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Full-Text Articles in Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Chess, Chance And Conspiracy, Mark Segal
Chess, Chance And Conspiracy, Mark Segal
Mark R Segal
Chess and chance are seemingly strange bedfellows. Luck and/or randomness have no apparent role in move selection when the game is played at the highest levels. However, when competition is at the ultimate level, that of the World Chess Championship (WCC), chess and conspiracy are not strange bedfellows, there being a long and colorful history of accusations levied between participants. One such accusation, frequently repeated, was that all the games in the 1985 WCC (Karpov vs Kasparov) were fixed and prearranged move by move. That this claim was advanced by a former World Champion, Bobby Fischer, argues that it ought …
Software To Forecast The Global Burden Of Alzheimer's Disease, Ron Brookmeyer, Elizabeth Johnson, Kathryn Ziegler-Graham, H. Michael Arrighi
Software To Forecast The Global Burden Of Alzheimer's Disease, Ron Brookmeyer, Elizabeth Johnson, Kathryn Ziegler-Graham, H. Michael Arrighi
Ron Brookmeyer
Software was developed to forecast the global burden of Alzheimer’s disease and evaluate the potential impact of interventions that delay disease onset and progression. The output includes 50 year projections of Alzheimer's disease prevalence by stage of disease and region of the world. The methods are based on a stochastic multi-state model The software incorporates U.N. worldwide population forecasts and data from epidemiological studies on risks of Alzheimer’s disease. The user can also supply their own population projections, and modify input parameters for the model including the disease incidence rates, effects of interventions on disease onset and progression, and stages …
Bayesian Predictive Information Criterion For The Evaluation Of Hierarchical Bayesian And Empirical Bayes Models, Tomohiro Ando
Bayesian Predictive Information Criterion For The Evaluation Of Hierarchical Bayesian And Empirical Bayes Models, Tomohiro Ando
Tomohiro Ando
No abstract provided.