Open Access. Powered by Scholars. Published by Universities.®
Physical Sciences and Mathematics Commons™
Open Access. Powered by Scholars. Published by Universities.®
Articles 1 - 13 of 13
Full-Text Articles in Physical Sciences and Mathematics
A Systematic Selection Method For The Development Of Cancer Staging Systems, Yunzhi Lin, Richard Chappell, Mithat Gonen
A Systematic Selection Method For The Development Of Cancer Staging Systems, Yunzhi Lin, Richard Chappell, Mithat Gonen
Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center, Dept. of Epidemiology & Biostatistics Working Paper Series
The tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging system has been the anchor of cancer diagnosis, treatment, and prognosis for many years. For meaningful clinical use, an orderly, progressive condensation of the T and N categories into an overall staging system needs to be defined, usually with respect to a time-to-event outcome. This can be considered as a cutpoint selection problem for a censored response partitioned with respect to two ordered categorical covariates and their interaction. The aim is to select the best grouping of the TN categories. A novel bootstrap cutpoint/model selection method is proposed for this task by maximizing bootstrap estimates of …
The False Discovery Rate: A Variable Selection Perspective, Debashis Ghosh, Wei Chen, Trivellore E. Raghuanthan
The False Discovery Rate: A Variable Selection Perspective, Debashis Ghosh, Wei Chen, Trivellore E. Raghuanthan
The University of Michigan Department of Biostatistics Working Paper Series
In many scientific and medical settings, large-scale experiments are generating large quantities of data that lead to inferential problems involving multiple hypotheses. This has led to recent tremendous interest in statistical methods regarding the false discovery rate (FDR). Several authors have studied the properties involving FDR in a univariate mixture model setting. In this article, we turn the problem on its side; in this manuscript, we show that FDR is a by-product of Bayesian analysis of variable selection problem for a hierarchical linear regression model. This equivalence gives many Bayesian insights as to why FDR is a natural quantity to …
Multiple Testing Methods For Chip-Chip High Density Oligonucleotide Array Data, Sunduz Keles, Mark J. Van Der Laan, Sandrine Dudoit, Simon E. Cawley
Multiple Testing Methods For Chip-Chip High Density Oligonucleotide Array Data, Sunduz Keles, Mark J. Van Der Laan, Sandrine Dudoit, Simon E. Cawley
U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series
Cawley et al. (2004) have recently mapped the locations of binding sites for three transcription factors along human chromosomes 21 and 22 using ChIP-Chip experiments. ChIP-Chip experiments are a new approach to the genome-wide identification of transcription factor binding sites and consist of chromatin (Ch) immunoprecipitation (IP) of transcription factor-bound genomic DNA followed by high density oligonucleotide hybridization (Chip) of the IP-enriched DNA. We investigate the ChIP-Chip data structure and propose methods for inferring the location of transcription factor binding sites from these data. The proposed methods involve testing for each probe whether it is part of a bound sequence …
Loss-Based Cross-Validated Deletion/Substitution/Addition Algorithms In Estimation, Sandra E. Sinisi, Mark J. Van Der Laan
Loss-Based Cross-Validated Deletion/Substitution/Addition Algorithms In Estimation, Sandra E. Sinisi, Mark J. Van Der Laan
U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series
In van der Laan and Dudoit (2003) we propose and theoretically study a unified loss function based statistical methodology, which provides a road map for estimation and performance assessment. Given a parameter of interest which can be described as the minimizer of the population mean of a loss function, the road map involves as important ingredients cross-validation for estimator selection and minimizing over subsets of basis functions the empirical risk of the subset-specific estimator of the parameter of interest, where the basis functions correspond to a parameterization of a specified subspace of the complete parameter space. In this article we …
The Cross-Validated Adaptive Epsilon-Net Estimator, Mark J. Van Der Laan, Sandrine Dudoit, Aad W. Van Der Vaart
The Cross-Validated Adaptive Epsilon-Net Estimator, Mark J. Van Der Laan, Sandrine Dudoit, Aad W. Van Der Vaart
U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series
Suppose that we observe a sample of independent and identically distributed realizations of a random variable. Assume that the parameter of interest can be defined as the minimizer, over a suitably defined parameter space, of the expectation (with respect to the distribution of the random variable) of a particular (loss) function of a candidate parameter value and the random variable. Examples of commonly used loss functions are the squared error loss function in regression and the negative log-density loss function in density estimation. Minimizing the empirical risk (i.e., the empirical mean of the loss function) over the entire parameter space …
Loss-Based Estimation With Cross-Validation: Applications To Microarray Data Analysis And Motif Finding, Sandrine Dudoit, Mark J. Van Der Laan, Sunduz Keles, Annette M. Molinaro, Sandra E. Sinisi, Siew Leng Teng
Loss-Based Estimation With Cross-Validation: Applications To Microarray Data Analysis And Motif Finding, Sandrine Dudoit, Mark J. Van Der Laan, Sunduz Keles, Annette M. Molinaro, Sandra E. Sinisi, Siew Leng Teng
U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series
Current statistical inference problems in genomic data analysis involve parameter estimation for high-dimensional multivariate distributions, with typically unknown and intricate correlation patterns among variables. Addressing these inference questions satisfactorily requires: (i) an intensive and thorough search of the parameter space to generate good candidate estimators, (ii) an approach for selecting an optimal estimator among these candidates, and (iii) a method for reliably assessing the performance of the resulting estimator. We propose a unified loss-based methodology for estimator construction, selection, and performance assessment with cross-validation. In this approach, the parameter of interest is defined as the risk minimizer for a suitable …
Unified Cross-Validation Methodology For Selection Among Estimators And A General Cross-Validated Adaptive Epsilon-Net Estimator: Finite Sample Oracle Inequalities And Examples, Mark J. Van Der Laan, Sandrine Dudoit
Unified Cross-Validation Methodology For Selection Among Estimators And A General Cross-Validated Adaptive Epsilon-Net Estimator: Finite Sample Oracle Inequalities And Examples, Mark J. Van Der Laan, Sandrine Dudoit
U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series
In Part I of this article we propose a general cross-validation criterian for selecting among a collection of estimators of a particular parameter of interest based on n i.i.d. observations. It is assumed that the parameter of interest minimizes the expectation (w.r.t. to the distribution of the observed data structure) of a particular loss function of a candidate parameter value and the observed data structure, possibly indexed by a nuisance parameter. The proposed cross-validation criterian is defined as the empirical mean over the validation sample of the loss function at the parameter estimate based on the training sample, averaged over …
Asymptotically Optimal Model Selection Method With Right Censored Outcomes, Sunduz Keles, Mark J. Van Der Laan, Sandrine Dudoit
Asymptotically Optimal Model Selection Method With Right Censored Outcomes, Sunduz Keles, Mark J. Van Der Laan, Sandrine Dudoit
U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series
Over the last two decades, non-parametric and semi-parametric approaches that adapt well known techniques such as regression methods to the analysis of right censored data, e.g. right censored survival data, became popular in the statistics literature. However, the problem of choosing the best model (predictor) among a set of proposed models (predictors) in the right censored data setting have not gained much attention. In this paper, we develop a new cross-validation based model selection method to select among predictors of right censored outcomes such as survival times. The proposed method considers the risk of a given predictor based on the …
Tree-Based Multivariate Regression And Density Estimation With Right-Censored Data , Annette M. Molinaro, Sandrine Dudoit, Mark J. Van Der Laan
Tree-Based Multivariate Regression And Density Estimation With Right-Censored Data , Annette M. Molinaro, Sandrine Dudoit, Mark J. Van Der Laan
U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series
We propose a unified strategy for estimator construction, selection, and performance assessment in the presence of censoring. This approach is entirely driven by the choice of a loss function for the full (uncensored) data structure and can be stated in terms of the following three main steps. (1) Define the parameter of interest as the minimizer of the expected loss, or risk, for a full data loss function chosen to represent the desired measure of performance. Map the full data loss function into an observed (censored) data loss function having the same expected value and leading to an efficient estimator …
A Semiparametric Model Selection Criterion With Applications To The Marginal Structural Model, M. Alan Brookhart, Mark J. Van Der Laan
A Semiparametric Model Selection Criterion With Applications To The Marginal Structural Model, M. Alan Brookhart, Mark J. Van Der Laan
U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series
Estimators for the parameter of interest in semiparametric models often depend on a guessed model for the nuisance parameter. The choice of the model for the nuisance parameter can affect both the finite sample bias and efficiency of the resulting estimator of the parameter of interest. In this paper we propose a finite sample criterion based on cross validation that can be used to select a nuisance parameter model from a list of candidate models. We show that expected value of this criterion is minimized by the nuisance parameter model that yields the estimator of the parameter of interest with …
Asymptotic Optimality Of Likelihood Based Cross-Validation, Mark J. Van Der Laan, Sandrine Dudoit, Sunduz Keles
Asymptotic Optimality Of Likelihood Based Cross-Validation, Mark J. Van Der Laan, Sandrine Dudoit, Sunduz Keles
U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series
Likelihood-based cross-validation is a statistical tool for selecting a density estimate based on n i.i.d. observations from the true density among a collection of candidate density estimators. General examples are the selection of a model indexing a maximum likelihood estimator, and the selection of a bandwidth indexing a nonparametric (e.g. kernel) density estimator. In this article, we establish asymptotic optimality of a general class of likelihood based cross-validation procedures (as indexed by the type of sample splitting used, e.g. V-fold cross-validation), in the sense that the cross-validation selector performs asymptotically as well (w.r.t. to the Kullback-Leibler distance to the true …
Asymptotics Of Cross-Validated Risk Estimation In Estimator Selection And Performance Assessment, Sandrine Dudoit, Mark J. Van Der Laan
Asymptotics Of Cross-Validated Risk Estimation In Estimator Selection And Performance Assessment, Sandrine Dudoit, Mark J. Van Der Laan
U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series
Risk estimation is an important statistical question for the purposes of selecting a good estimator (i.e., model selection) and assessing its performance (i.e., estimating generalization error). This article introduces a general framework for cross-validation and derives distributional properties of cross-validated risk estimators in the context of estimator selection and performance assessment. Arbitrary classes of estimators are considered, including density estimators and predictors for both continuous and polychotomous outcomes. Results are provided for general full data loss functions (e.g., absolute and squared error, indicator, negative log density). A broad definition of cross-validation is used in order to cover leave-one-out cross-validation, V-fold …
Identification Of Regulatory Elements Using A Feature Selection Method, Sunduz Keles, Mark J. Van Der Laan, Michael B. Eisen
Identification Of Regulatory Elements Using A Feature Selection Method, Sunduz Keles, Mark J. Van Der Laan, Michael B. Eisen
U.C. Berkeley Division of Biostatistics Working Paper Series
Many methods have been described to identify regulatory motifs in the transcription control regions of genes that exhibit similar patterns of gene expression across a variety of experimental conditions. Here we focus on a single experimental condition, and utilize gene expression data to identify sequence motifs associated with genes that are activated under this experimental condition. We use a linear model with two way interactions to model gene expression as a function of sequence features (words) present in presumptive transcription control regions. The most relevant features are selected by a feature selection method called stepwise selection with monte carlo cross …