Physical Sciences and Mathematics Commons^™

Statistics Of Paleoseismic Data, James P. Mccalpin

James P. McCalpin

Compiled data from numerous neotectonic-geomorphic and trench studies reveals patterns in the spatial and temporal variation of coseismic fault displacement. Recurrence intervals between successive large earthquakes on faults define a near-symmetrical probability distribution with a coefficient of variance of 0.36. Normal faults have the most regular recurrence, and subduction zones the most variable. Variability in recurrence times at a site is not dependent on the number of recurrence intervals dated at that site. During historic surface-rupturing earthquakes slip has varied widely along strike. Based on 56 ruptures where more than 15 displacement measurements were made, the generic pattern is for …