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Physical Sciences and Mathematics Commons

Open Access. Powered by Scholars. Published by Universities.®

Statistics and Probability

Air Force Institute of Technology

Theses/Dissertations

2016

Forecasting

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Full-Text Articles in Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Analysis And Modeling Of U.S. Army Recruiting Markets, Joshua L. Mcdonald Mar 2016

Analysis And Modeling Of U.S. Army Recruiting Markets, Joshua L. Mcdonald

Theses and Dissertations

The United States Army Recruiting Command (USAREC) is charged with finding, engaging, and ultimately enlisting young Americans for service as Soldiers in the U.S. Army. USAREC must decide how to allocate monthly enlistment goals, by aptitude and education level, across its 38 subordinate recruiting battalions in order to maximize the number of enlistment contracts produced each year. In our research, we model the production of enlistment contracts as a function of recruiting supply and demand factors which vary over the recruiting battalion areas of responsibility. Using county-level data for the period of recruiting year RY2010 through RY2013 mapped to recruiting …