Law Commons^™

Confident Uncertainty, Excessive Compensation & The Obama Plan, Michael B. Dorff

Indiana Law Journal

Public outrage at the enormous bonuses TARP recipients paid to senior executives recently prompted the Obama administration to impose sweeping new curbs on executive compensation. Shortly thereafter, Senator Dodd added restrictions on executive bonuses to the stimulus bill President Obama subsequently signed. These are understandable political reactions, but will they achieve the twin goals of reducing executive compensation in recipients of federal assistance while spurring better corporate performance? To examine this question, I analyze excessive compensation as the product of "confident uncertainty, "the tendency of even the most sophisticated actors to place unwarranted confidence in their ability to predict the …