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Application Of One-, Three-, And Seven-Day Forecasts During Early Onset On The Covid-19 Epidemic Dataset Using Moving Average, Autoregressive, Autoregressive Moving Average, Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average, And Naïve Forecasting Methods, Christopher J. Lynch, Ross Gore
Application Of One-, Three-, And Seven-Day Forecasts During Early Onset On The Covid-19 Epidemic Dataset Using Moving Average, Autoregressive, Autoregressive Moving Average, Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average, And Naïve Forecasting Methods, Christopher J. Lynch, Ross Gore
VMASC Publications
The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) spread rapidly across the world since its appearance in December 2019. This data set creates one-, three-, and seven-day forecasts of the COVID-19 pandemic's cumulative case counts at the county, health district, and state geographic levels for the state of Virginia. Forecasts are created over the first 46 days of reported COVID-19 cases using the cumulative case count data provided by The New York Times as of April 22, 2020. From this historical data, one-, three-, seven, and all-days prior to the forecast start date are used to generate the forecasts. Forecasts are created using: …