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Full-Text Articles in Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Partitioning Uncertain Workloads, Freddy Chua, Bernardo A. Huberman Nov 2016

Partitioning Uncertain Workloads, Freddy Chua, Bernardo A. Huberman

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

We present a method for determining the ratio of the tasks when breaking any complex workload in such a way that once the outputs from all tasks are joined, their full completion takes less time and exhibit smaller variance than when running on the undivided workload. To do that, we have to infer the capabilities of the processing unit executing the divided workloads or tasks. We propose a Bayesian Inference algorithm to infer the amount of time each task takes in a way that does not require prior knowledge on the processing unit capability. We demonstrate the effectiveness of this …


Combining Interval And Probabilistic Uncertainty In Engineering Applications, Andrew Martin Pownuk Jan 2016

Combining Interval And Probabilistic Uncertainty In Engineering Applications, Andrew Martin Pownuk

Open Access Theses & Dissertations

In many practical application, we process measurement results and expert estimates. Measurements and expert estimates are never absolutely accurate, their result are slightly different from the actual (unknown) values of the corresponding quantities. It is therefore desirable to analyze how this measurement and estimation inaccuracy affects the results of data processing. There exist numerous methods for estimating the accuracy of the results of data processing under different models of measurement and estimation inaccuracies: probabilistic, interval, and fuzzy. To be useful in engineering applications, these methods should provide accurate estimate for the resulting uncertainty, should not take too much computation time, …


An Interval-Based Contingency Selection Approach Considering Uncertainty, Chao Xu, Wei Gu, Lizi Luo, Jianguo Yao, Shengchun Yang, Ke Wang, Dan Zeng, Miao Fan Jan 2016

An Interval-Based Contingency Selection Approach Considering Uncertainty, Chao Xu, Wei Gu, Lizi Luo, Jianguo Yao, Shengchun Yang, Ke Wang, Dan Zeng, Miao Fan

Turkish Journal of Electrical Engineering and Computer Sciences

Static security assessment is affected by uncertainties of load flow distributions introduced by renewable sources. A fast contingency selection approach based on interval theory is proposed in this paper. Firstly, an interval line active flow calculation algorithm is developed to reduce conservation in application of interval mathematics in line flow calculation. Then a novel interval comparison method based on Bayesian probability theory is applied in interval index comparison to give the relative severity information of contingencies. Finally, an approximately consistent ranking method is utilized in contingency ranking to rank screened contingencies. Numerical studies on several IEEE standard test systems and …


Experience Me! The Impact Of Content Sampling Strategies On The Marketing Of Digital Entertainment Goods, Ai Phuong Hoang, Robert J. Kauffman Jan 2016

Experience Me! The Impact Of Content Sampling Strategies On The Marketing Of Digital Entertainment Goods, Ai Phuong Hoang, Robert J. Kauffman

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

Product sampling allows consumers to try out a small portion of a product for free. Uncertainty associated with consumption of information goods makes sampling useful for digital entertainment providers. Firms offer some programming for free to attract consumers to purchase a series of programs. We explore the effectiveness of content sampling for information goods using a dataset containing more than 17 million free previews and purchase observations on households from a digital entertainment firm that offers video-on-demand (VoD). Based on theories related to product sampling and information goods, we analyze the relationship between free previews and VoD purchases for series …


Towards A Science Of Security Games, Thanh Hong Nguyen, Debarun Kar, Matthew Brown, Arunesh Sinha, Albert Xin Jiang, Milind Tambe Jan 2016

Towards A Science Of Security Games, Thanh Hong Nguyen, Debarun Kar, Matthew Brown, Arunesh Sinha, Albert Xin Jiang, Milind Tambe

Research Collection School Of Computing and Information Systems

Security is a critical concern around the world. In many domains from counter-terrorism to sustainability, limited security resources prevent full security coverage at all times; instead, these limited resources must be scheduled, while simultaneously taking into account different target priorities, the responses of the adversaries to the security posture and potential uncertainty over adversary types.Computational game theory can help design such security schedules. Indeed, casting the problem as a Bayesian Stackelberg game, we have developed new algorithms that are now deployed over multiple years in multiple applications for security scheduling. These applications are leading to real-world use-inspired research in the …