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Physical Sciences and Mathematics Commons

Open Access. Powered by Scholars. Published by Universities.®

Statistics and Probability

Air Force Institute of Technology

2008

Acquisition

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Full-Text Articles in Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Predicting Cost And Schedule Growth For Military And Civil Space Systems, Christina F. Rusnock Mar 2008

Predicting Cost And Schedule Growth For Military And Civil Space Systems, Christina F. Rusnock

Theses and Dissertations

Military and civil space acquisitions have received much criticism for their inability to produce realistic cost and schedule estimates. This research seeks to provide space systems cost estimators with a forecasting tool for space system cost and schedule growth by identifying factors contributing to growth, quantifying the relative impact of these factors, and establishing a set of models for predicting space system cost and schedule growth. The analysis considers data from both Department of Defense (DoD) and National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) space programs. The DoD dataset includes 21 space programs that submitted developmental Selected Acquisition Reports between 1969 …