Physical Sciences and Mathematics Commons^™

Climate Change In Central America And Mexico: Regional Climate Model Validation And Climate Change Projections, Ambarish V. Karmalkar, Raymond S. Bradley, Henry F. Diaz

Raymond S Bradley

Central America has high biodiversity, it harbors high-value ecosystems and it’s important to provide regional climate change information to assist in adaptation and mitigation work in the region. Here we study climate change projections for Central America and Mexico using a regional climate model. The model evaluation shows its success in simulating spatial and temporal variability of temperature and precipitation and also in capturing regional climate features such as the bimodal annual cycle of precipitation and the Caribbean low-level jet. A variety of climate regimes within the model domain are also better identified in the regional model simulation due to …