Physical Sciences and Mathematics Commons^™

Some New Problems In Changepoint Analysis, Jonathan Woody

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Climatological studies have often neglected changepoint effects when modeling
various physical phenomena. Here, changepoints are plausible whenever a station location moves or its instruments are changed. There is frequently meta-data to
perform sound statistical inferences that account for changepoint
information. This dissertation focuses on two such problems in changepoint analysis.
The first problem we investigate involves assessing trends
in daily snow depth series. Here, we introduce a stochastic storage model. The model allows for seasonal features, which permits the
analysis of daily data. Changepoint times are shown to greatly influence estimated trends in one snow depth series and are accounted …