric Estimation With Clustered Right Censored Data Via Multivariate Gaussian Random Fields, Fathima Zahra Sainul Abdeen

Doctoral Dissertations

Consider a fixed number of clustered areas identified by their geographical coordinate that are monitored for the occurrences of an event such as pandemic, epidemic, migration to name a few. Data collected on units at all areas include time varying covariates and other environmental factors that may affect event occurrences. The event times in every area can be independent. They can also be correlated with correlation between two units induced by an unobservable frailty. In both cases, the collected data is considered pairwise to account for spatial correlation between all pair of areas. The pairwise right censored data is probit-transformed …