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Physical Sciences and Mathematics Commons

Open Access. Powered by Scholars. Published by Universities.®

Climate

University of Massachusetts Amherst

2014

Climate change, future climate

Articles 1 - 2 of 2

Full-Text Articles in Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Climate Change In The Northeastern Us: Regional Climate Model Validation And Climate Change Projections, Fangxing Fan, Raymond S. Bradley, Michael A. Rawlins Jan 2014

Climate Change In The Northeastern Us: Regional Climate Model Validation And Climate Change Projections, Fangxing Fan, Raymond S. Bradley, Michael A. Rawlins

Raymond S Bradley

A high resolution regional climate model (RCM) is used to simulate climate of the recent past and to project future climate change across the northeastern US. Different types of uncertainties in climate simulations are examined by driving the RCM with different boundary data, applying different emissions scenarios, and running an ensemble of simulations with different initial conditions. Empirical orthogonal functions analysis and K-means clustering analysis are applied to divide the northeastern US region into four climatologically different zones based on the surface air temperature (SAT) and precipitation variability. The RCM simulations tend to overestimate SAT, especially over the northern part …


Climatic Changes In Mountain Regions Of The American Cordillera And The Tropics: Historical Changes And Future Outlook, Henry F. Diaz, Raymond S. Bradley, Liang Ning Jan 2014

Climatic Changes In Mountain Regions Of The American Cordillera And The Tropics: Historical Changes And Future Outlook, Henry F. Diaz, Raymond S. Bradley, Liang Ning

Raymond S Bradley

We review some recent work regarding climatic changes in selected mountain regions, with particular attention to the tropics and the American Cordillera. Key aspects of climatic variability and trends in these regions are the amplification of surface warming trends with height, and the strong modulation of tempera¬ture trends by tropical sea surface temperature, largely controlled by changes in El Niño–Southern Oscillation on multiple time scales. Corollary aspects of these climate trends include the increase in a critical plant growth temperature threshold, a rise in the freezing level surface, and the possibility of enhanced subtropical drying. Anthropogenic global warming projections indicate …