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Full-Text Articles in Medicine and Health Sciences

Determining A Bayesian Predictive Power Stopping Rule For Futility In A Non-Inferiority Trial With Binary Outcomes., Anna Heath, Martin Offringa, Petros Pechlivanoglou, Juan David Rios, Terry P Klassen, Naveen Poonai, Eleanor Pullenayegum Jun 2020

Determining A Bayesian Predictive Power Stopping Rule For Futility In A Non-Inferiority Trial With Binary Outcomes., Anna Heath, Martin Offringa, Petros Pechlivanoglou, Juan David Rios, Terry P Klassen, Naveen Poonai, Eleanor Pullenayegum

Paediatrics Publications

Background/Aims: Non-inferiority trials investigate whether a novel intervention, which typically has other benefits (i.e., cheaper or safer), has similar clinical effectiveness to currently available treatments. In situations where interim evidence in a non-inferiority trial suggests that the novel treatment is truly inferior, ethical concerns with continuing randomisation to the "inferior" intervention are raised. Thus, if interim data indicate that concluding non-inferiority at the end of the trial is unlikely, stopping for futility should be considered. To date, limited examples are available to guide the development of stopping rules for non-inferiority trials.

Methods: We used a Bayesian predictive power approach to …


Determining A Bayesian Predictive Power Stopping Rule For Futility In A Non-Inferiority Trial With Binary Outcomes., Anna Heath, Martin Offringa, Petros Pechlivanoglou, Juan David Rios, Terry P Klassen, Naveen Poonai, Eleanor Pullenayegum Jun 2020

Determining A Bayesian Predictive Power Stopping Rule For Futility In A Non-Inferiority Trial With Binary Outcomes., Anna Heath, Martin Offringa, Petros Pechlivanoglou, Juan David Rios, Terry P Klassen, Naveen Poonai, Eleanor Pullenayegum

Paediatrics Publications

Background/Aims: Non-inferiority trials investigate whether a novel intervention, which typically has other benefits (i.e., cheaper or safer), has similar clinical effectiveness to currently available treatments. In situations where interim evidence in a non-inferiority trial suggests that the novel treatment is truly inferior, ethical concerns with continuing randomisation to the "inferior" intervention are raised. Thus, if interim data indicate that concluding non-inferiority at the end of the trial is unlikely, stopping for futility should be considered. To date, limited examples are available to guide the development of stopping rules for non-inferiority trials.

Methods: We used a Bayesian predictive power approach to …