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Theses/Dissertations

Earth Sciences

2011

Forecasting

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Full-Text Articles in Engineering

Oceanic-Atmospheric And Hydrologic Variability In Long Lead-Time Forecasting, Abdoul Aziz Oubeidillah Aug 2011

Oceanic-Atmospheric And Hydrologic Variability In Long Lead-Time Forecasting, Abdoul Aziz Oubeidillah

Doctoral Dissertations

Water managers throughout the world are challenged with managing scarce resources and therefore rely heavily on forecasts to allocate and meet various water demands. The need for improved streamflow and snowpack forecast models is of the utmost importance. In this research, the use of oceanic and atmospheric variables as predictors was investigated to improve the long lead-time (three to nine months) forecast of streamflow and snowpack. Singular Value Decomposition (SVD) analysis was used to identify a region of Pacific and Atlantic Ocean SSTs and a region of 500 mbar geopotential height (Z500mb) that were teleconnected with streamflow and snowpack. The …