Medicine and Health Sciences Commons^™

Estimation Of Long-Term Area-Average Pm2.5 Concentrations For Area-Level Health Analyses, Sun-Young Kim, Casey Olives, Neal Fann, Joel Kaufman, Sverre Vedal, Lianne Sheppard

UW Biostatistics Working Paper Series

Introduction: There is increasing evidence of an association between individual long-term PM_2.5 exposure and human health. Mortality and morbidity data collected at the area-level are valuable resources for investigating corresponding population-level health effects. However, PM_2.5 monitoring data are available for limited periods of time and locations, and are not adequate for estimating area-level concentrations. We developed a general approach to estimate county-average concentrations representative of population exposures for 1980-2010 in the continental U.S.

Methods: We predicted annual average PM_2.5 concentrations at about 70,000 census tract centroids, using a point prediction model previously developed for estimating annual average …

Models For Hsv Shedding Must Account For Two Levels Of Overdispersion, Amalia Magaret

UW Biostatistics Working Paper Series

We have frequently implemented crossover studies to evaluate new therapeutic interventions for genital herpes simplex virus infection. The outcome measured to assess the efficacy of interventions on herpes disease severity is the viral shedding rate, defined as the frequency of detection of HSV on the genital skin and mucosa. We performed a simulation study to ascertain whether our standard model, which we have used previously, was appropriately considering all the necessary features of the shedding data to provide correct inference. We simulated shedding data under our standard, validated assumptions and assessed the ability of 5 different models to reproduce the …