Spatial Epidemiology And Climatic Predictors Of Paediatric Dengue Infections Captured Via Sentinel Site Surveillance, Phnom Penh Cambodia 2011–2012, Andrew A. Lover, Philippe Buchy, Anne Rachline, Duch Moniboth, Rekol Huy, Chour Y. Meng, Yee Sin Leo, Kdan Yuvatha, Ung Sophal, Ngan Chantha, Bunthin Y, Veasna Duong, Sophie Goyet, Jeremy Brett, Arnaud Tarantola, Philippe Cavailler
Dec 2013
Spatial Epidemiology And Climatic Predictors Of Paediatric Dengue Infections Captured Via Sentinel Site Surveillance, Phnom Penh Cambodia 2011–2012, Andrew A. Lover, Philippe Buchy, Anne Rachline, Duch Moniboth, Rekol Huy, Chour Y. Meng, Yee Sin Leo, Kdan Yuvatha, Ung Sophal, Ngan Chantha, Bunthin Y, Veasna Duong, Sophie Goyet, Jeremy Brett, Arnaud Tarantola, Philippe Cavailler
Andrew Lover
Background
Dengue is a major contributor to morbidity in children aged twelve and below throughout Cambodia; the 2012 epidemic season was the most severe in the country since 2007, with more than 42,000 reported (suspect or confirmed) cases.
Methods
We report basic epidemiological characteristics in a series of 701 patients at the National Paediatric Hospital in Cambodia, recruited during a prospective clinical study (2011–2012). To more fully explore this cohort, we examined climatic factors using multivariate negative binomial models and spatial clustering of cases using spatial scan statistics to place the clinical study within a larger epidemiological framework.
Results
We …
Retention And Risk Factors For Attrition In A Large Public Health Art Program In Myanmar: A Retrospective Cohort Analysis, Aye Thida, Sai Thein Than Tun, Sai Ko Ko Zaw, Andrew A. Lover, Philippe Cavailler, Jennifer Chunn, Mar Mar Aye, Par Par, Kyaw Win Naing, Kaung Nyunt Zan, Myint Shwe Shwe, Thar Tun Kyaw, Zaw Htoon Waing, Philippe Clevenbergh
Dec 2013
Retention And Risk Factors For Attrition In A Large Public Health Art Program In Myanmar: A Retrospective Cohort Analysis, Aye Thida, Sai Thein Than Tun, Sai Ko Ko Zaw, Andrew A. Lover, Philippe Cavailler, Jennifer Chunn, Mar Mar Aye, Par Par, Kyaw Win Naing, Kaung Nyunt Zan, Myint Shwe Shwe, Thar Tun Kyaw, Zaw Htoon Waing, Philippe Clevenbergh
Andrew Lover
Background
The outcomes from an antiretroviral treatment (ART) program within the public sector in Myanmar have not been reported. This study documents retention and the risk factors for attrition in a large ART public health program in Myanmar.
Methods
A retrospective analysis of a cohort of adult patients enrolled in the Integrated HIV Care (IHC) Program between June 2005 and October 2011 and followed up until April 2012 is presented. The primary outcome was attrition (death or loss-follow up); a total of 10,223 patients were included in the 5-year cumulative survival analysis. Overall 5,718 patients were analyzed for the risk …
Note On The Origin Of The Madagascar Strain Of Plasmodium Vivax, Andrew A. Lover
Dec 2013
Note On The Origin Of The Madagascar Strain Of Plasmodium Vivax, Andrew A. Lover
Andrew Lover
Dear Sir:
Recent studies have established the potential for strains of
Plasmodium vivax in Madagascar to infect Duffy-negative populations,
1 and polymerase chain reaction (PCR)-based screening suggests a previously unrecognized burden of this parasite in sub-Saharan Africa.
2There is a dearth of data concerning any
P. vivax parasites from Africa; however, one of the most widely studied strains used during the malariotherapy era was the Madagascar strain, used at the Horton Hospital research site in the UK from 1923 to ca. 1970. This isolate has been the subject of extensive studies,
3,4 but there has been considerable …
Demographic And Spatial Predictors Of Anemia In Women Of Reproductive Age In Timor-Leste: Implications For Health Program Prioritization, Andrew A. Lover, Mikael Hartman, Kee Seng Chia, David L. Heymann
Dec 2013
Demographic And Spatial Predictors Of Anemia In Women Of Reproductive Age In Timor-Leste: Implications For Health Program Prioritization, Andrew A. Lover, Mikael Hartman, Kee Seng Chia, David L. Heymann
Andrew Lover
Anemia is a significant risk factor for poor health outcomes for both the mother and neonate; however, the determinants of anemia in many epidemiological settings are poorly understood. Using a subset of a nationally representative cluster survey (2010 Demographic and Health Survey) in combination with other non-contemporaneous survey data, the epidemiology of anemia among women of reproductive age in Timor-Leste has been explored. Logistic regression was used to identify risk factors, population-level impacts were estimated as population attributable fractions and spatial analytics were used to identify regions of highest risk. The DHS survey found that ∼21% of adult women in …
The Distribution Of Incubation And Relapse Times In Experimental Human Infections With The Malaria Parasite Plasmodium Vivax, Andrew A. Lover, Xiahong Zhao, Zheng Gao, Richard J. Coker, Alex R. Cook
Dec 2013
The Distribution Of Incubation And Relapse Times In Experimental Human Infections With The Malaria Parasite Plasmodium Vivax, Andrew A. Lover, Xiahong Zhao, Zheng Gao, Richard J. Coker, Alex R. Cook
Andrew Lover
Background
The distributions of incubation and relapse periods are key components of infectious disease models for the malaria parasite Plasmodium vivax; however, detailed distributions based upon experimental data are lacking.
Methods
Using a range of historical, experimental mosquito-transmitted human infections, Bayesian estimation with non-informative priors was used to determine parametric distributions that can be readily implemented for the incubation period and time-to-first relapse in P. vivax infections, including global subregions by parasite source. These analyses were complemented with a pooled analysis of observational human infection data with infections that included malaria chemoprophylaxis and long-latencies. The epidemiological impact of these …
