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Full-Text Articles in Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Geodetic Constraints On A 25-Year Magmatic Inflation Episode Near Three Sisters, Central Oregon, Robert Mccaffrey, Michael Lisowsk, Charles W. Wicks, Daniel Dzurisin
Geodetic Constraints On A 25-Year Magmatic Inflation Episode Near Three Sisters, Central Oregon, Robert Mccaffrey, Michael Lisowsk, Charles W. Wicks, Daniel Dzurisin
Geology Faculty Publications and Presentations
Crustal inflation near the Three Sisters volcanic center documented since the mid-1990s has persisted for more than two decades. We update past analyses of the event through 2020 by simultaneously inverting InSAR interferograms, GPS time series, and leveling data for time-dependent volcanic deformation source parameters. We explore several source models to estimate how the deformation rate varied through time and to identify parameters that can reproduce measured deformation. Our preferred model is a Mogi source 4.1 km below sea level (5.9 km below the surface) about 5 km west of the summit of South Sister. Inflation started in late 1995 …
Earthquake And Tsunami Forecasts: Relation Of Slow Slip Events To Subsequent Earthquake Rupture, Timothy H. Dixon, Yan Jiang, Rocco Malservisi, Robert Mccaffrey, Nicholas Voss, Marino Protti, Victor Gonzalez
Earthquake And Tsunami Forecasts: Relation Of Slow Slip Events To Subsequent Earthquake Rupture, Timothy H. Dixon, Yan Jiang, Rocco Malservisi, Robert Mccaffrey, Nicholas Voss, Marino Protti, Victor Gonzalez
Geology Faculty Publications and Presentations
The 5 September 2012 Mw 7.6 earthquake on the Costa Rica subduction plate boundary followed a 62-y interseismic period. High-precision GPS recorded numerous slow slip events (SSEs) in the decade leading up to the earthquake, both up-dip and down-dip of seismic rupture. Deeper SSEs were larger than shallower ones and, if characteristic of the interseismic period, release most locking down-dip of the earthquake, limiting down-dip rupture and earthquake magnitude. Shallower SSEs were smaller, accounting for some but not all interseismic locking. One SSE occurred several months before the earthquake, but changes in Mohr–Coulomb failure stress were probably too small to …
Central Cascadia Subduction Zone Creep, Gina M. Schmalzle, Robert Mccaffrey, Kenneth C. Creager
Central Cascadia Subduction Zone Creep, Gina M. Schmalzle, Robert Mccaffrey, Kenneth C. Creager
Geology Faculty Publications and Presentations
Central Cascadia between 43ºN and 46ºN has reduced interseismic uplift observed in geodetic data and coseismic subsidence seen in multiple thrust earthquakes, suggesting elevated persistent fault creep in this section of the subduction zone. We estimate subduction thrust "decade-scale" locking and crustal block rotations from three-component continuous Global Positioning System (GPS) time series from 1997 to 2013, as well as 80 year tide gauge and leveling-derived uplift rates. Geodetic observations indicatecoastal central Oregon is rising at a slower rate than coastal Washington, southern Oregon and northern California. Modeled locking distributions suggest a wide locking transition zone that extends inland undercentral …
Appendix C—Deformation Models For Ucerf3, Tom Parsons, Kaj M. Johnson, Peter Bird, Jayne Bormann, Timothy E. Dawson, Edward H. Field, William C. Hammond, Thomas A. Herring, Robert Mccaffrey, Zheng-Kang Shen, Wayne R. Thatcher, Ray J. Weldon Ii, Yuehua Zeng
Appendix C—Deformation Models For Ucerf3, Tom Parsons, Kaj M. Johnson, Peter Bird, Jayne Bormann, Timothy E. Dawson, Edward H. Field, William C. Hammond, Thomas A. Herring, Robert Mccaffrey, Zheng-Kang Shen, Wayne R. Thatcher, Ray J. Weldon Ii, Yuehua Zeng
Geology Faculty Publications and Presentations
This document describes efforts to best characterize seismogenic deformation in and near California. The rate of hazardous earthquakes in California is expected to be proportional to deformation rates; in particular, the rates at which faults slip. Fault slip rates are determined from offsets of geologic and geomorphic features of measured age and by modeling geodetically determined surface displacement rates. Extensive use of geodesy in the form of Global Positioning System (GPS) observations is a new feature brought into the Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP) forecasts for the Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, version 3 (UCERF3) model. Geodetic measurements …