Engineering Commons^™

Probabilistic Risk Assessment For Life Extension Of Turbine Engine Rotors, Jace A. Carter, Tarun Goswami

Biomedical, Industrial & Human Factors Engineering Faculty Publications

Maintaining the component service life beyond its historical limits requires the ability to accurately quantify component reliability and address the uncertainties in material responses. A probabilistic method for predicting the total fatigue life was developed and applied to determine the probability of failure of a Ti-6Al-4V turbine disk component. The total fatigue life incorporates a dual mechanism approach including the crack initiation life and propagation life while simultaneously determining the associated initial flaw sizes. A microstructure-based model was employed to address the uncertainties in material response and relate the crack initiation life with crack size. The propagation life was characterized …