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Risk assessment

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Reliability Of Risk Assessment Measures Used In Sexually Violent Predator Proceedings, Cailey Miller, Randy Otto, Eva Kimonis, Adam Wasserman Dec 2015

Reliability Of Risk Assessment Measures Used In Sexually Violent Predator Proceedings, Cailey Miller, Randy Otto, Eva Kimonis, Adam Wasserman

Eva Kimonis

The field interrater reliability of three assessment tools frequently used by mental health professionals when evaluating sex offenders’ risk for reoffending—the Psychopathy Checklist–Revised (PCL-R), the Minnesota Sex Offender Screening Tool–Revised (MnSOST-R) and the Static-99—was examined within the context of sexually violent predator program proceedings. Rater agreement was highest for the Static-99 (intraclass correlation coefficient [ICC1] .78) and lowest for the PCL-R (ICC1 .60; MnSOST-R ICC1 .74), although all instruments demonstrated lower field reliability than that reported in their test manuals. Findings raise concerns about the reliability of risk assessment tools that are used to inform judgments of risk in high-stake …


Criminal Recidivism Among Juvenile Offenders: Testing The Incremental And Predictive Validity Of Three Measures Of Psychopathic Features, Kevin Douglas, Monica Epstein, Norman Poythress Dec 2015

Criminal Recidivism Among Juvenile Offenders: Testing The Incremental And Predictive Validity Of Three Measures Of Psychopathic Features, Kevin Douglas, Monica Epstein, Norman Poythress

Norman Poythress

We studied the predictive, comparative, and incremental validity of three measures of psychopathic features (Psychopathy Checklist: Youth Version [PCL:YV]; Antisocial Process Screening Device [APSD]; Childhood Psychopathy Scale [CPS]) vis-à-vis criminal recidivism among 83 delinquent youth within a truly prospective design. Bivariate and multivariate analyses (Cox proportional hazard analyses) showed that of the three measures, the CPS was most consistently related to most types of recidivism in comparison to the other measures. However, incremental validity analyses demonstrated that all of the predictive effects for the measures of psychopathic features disappeared after conceptually relevant covariates (i.e., substance use, conduct disorder, young age, …