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Disturbance Frequency And Vertical Distribution Of Seeds Affect Long-Term Population Dynamics: A Mechanistic Seed Bank Model, Eric A. Eager, Chirakkal V. Haridas, Diana Pilson, Richard Rebarber, Brigitte Tenhumberg

School of Biological Sciences: Faculty Publications

Seed banks are critically important for disturbance specialist plants because seeds of these species germinate only in disturbed soil. Disturbance and seed depth affect the survival and germination probability of seeds in the seed bank, which in turn affect population dynamics. We develop a density-dependent stochastic integral projection model to evaluate the effect of stochastic soil disturbances on plant population dynamics with an emphasis on mimicking how disturbances vertically redistribute seeds within the seed bank. We perform a simulation analysis of the effect of the frequency and mean depth of disturbances on the population’s quasi-extinction probability, as well as the …