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Geographic Variation In Temperature Tolerance As An Indicator Of Potential Population Responses To Climate Change, Cascade J.B. Sorte, Sierra J. Jones, Luke P. Miller

Faculty Publications, Biological Sciences

The temperature tolerances of individuals in geographically separated populations of a single species can be used as indicators of each population's potential to persist or become extinct in response to climate change. We evaluated the population-level variation in temperature tolerance in populations of several marine invertebrate taxa, including bryozoans, tunicates, bivalves, and gastropods, separated by distances of < 200 km to > 5000 km. We then combined physiological thermotolerance data with current temperature data and climate change predictions to predict which of these populations may be most vulnerable to future changes. In a trans-continental comparison of four subtidal epibenthic species, we show that populations on …