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Estimating Probability Of Failure Of A Complex System Based On Inexact Information About Subsystems And Components, With Potential Applications To Aircraft Maintenance, Vladik Kreinovich, Christelle Jacob, Didier Dubois, Janette Cardoso, Martine Ceberio, Ildar Batyrshin

Departmental Technical Reports (CS)

In many real-life applications (e.g., in aircraft maintenance), we need to estimate the probability of failure of a complex system (such as an aircraft as a whole or one of its subsystems). Complex systems are usually built with redundancy allowing them to withstand the failure of a small number of components. In this paper, we assume that we know the structure of the system, and, as a result, for each possible set of failed components, we can tell whether this set will lead to a system failure. For each component A, we know the probability P(A) of its failure with …

Estimating Probability Of Failure Of A Complex System Based On Partial Information About Subsystems And Components, With Potential Applications To Aircraft Maintenance, Christelle Jacob, Didier Dubois, Janette Cardoso, Martine Ceberio, Vladik Kreinovich

Departmental Technical Reports (CS)