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Physical Sciences and Mathematics Commons

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Social and Behavioral Sciences

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

MCMC

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Full-Text Articles in Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Comparison Of Scale Identification Methods In Mixture Irt Models, Youn-Jeng Choi, Allan S. Cohen Jun 2020

Comparison Of Scale Identification Methods In Mixture Irt Models, Youn-Jeng Choi, Allan S. Cohen

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

The effects of three scale identification constraints in mixture IRT models were studied. A simulation study found no constraint effect on the mixture Rasch and mixture 2PL models, but the item anchoring constraint was the only one that worked well on selecting correct model with the mixture 3PL model.


A Simulation Study On Increasing Capture Periods In Bayesian Closed Population Capture-Recapture Models With Heterogeneity, Ross M. Gosky, Joel Sanqui Apr 2020

A Simulation Study On Increasing Capture Periods In Bayesian Closed Population Capture-Recapture Models With Heterogeneity, Ross M. Gosky, Joel Sanqui

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Capture-Recapture models are useful in estimating unknown population sizes. A common modeling challenge for closed population models involves modeling unequal animal catchability in each capture period, referred to as animal heterogeneity. Inference about population size N is dependent on the assumed distribution of animal capture probabilities in the population, and that different models can fit a data set equally well but provide contradictory inferences about N. Three common Bayesian Capture-Recapture heterogeneity models are studied with simulated data to study the prevalence of contradictory inferences is in different population sizes with relatively low capture probabilities, specifically at different numbers of …


A Bayesian Beta-Mixture Model For Nonparametric Irt (Bbm-Irt), Ethan A. Arenson, George Karabatsos Jul 2018

A Bayesian Beta-Mixture Model For Nonparametric Irt (Bbm-Irt), Ethan A. Arenson, George Karabatsos

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Item response models typically assume that the item characteristic (step) curves follow a logistic or normal cumulative distribution function, which are strictly monotone functions of person test ability. Such assumptions can be overly-restrictive for real item response data. A simple and more flexible Bayesian nonparametric IRT model for dichotomous items is introduced, which constructs monotone item characteristic (step) curves by a finite mixture of beta distributions, which can support the entire space of monotone curves to any desired degree of accuracy. An adaptive random-walk Metropolis-Hastings algorithm is proposed to estimate the posterior distribution of the model parameters. The Bayesian IRT …


Contrails: Causal Inference Using Propensity Scores, Dean S. Barron Nov 2015

Contrails: Causal Inference Using Propensity Scores, Dean S. Barron

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Contrails are clouds caused by airplane exhausts, which geologists contend decrease daily temperature ranges on Earth. Following the 2001 World Trade Center attack, cancelled domestic flights triggered the first absence of contrails in decades. Resultant exceptional data capacitated causal inference analysis by propensity score matching. Estimated contrail effect was 6.8981°F.


Jmasm28: Gibbs Sampling For 2pno Multi-Unidimensional Item Response Theory Models (Fortran), Yanyan Sheng, Todd C. Headrick Nov 2009

Jmasm28: Gibbs Sampling For 2pno Multi-Unidimensional Item Response Theory Models (Fortran), Yanyan Sheng, Todd C. Headrick

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A Fortran 77 subroutine is provided for implementing the Gibbs sampling procedure to a multiunidimensional IRT model for binary item response data with the choice of uniform and normal prior distributions for item parameters. In addition to posterior estimates of the model parameters and their Monte Carlo standard errors, the algorithm also estimates the correlations between distinct latent traits. The subroutine requires the user to have access to the IMSL library. The source code is available at http://www.siuc.edu/~epse1/sheng/Fortran/MUIRT/GSMU2.FOR. An executable file is also provided for download at http://www.siuc.edu/~epse1/sheng/Fortran/MUIRT/EXAMPLE.zip to demonstrate the implementation of the algorithm on simulated data.


A Comparative Study Of Bayesian Model Selection Criteria For Capture-Recapture Models For Closed Populations, Ross M. Gosky, Sujit K. Ghosh May 2009

A Comparative Study Of Bayesian Model Selection Criteria For Capture-Recapture Models For Closed Populations, Ross M. Gosky, Sujit K. Ghosh

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

Capture-Recapture models estimate unknown population sizes. Eight standard closed population models exist, allowing for time, behavioral, and heterogeneity effects. Bayesian versions of these models are presented and use of Akaike's Information Criterion (AIC) and the Deviance Information Criterion (DIC) are explored as model selection tools, through simulation and real dataset analysis.


Jmasm27: An Algorithm For Implementing Gibbs Sampling For 2pno Irt Models (Fortran), Yanyan Sheng, Todd C. Headrick May 2007

Jmasm27: An Algorithm For Implementing Gibbs Sampling For 2pno Irt Models (Fortran), Yanyan Sheng, Todd C. Headrick

Journal of Modern Applied Statistical Methods

A Fortran 77 subroutine is provided for implementing the Gibbs sampling procedure to a normal ogive IRT model for binary item response data with the choice of uniform and normal prior distributions for item parameters. The subroutine requires the user to have access to the IMSL library. The source code is available at http://www.siu.edu/~epse1/sheng/Fortran/, along with a stand alone executable file.