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Dissertations, Master's Theses and Master's Reports - Open

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Flood Risk Assessment Under Historical And Predicted Land Use Change Using Continuous Hydrologic Modeling, Jonathan T. Nelson Jan 2015

Flood Risk Assessment Under Historical And Predicted Land Use Change Using Continuous Hydrologic Modeling, Jonathan T. Nelson

Dissertations, Master's Theses and Master's Reports - Open

Current procedures for flood risk estimation assume flood distributions are stationary over time, meaning annual maximum flood (AMF) series are not affected by climatic variation, land use/land cover (LULC) change, or management practices. Thus, changes in LULC and climate are generally not accounted for in policy and design related to flood risk/control, and historical flood events are deemed representative of future flood risk. These assumptions need to be re-evaluated, however, as climate change and anthropogenic activities have been observed to have large impacts on flood risk in many areas. In particular, understanding the effects of LULC change is essential to …