Law Commons^™

Explaining The Recent Homicide Spikes In U.S. Cities: The 'Minneapolis Effect' And The Decline In Proactive Policing, Paul Cassell

Utah Law Faculty Scholarship

Recently major cities across the country have suffered dramatic spikes in homicides. These spikes are remarkably large, suddenly appearing, and widespread. At this rate, 2020 will easily be the deadliest year in America for gun-related homicides since at least 1999, while most other major crime categories are trending stable or slightly downward.

This article attempts to explain why so many cities have seen extraordinary increases in murder during the summer of 2020. A close analysis of the emerging crime patterns suggests that American cities may be witnessing significant declines in some forms of policing, which in turn is producing the …